Match Analysis: Maine Black Bears vs Quinnipiac Bobcats – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: November 16, 2025
- Time: 7:00 PM UTC
- Location: Memorial Gym, Orono, ME
Game Overview
Quinnipiac (1-2) travels to Maine (0-3) in an early-season NCAAB matchup. Both teams are struggling out of the gate, with Maine winless at home and Quinnipiac showing inconsistent offensive execution. This is a classic trap game where the better-positioned Quinnipiac squad should exploit Maine's home court disadvantage despite their recent spread-covering performances.
Key Factors to Consider
- Maine enters 0-3 on the season with losses to Stony Brook (60-71), George Washington (47-67), and Bryant (59-77). The Black Bears have been outscored significantly, particularly in recent games. Quinnipiac is 1-2 after losses to Yale (60-97) and C Connecticut (71-49), though they showed offensive firepower against St. John's (74-108 win). Maine's home court has not provided relief; they've lost consecutively. Quinnipiac's road record context is unclear but the Bobcats should be favored given Maine's offensive struggles.
- No recent head-to-head history provided in available data. This matchup lacks direct comparison points.
- No injury information available in provided sources.
- Maine is playing at home but has failed to generate wins or cover spreads consistently. The public betting data shows 100% of bets on Maine with 0% money allocation, suggesting sharp money is fading Maine despite home court—a significant red flag for the Black Bears.
- Quinnipiac has higher motivation as the road team with better talent perception (reflected in -148 moneyline odds). Maine desperately needs a win to avoid 0-4 start, but their offensive output (47-77 points in losses) suggests systemic issues that motivation alone won't resolve.
Odds and Predictions
| Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | Maine +124 / Quinnipiac -148 | Quinnipiac Bobcats | ★★★★☆ 72% |
| Spread | Maine +2.5 -108 / Quinnipiac -2.5 -112 | Quinnipiac -2.5 | ★★★★☆ 70% |
| Over/under | Over 139.5 -105 / Under 139.5 -115 | Under 139.5 | ★★★☆☆ 66% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
| Market | EV Pick |
|---|---|
| Moneyline | Quinnipiac Bobcats 9% |
| Spread | N/A |
| Over/Under | Under 139.5 8% |
🔥 Best Value Pick: Quinnipiac Bobcats at 9% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 13.2% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Quinnipiac Bobcats to win straight-up and cover the 2.5-point spread. Maine's defensive vulnerabilities combined with Quinnipiac's superior road positioning and sharper betting support indicate value on the Bobcats. Under 139.5 is the secondary play based on both teams' recent scoring struggles and defensive emphasis.
Predicted Score: Quinnipiac 68, Maine 62