Match Analysis: Magomed Magomedov vs Sergio Pettis – Prediction

Match Details

• Date: 2025-10-03
• Time: 3:00 PM UTC
• Location: Dubai, United Arab Emirates

Game Overview

Magomed Magomedov faces Sergio Pettis at 135 lbs in a pivotal PFL bout part of the Road to Dubai event. Magomedov enters as the favorite with stronger recent PFL performances, while Pettis brings high-level MMA experience, making for a competitive matchup.

Key Factors to Consider

• Magomedov has shown consistent winning form in recent PFL events, leveraging his wrestling and top control. Pettis has a solid all-around skill set but has faced mixed results lately, including losses to high-tier opponents.
• No prior professional fights between Magomedov and Sergio Pettis, making this their initial direct encounter.
• No reported injuries for either fighter leading into the bout; both appear physically prepared.
• Fight taking place in UAE with neutral location advantages; no apparent external distractions or issues impacting either fighter.
• Magomedov is highly motivated aiming to advance further in PFL Road to Dubai, whereas Pettis seeks to re-establish himself among top contenders, offering strong personal motivation.

Odds and Predictions

Category	Odds	Prediction	Confidence
Moneyline	-240 / +205	Magomed Magomedov	★★★★☆ 78%
Spread	-110	Magomed Magomedov -1.5 rounds	★★★☆☆ 65%
Over/under	Over 2.5 -200 / Under 2.5 174	Under 2.5 rounds	★★★★☆ 72%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market	EV Pick
Moneyline	Magomed Magomedov -1%
Spread	N/A
Over/Under	Under 2.5 70%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 2.5 at 70% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 40.2% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Moneyline: Magomed Magomedov to win; Spread: Magomedov by -1.5 rounds; Over/Under: Under 2.5 rounds.

Predicted Score: Magomed Magomedov wins by decision in 3 rounds

Match Analysis: Magomed Magomedov vs Sarvarjon Hamidov – Prediction

Match Details

• Date: 2025-06-20
• Time: 9:00 PM UTC
• Location: Wichita, Kansas

Game Overview

Magomed Magomedov, a former ACB bantamweight champion from Russia with a record of 24-4, faces undefeated Tajik star Sarvarjon Khamidov (16-0) in a high-stakes PFL World Tournament bantamweight bout. Both fighters are highly regarded for their well-rounded skills and durability. This fight is a classic striker vs. grappler match-up, with Magomedov known for his wrestling and ground control, and Khamidov for his striking and relentless pressure. The outcome could have significant implications for the tournament bracket[2][5].

Key Factors to Consider

• Magomed Magomedov has faced world-level competition and proven himself in higher-profile organizations, but has shown vulnerability against elite strikers or those who can neutralize his grappling. Sarvarjon Khamidov remains undefeated, albeit against generally less experienced opposition, and has displayed dominant performances in Asia and PFL MENA[2][5].
• This is the first meeting between Magomedov and Khamidov[5].
• No reported injuries for either fighter ahead of the bout.
• Fight takes place on neutral ground in the U.S. Both have shown the ability to handle international travel and different time zones. No weather or venue-specific concerns.
• Both are highly motivated; Magomedov seeks to reassert his elite status in a major organization, while Khamidov is eager to break out internationally and defend his undefeated record[2].

Odds and Predictions

Category	Odds	Prediction	Confidence
Moneyline	Magomed Magomedov: -102, Sarvarjon Khamidov: -125	Sarvarjon Khamidov (slight favorite)	★★★☆☆ 55%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market	EV Pick
Moneyline	Sarvarjon Hamidov 7%
Spread	N/A
Over/Under	N/A

🔥 Best Value Pick: Sarvarjon Hamidov at 7% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 7.1% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Sarvarjon Khamidov is favored slightly by bookmakers, likely due to his undefeated status and recent momentum. However, Magomed Magomedov’s experience against elite competition gives him a strong chance. Given the odds and current form, Khamidov is a narrow favorite, but the match is highly competitive and could go either way. Expect a closely contested bout with a strong chance of going the distance, especially if Magomedov can impose his grappling and wear down Khamidov[3][4][5].

Predicted Score: Sarvarjon Khamidov by Unanimous Decision