Match Analysis: Tymoteusz Łopaczyk vs Madars Fleminas – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-09-20
- Time: 5:00 PM UTC
- Location: KSW 110, Rzeszów, Poland
Game Overview
Welterweight fight at KSW 110 between Tymoteusz Łopaczyk and Madars Fleminas, both evenly matched veterans in their 20s and 30s with similar recent performance but contrasting styles and physical attributes.
Key Factors to Consider
- Łopaczyk holds a 13-3 record with a strong finishing rate (54% KO/TKO), coming off a recent win in March 2025, showing improving form. Fleminas stands at 13-7, with more decision wins (5) and a significant size and reach advantage but is older at 37.
- No direct previous encounters found between the two fighters. Stylistically Łopaczyk is more finish-oriented, while Fleminas is experienced with a tendency to go to decisions.
- No known injuries reported for either fighter leading to this bout; both made weight at 171 lbs.
- Fight held in Poland, giving Łopaczyk home advantage and crowd support. KSW promotion, both fighters are experienced in it.
- Łopaczyk is younger, rising in KSW ranks with strong recent winning momentum which suggests high motivation to capitalize on home turf. Fleminas aims to prove longevity and upset a younger opponent, motivated by career resurgence.
Odds and Predictions
| Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | +135 | Łopaczyk | ★★★☆☆ 68% |
| Spread | -120 | Łopaczyk -1.5 rounds | ★★★☆☆ 62% |
| Over/under | -110 | Under 2.5 rounds | ★★★☆☆ 58% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
| Market | EV Pick |
|---|---|
| Moneyline | Home 39% |
| Spread | N/A |
| Over/Under | N/A |
🔥 Best Value Pick: Home at 39% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 0% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Tymoteusz Łopaczyk to win by knockout/TKO
Predicted Score: Łopaczyk wins by TKO in round 2