Match Analysis: Cristina Brador vs Mackenzie Stiller – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-09-12
- Time: 11:30 PM UTC
- Location: Mystic Lake Showroom, Prior Lake, Minnesota
Game Overview
Cristina Brador and Mackenzie Stiller face off in a 3-round strawweight bout at LFA 217. Brador (3-1) has solid striking and mainly wins via decision or submission, while Stiller (4-1) boasts a strong Brazilian jiu-jitsu background with a high submission rate. The fight is evenly matched with contrasting styles: Brador aiming to keep the fight standing and Stiller seeking grappling control.
Key Factors to Consider
- Brador has a 3-1 record with 25% submission wins and 50% decisions, no KO/TKOs. Stiller has a 4-1 record with 60% submission finishes, no KO/TKOs, and typically pressures opponents on the ground.
- This is the first meeting between Brador and Stiller, no prior head-to-head history.
- No reported injuries for either fighter ahead of the bout.
- Fight is held at LFA 217 in Minnesota, a home setting favoring Brador's motivation. Both fighters have expressed strong confidence and preparedness in recent interviews.
- Brador fights to prove her striking dominance; interviews suggest determination for a finish. Stiller is motivated by grappling strength and recent submission success, confident and healthy ahead of the event.
Odds and Predictions
| Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | Cristina Brador: 145, Mackenzie Stiller: -170 | Mackenzie Stiller | ★★★☆☆ 65% |
| Over/under | Over 2.5: 100, Under 2.5: -120 | Under 2.5 rounds | ★★★★☆ 70% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
| Market | EV Pick |
|---|---|
| Moneyline | Mackenzie Stiller -13% |
| Spread | N/A |
| Over/Under | Under 2.5 28% |
🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 2.5 at 28% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 34% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Mackenzie Stiller is slightly favored due to her grappling and higher finishing rate, but Cristina Brador's striking and takedown defense provide a solid chance to win via decision or late stoppage.
Predicted Score: Mackenzie Stiller wins by submission in Round 3