Match Analysis: Bradley Rea vs Lyndon Arthur – Prediction

Match Details

• Date: 2025-11-01
• Time: 9:00 PM UTC
• Location: Manchester's Co-op Live Arena

Game Overview

British light heavyweight title fight between Bradley Rea, a younger aggressive pressure fighter (21-1), and Lyndon Arthur, an experienced counterpuncher with reach advantage (24-3). Rea is coming off a unanimous decision win, while Arthur lost his last bout also by unanimous decision.

Key Factors to Consider

• Rea is in strong recent form with a win on June 28, 2025, showing high volume and pressure fighting. Arthur, older at 34, lost to Anthony Yarde in April 2025 by unanimous decision, indicating some vulnerability but substantial experience.
• No direct head-to-head past fights. Community and expert predictions favor Arthur to win by decision or KO based on style mismatch and reach advantage, but bookmakers and odds slightly favor Rea.
• No reported injuries to either fighter, both expected to be in full health.
• Fight held in Manchester, neutral ground favoring neither strongly. Streaming available globally indicating high profile bout without disruptive externalities.
• Both fighters motivated, with Rea aiming to solidify his rising status and Arthur seeking to reclaim stature after recent loss.

Odds and Predictions

Category	Odds	Prediction	Confidence
Moneyline	Bradley Rea -165 / Lyndon Arthur +128	Bradley Rea	★★★★☆ 70%
Spread	Rea -1.5 rounds at -175 approx	Rea -1.5 rounds	★★★☆☆ 65%
Over/under	Over 10.5 rounds -450 / Under 10.5 rounds +313	Under 10.5 rounds	★★★★☆ 72%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market	EV Pick
Moneyline	Bradley Rea -2%
Spread	N/A
Over/Under	Under 10.5 197%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 10.5 at 197% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 63.1% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Moneyline: Bradley Rea win; Spread: Bradley Rea -1.5 rounds; Over/Under: Under 10.5 rounds

Predicted Score: Bradley Rea wins by unanimous decision in 10 rounds

Top EV Parlay for Boxing – November 1, 2025

Game	Pick	Odds	EV
Liam Cameron vs. Troy Jones Prediction	Under 8.5	269	177%
Yoelvis Gomez vs. Antraveous Ingram Prediction	Under 8.5	200	110%
Bradley Rea vs. Lyndon Arthur Prediction	Over 10.5	-450	16%

Combined Odds: +1253 |
Wager: $20 —
Potential Payout: $270.6

Match Analysis: Anthony Yarde vs Lyndon Arthur – Prediction

Match Details

• Date: April 26, 2025
• Time: 5:00 PM UTC
• Location: Tottenham Hotspur Stadium, London

Game Overview

Anthony Yarde and Lyndon Arthur are set for their third encounter, with Yarde favored due to his higher knockout percentage and experience. However, Arthur's height and reach advantage could pose challenges.

Key Factors to Consider

• Anthony Yarde holds a significant knockout percentage advantage over Lyndon Arthur, enhancing his chances. However, Arthur has a height and reach advantage that could impact the fight.
• Previous fights have shown competitive matches between the two, with each having significant moments. Yarde recently secured a knockout victory over Arthur.
• No notable injuries reported for either boxer prior to the fight.
• The match is at Tottenham Hotspur Stadium in London, which might give Yarde a crowd advantage.
• Both fighters are highly motivated, but Yarde's recent knockout win might give him an edge in confidence.

Odds and Predictions

Category	Odds	Prediction	Confidence
Moneyline	Anthony Yarde: -800, Lyndon Arthur: 500	Anthony Yarde	★★★★☆ 70%
Over/under	Over 7.5: -115, Under 7.5: -115	Under 7.5	★★★☆☆ 60%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market	EV Pick
Moneyline	Anthony Yarde -4%
Spread	N/A
Over/Under	Under 7.5 12%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 7.5 at 12% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 14% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Anthony Yarde is predicted to win, given his recent form and knockout power.

Predicted Score: Anthony Yarde by knockout in rounds 1-7.

Top EV Parlay for Boxing – April 26, 2025

Game	Pick	Odds	EV
Liam Smith vs. Aaron Mckenna Prediction	Over 8.5	-325	51%
Viddal Riley vs. Cheavon Clarke Prediction	Over 10.5	-300	14%
Anthony Yarde vs. Lyndon Arthur Prediction	Under 7.5	-115	12%

Combined Odds: +226 |
Wager: $20 —
Potential Payout: $65.2

3 Pick Daily Parlay

Game	Pick	Odds (American)	Confidence
Chris Billam	Chris Billam-Smith Win	-125	★★★★☆ 75% (75%)
Anthony Yarde vs. Lyndon Arthur Prediction	Anthony Yarde Win	-800	★★★★☆ 70% (70%)
Liam Smith vs. Aaron Mckenna Prediction	Aaron Mckenna Win	-155	★★★☆☆ 65% (65%)

Parlay Odds Calculation

Combined American Odds: +233

Wager: $20 — Potential Payout: $66.63