Match Analysis: Jessica Andrade vs Lupita Godinez – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-08-16
- Time: 12:00 AM UTC
- Location: United Center, Chicago, Illinois
Game Overview
The UFC 319 prelims feature a women's Strawweight fight between former champion Jessica Andrade and Lupita Godinez. Andrade, a veteran fighter with a record of 26-14 (17-12 UFC), returns to strawweight after competing in higher divisions. Godinez holds a record of 13-5 (8-5 UFC) and is slightly favored by bookmakers. The match is expected to test Andrade's experience and power against Godinez's pace and grappling versatility.
Key Factors to Consider
- Jessica Andrade has extensive UFC experience with multiple championship bouts but has faced inconsistency in recent fights. Lupita Godinez has shown steady improvement, amassing wins primarily through technical striking and grappling, with a better recent form.
- This will be the first professional fight between Jessica Andrade and Lupita Godinez, so no direct head-to-head data is available.
- No reported injuries for either fighter at the time of analysis.
- The fight takes place at UFC 319 in Chicago, which may slightly benefit Andrade, who has fought frequently in major US venues and is familiar with the large events and crowd atmosphere.
- Andrade aims to reestablish herself in the Strawweight division after stepping down to 125 pounds, motivated to leverage her championship pedigree. Godinez seeks to climb the rankings with a win over a former champion, providing strong incentive for an aggressive performance.
Odds and Predictions
| Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | Jessica Andrade: 125, Lupita Godinez: -145 | Lupita Godinez | ★★★☆☆ 65% |
| Spread | Jessica Andrade: +1.5, Lupita Godinez: -1.5 | Lupita Godinez -1.5 | ★★★☆☆ 60% |
| Over/under | over_2.5: -325, under_2.5: 250 | Under 2.5 rounds | ★★★★☆ 70% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
| Market | EV Pick |
|---|---|
| Moneyline | Lupita Godinez -12% |
| Spread | N/A |
| Over/Under | Under 2.5 145% |
🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 2.5 at 145% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 58% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Lupita Godinez is predicted to win a competitive decision or late finish due to her recent momentum and stylistic matchups. Andrade's power always presents a threat, but Godinez's tactical approach and endurance give her a slight edge.
Predicted Score: Lupita Godinez wins by decision or late TKO around round 3