Match Analysis: Jessica Andrade vs Lupita Godinez – Prediction

Match Details

• Date: 2025-08-17
• Time: 12:00 AM UTC
• Location: UFC Strawweight Division Prelims Venue (exact venue not specified)

Game Overview

This UFC Strawweight bout features Jessica Andrade, a former title challenger known for her aggressive striking and finishing ability, against Lupita Godinez, a rising wrestling-focused grappler with a strong recent record and solid defense.

Key Factors to Consider

• Jessica Andrade holds a 26-14-0 record with 10 KOs and 8 submissions, known for her pressure and Muay Thai striking. Lupita Godinez is 13-5-0 with high striking accuracy (49%), superior takedown defense (81%), and back-to-back decision wins, showing strong wrestling and grappling control.
• No prior direct matchups available between Andrade and Godinez to inform outcome.
• No reported injuries for either fighter ahead of the bout.
• The fight is part of UFC 319 prelims with no significant external disruptions noted. Andrade's experience could benefit under pressure, while Godinez carries momentum from recent wins.
• Andrade seeks to rebound and prove her veteran status against a top-15 opponent. Godinez aims to climb the rankings with her wrestling dominance and build on her recent win streak.

Odds and Predictions

Category	Odds	Prediction	Confidence
Moneyline	Jessica Andrade: +125, Lupita Godinez: -145	Lupita Godinez	★★★★☆ 72%
Spread	Godinez -1.5 rounds: -130, Andrade +1.5 rounds: +110	Godinez -1.5 rounds	★★★☆☆ 68%
Over/under	Over 2.5 rounds: -325, Under 2.5 rounds: +250	Under 2.5 rounds	★★★☆☆ 65%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market	EV Pick
Moneyline	Lupita Godinez -7%
Spread	N/A
Over/Under	Under 2.5 110%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 2.5 at 110% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 44% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Lupita Godinez to win by Decision

Predicted Score: Lupita Godinez wins by unanimous decision after 3 rounds

Top EV Parlay for MMA/Boxing – August 16, 2025

Game	Pick	Odds	EV
King Green vs. Carlos Diego Ferreira Prediction	Under 1.5	165	67%
Edson Barboza vs. Drakkar Klose Prediction	Under 2.5	132	44%
Jessica Andrade vs. Lupita Godinez Prediction	Over 2.5	-325	40%

Combined Odds: +704 |
Wager: $20 —
Potential Payout: $160.79

Match Analysis: Julia Polastri vs Lupita Godinez – Prediction

Match Details

• Date: 2025-03-29
• Time: 8:10 PM UTC
• Location: Arena CDMX in Mexico City, Mexico

Game Overview

This women's strawweight bout between Lupita Godinez and Julia Polastri takes place at UFC on ESPN 64. Both fighters are evenly matched but have different strengths; Godinez is skilled in wrestling, while Polastri has shown resilience and knockout capabilities.

Key Factors to Consider

• Lupita Godinez is favored due to her wrestling background and strong performance in setting up strikes. Julia Polastri has shown recent success with her aggressive style, especially in knockout wins.
• There is no head-to-head matchup history between these two fighters.
• No recent injury reports are available for either fighter.
• The fight takes place in Mexico City, which might favor Godinez due to home crowd support. However, Polastri's fighting style could benefit from her Brazilian background in martial arts.
• Both fighters are motivated to secure a win. Godinez aims to regain momentum after recent losses, while Polastri looks to continue her winning streak.

Odds and Predictions

Category	Odds	Prediction	Confidence
Moneyline	Julia Polastri: 225, Lupita Godinez: -278	Lupita Godinez	★★★☆☆ 65%
Spread	Julia Polastri: 3.5 -145, Lupita Godinez: -3.5 110	Lupita Godinez	★★★☆☆ 55%
Over_under	Over 2.5: -620, Under 2.5: 400	Over 2.5	★★★★☆ 75%

Predicted Outcome

Lupita Godinez is likely to win due to her well-rounded skills and recent experience against top opponents.

Predicted Score: Decision win for Lupita Godinez (29-28, 30-27, 30-27)