Match Analysis: Darren Till vs Luke Rockhold – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-08-30
- Time: 4:00 PM UTC
- Location: AO Arena, Manchester, England
Game Overview
Darren Till faces Luke Rockhold in a 6-round bridgerweight catchweight bout. Till enters undefeated in this discipline with 2 wins, showcasing notable power and youth advantage. Rockhold, a former UFC and Strikeforce champion, is older, has less recent success, and a losing record in this specific boxing format.
Key Factors to Consider
- Till is 2-0 in boxing matches, with a knockout win and solid recent form. Rockhold is 0-1 with a loss in his only boxing match, struggling to adapt from MMA. Till's power and experience in this boxing format give him an edge.
- No direct prior fights between Till and Rockhold exist in boxing or MMA.
- No reported injuries for either fighter impacting the matchup.
- Fight takes place in Manchester, England, favoring local support for Till. The bout is at a catchweight of 224 lb with six rounds, which suits Till's youth and conditioning.
- Till is seeking to build on his undefeated record in boxing to establish himself post-UFC. Rockhold aims to revive his combat sports career after mixed results across multiple disciplines.
Odds and Predictions
| Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | home: -1500, away: +850 | Darren Till | ★★★★☆ 85% |
| Spread | home_-2.5: -120, away_+2.5: +100 | Darren Till -2.5 rounds | ★★★★☆ 75% |
| Over/under | over_4.5_rounds: -110, under_4.5_rounds: -110 | Over 4.5 rounds | ★★★★☆ 80% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
| Market | EV Pick |
|---|---|
| Moneyline | Darren Till -13% |
| Spread | N/A |
| Over/Under | N/A |
🔥 Best Value Pick: Darren Till at -13% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 0% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Darren Till to win by decision
Predicted Score: Darren Till wins by unanimous decision 5-1 rounds