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Match Analysis: Piotr Kacprzak vs Łukasz Charzewski – Prediction

Match Details

• Date: 2025-09-20
• Time: 5:00 PM UTC
• Location: KSW Event Venue, Poland

Game Overview

This MMA bout features Piotr Kacprzak versus Łukasz Charzewski, two established Polish fighters competing on September 20, 2025, at 17:00 UTC at a KSW event. Both fighters have comparable experience but differ slightly in recent performance and fight outcomes.

Key Factors to Consider

• Piotr Kacprzak holds a professional record of 12 wins and 6 losses, showing solid striking and grappling versatility. Łukasz Charzewski has a slightly better record of 13 wins and 3 losses, with a strong finish rate and recent momentum in KSW promotions.
• There is limited direct head-to-head data publicly available indicating previous fights between Kacprzak and Charzewski, suggesting this may be their first professional encounter.
• No recent injury reports or corner concerns have been noted for either fighter leading into this bout, indicating both are likely at full health.
• The fight takes place in Poland, the home country for both fighters, minimizing travel fatigue and potentially increasing motivation. The bout is scheduled as part of a high-profile KSW event, elevating stakes.
• Both fighters are motivated to improve their rankings and status in KSW, with Charzewski holding a slight edge due to his recent winning streak and slightly better record.

Odds and Predictions

Category	Odds	Prediction	Confidence
Moneyline	Piotr Kacprzak: -120, Łukasz Charzewski: -110	Łukasz Charzewski	★★★☆☆ 65%
Spread	Piotr Kacprzak: -110, Łukasz Charzewski: -110	Łukasz Charzewski -1.5 rounds	★★★☆☆ 60%
Over/under	Over 2.5 rounds: -115, Under 2.5 rounds: -105	Over 2.5 rounds	★★★☆☆ 55%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market	EV Pick
Moneyline	Home 0%
Spread	N/A
Over/Under	N/A

🔥 Best Value Pick: Home at 0% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 0% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Łukasz Charzewski is favored to win based on superior record and recent form. Expect a competitive fight where Charzewski uses striking and aggressive pace to outscore or finish Kacprzak.

Predicted Score: Łukasz Charzewski wins by decision after 3 rounds

Match Analysis: Leo Brichta vs Łukasz Charzewski – Prediction

Match Details

• Date: 2025-02-21
• Time: 5:00 PM UTC
• Location: Home Credit Arena, Liberec, Czech Republic

Game Overview

Leo Brichta faces Łukasz Charzewski in the main event of KSW 103. Brichta is favored with a 61.2% chance of winning.

Key Factors to Consider

• Leo Brichta is currently favored due to his recent form and performance metrics. However, specific details about both fighters' recent performances are not provided.
• There is no reported head-to-head history between Leo Brichta and Łukasz Charzewski.
• No recent injury reports are available for either fighter.
• The fight's location in Liberec, Czech Republic, may not significantly impact either fighter as both are likely accustomed to European venues.
• Both fighters are motivated to win, but specific motivational factors are not detailed.

Odds and Predictions

Category	Odds	Prediction	Confidence
Moneyline	Brichta -160, Charzewski +130	Leo Brichta	★★★☆☆ 61%
Spread	Not specified	Leo Brichta	★★★☆☆ 55%
Over_under	Not specified	Over	★★★☆☆ 52%

Predicted Outcome

Leo Brichta is predicted to win based on current odds and performance metrics.

Predicted Score: Decision in favor of Leo Brichta