Match Analysis: Ryan Spann vs Lukasz Brzeski – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-07-19
- Time: 10:00 PM UTC
- Location: Smoothie King Center in New Orleans
Game Overview
This matchup features Ryan Spann, a favorite at -238, against Lukasz Brzeski, who is priced at +195. The bout is part of UFC 318.
Key Factors to Consider
- Ryan Spann has a record of 22-11-0, while Lukasz Brzeski is 9-6-1 (1 NC). Recently, Brzeski has lost five of his last six fights.
- No recent head-to-head data is available.
- No reported injuries for either fighter.
- Both fighters are fully focused on the bout with no external factors affecting their performance.
- Ryan Spann is highly motivated to maintain his winning record, while Lukasz Brzeski seeks to break his losing streak.
Odds and Predictions
| Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | Ryan Spann: -238, Lukasz Brzeski: +195 | Ryan Spann | ★★★★☆ 74% |
| Spread | Ryan Spann: -3.5 -230, Lukasz Brzeski: +3.5 165 | Ryan Spann | ★★★☆☆ 68% |
| Over/under | Over 1.5: 140, Under 1.5: -180 | Under 1.5 | ★★★☆☆ 58% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
| Market | EV Pick |
|---|---|
| Moneyline | Ryan Spann 5% |
| Spread | N/A |
| Over/Under | Under 1.5 -10% |
🔥 Best Value Pick: Ryan Spann at 5% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 12.1% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Ryan Spann to win by knockout.
Predicted Score: Ryan Spann wins by knockout.