Match Analysis: Jim Donovan vs Lukasz Barabasz – Prediction

Match Details

• Date: 2025-09-13
• Time: 3:30 PM UTC
• Location: Windsor Park, Belfast, Northern Ireland, United Kingdom

Game Overview

Jim Donovan is a heavy favorite against Lukasz Barabasz coming into their super middleweight 4-round bout, with extremely lopsided moneyline odds reflecting Donovan's dominant form and class advantage.

Key Factors to Consider

• Jim Donovan remains undefeated with a record of 14-0-1 and 11 KOs, showing consistent power and technical skill. Lukasz Barabasz is a significant underdog, with less impressive recent performances and fewer known high-level bouts.
• There is no prior head-to-head matchup between Donovan and Barabasz, making this fight a test of Donovan's superior record and Barabasz's potential to step up.
• No reported injuries for either fighter, allowing both to enter the bout in full health.
• The fight is held at Windsor Park in Belfast, nominally favoring Donovan as he has fought and succeeded in UK venues previously. No other external factors such as weather or travel issues reported.
• Donovan is highly motivated to maintain his unbeaten streak and build on his reputation, especially following recent high-profile bouts and appeal successes. Barabasz, as underdog, may be motivated for an upset but appears less battle-tested.

Odds and Predictions

Category	Odds	Prediction	Confidence
Moneyline	Jim Donovan: -15000, Lukasz Barabasz: +2000	Jim Donovan	★★★★★ 92%
Spread	Jim Donovan -3.5: -110, Lukasz Barabasz +3.5: -110	Jim Donovan -3.5	★★★★☆ 85%
Over/under	Over 3.5 rounds: -120, Under 3.5 rounds: 100	Under 3.5 rounds	★★★★☆ 75%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market	EV Pick
Moneyline	Jim Donovan -5%
Spread	N/A
Over/Under	N/A

🔥 Best Value Pick: Jim Donovan at -5% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 0% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Jim Donovan to win via moneyline

Predicted Score: Jim Donovan by unanimous decision within 4 rounds