Deprecated: stripos(): Non-string needles will be interpreted as strings in the future. Use an explicit chr() call to preserve the current behavior in /home/betinsight/domains/bettinginsight.pro/public_html/wp-content/plugins/odds based post generator/odds-based-post-generator.php on line 2928
Match Analysis: Luka Plantić vs Shadir Musa Bwogi – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-11-23
- Time: 7:00 PM UTC
- Location: Tirana Olympic Park, Tirana, Albania
Game Overview
The WBC International Super Middleweight title is on the line as undefeated Croatian boxer Luka Plantić (12-0, 9 KOs) defends his belt against undefeated Ugandan champion Shadir Musa Bwogi (9-0). The bout headlines a stacked card at the Tirana Olympic Park, with both fighters seeking to solidify their status as top contenders in the division. Plantić is known for his technical prowess and knockout power, while Bwogi brings a strong amateur pedigree and relentless pressure.
Key Factors to Consider
- Luka Plantić has shown consistent dominance, with 9 of his 12 wins coming by knockout, including notable victories over experienced opponents like Khoren Gevor. His style is aggressive, with strong combinations and a high work rate. Shadir Musa Bwogi remains undefeated but has faced less experienced opposition, relying on stamina, movement, and a solid jab. Bwogi’s amateur background gives him an edge in ring IQ, but Plantić’s professional experience and power are significant advantages.
- No previous professional meetings between Plantić and Bwogi. This is a fresh matchup with no direct history.
- No reported injuries for either fighter ahead of the bout.
- The fight takes place in Albania, which is neutral territory for both fighters. Weather and crowd support are unlikely to play a major role. The bout is streamed exclusively on DAZN, ensuring global visibility and potential pressure for both boxers.
- Plantić is defending his WBC International title and aims to maintain his undefeated record and knockout streak. Bwogi is seeking his first major professional title and a breakthrough win to elevate his international profile.
Odds and Predictions
| Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | Luka Plantić: 1.50, Shadir Musa Bwogi: 2.60, Draw: 15.00 | Luka Plantić to win | ★★★★☆ 75% |
| Spread | Plantić -2.5 rounds, Bwogi +2.5 rounds | Plantić to win inside the distance | ★★★☆☆ 68% |
| Over/under | Over 8.5 rounds: 1.90, Under 8.5 rounds: 1.85 | Under 8.5 rounds | ★★★★☆ 70% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
| Market | EV Pick |
|---|---|
| Moneyline | Home 0% |
| Spread | N/A |
| Over/Under | N/A |
🔥 Best Value Pick: Home at 0% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 100% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Luka Plantić is favored due to his superior knockout power, experience, and technical skill. Bwogi’s resilience and amateur pedigree make him dangerous, but Plantić’s aggression and finishing ability are likely to prevail in a competitive bout.
Predicted Score: Luka Plantić wins by TKO in the 7th round