Match Analysis: L'udovit Klein vs Mateusz Rebecki – Prediction

Match Details

• Date: 2025-10-25
• Time: 4:55 PM UTC
• Location: Etihad Arena, Abu Dhabi, UAE

Game Overview

Lightweight UFC prelim bout featuring L'udovit Klein and Mateusz Rebecki, both skilled strikers with solid MMA records and recent fights in top promotions.

Key Factors to Consider

• L'udovit Klein holds a 23-5-1 record, showing consistent recent form with a diverse finishing ability, while Mateusz Rebecki at 20-3-0 has strong grappling and durability but lost his last fight via unanimous decision.
• No previous fights between Klein and Rebecki to inform matchup dynamics.
• No reported injuries for either fighter leading into the bout, indicating both are at full readiness.
• Fight scheduled on UFC 321 in Abu Dhabi; travel and acclimatization are likely equal for both as experienced competitors.
• Klein appears motivated to rebound after some recent decision losses, aiming to establish dominance, while Rebecki seeks to recover from his last unanimous decision loss to Chris Duncan.

Odds and Predictions

Category	Odds	Prediction	Confidence
Moneyline	L'udovit Klein: -130, Mateusz Rebecki: 110	L'udovit Klein	★★★☆☆ 68%
Spread	L'udovit Klein -3.5: 120, Mateusz Rebecki +3.5: -165	Mateusz Rebecki +3.5	★★★☆☆ 65%
Over/under	Over 2.5 rounds: -145, Under 2.5 rounds: 114	Under 2.5 rounds	★★★☆☆ 63%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market	EV Pick
Moneyline	L'udovit Klein 3%
Spread	N/A
Over/Under	Under 2.5 18%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 2.5 at 18% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 15.5% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

L'udovit Klein to win by decision

Predicted Score: Klein wins via unanimous decision in 3 rounds

Match Analysis: Mateusz Gamrot vs L'udovit Klein – Prediction

Match Details

• Date: 2025-05-31
• Time: 2:45 AM UTC
• Location: UFC Apex, Las Vegas, USA

Game Overview

Mateusz Gamrot faces L'udovit Klein in a highly anticipated lightweight bout at UFC Apex. Gamrot is a former two-time European submission wrestling champion and currently ranked in the UFC lightweight top 10, known for his strong wrestling and high takedown rate. Klein is unranked but boasts a 95.2% takedown defense and formidable striking. This is Klein’s biggest UFC opportunity to date[4][5][3].

Key Factors to Consider

• Gamrot averages 5.25 takedowns per fight with 43 UFC takedowns (2nd most in lightweight division), but Klein leads active lightweights in takedown defense (95.2%). Gamrot is a solid striker (3.23 significant strikes per minute) but absorbs a similar number (3.22), making him vulnerable to Klein’s power[5]. Klein is an aggressive striker with power and is difficult to take down.
• First meeting between the two. No prior record.
• No significant injuries reported; recent rumors of Klein’s injury were debunked[2].
• Event held at UFC Apex, known for intense atmosphere and fan energy, but with a smaller crowd compared to larger arenas[1][3].
• For Klein, this is the biggest fight of his career and a chance to break into the top 10. Gamrot is protecting his ranking and looking to reassert himself in the division[5][3].

Odds and Predictions

Category	Odds	Prediction	Confidence
Moneyline	Mateusz Gamrot: -162 | L'udovit Klein: 136	Mateusz Gamrot	★★★☆☆ 60%
Spread	Mateusz Gamrot: -3.5 150 | L'udovit Klein: 3.5 -205	L'udovit Klein +3.5 (covers)	★★★☆☆ 55%
Over/under	Over: 2.5 -315 | Under: 2.5 230	Over 2.5 rounds	★★★★☆ 75%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market	EV Pick
Moneyline	Mateusz Gamrot -3%
Spread	N/A
Over/Under	Over 2.5 -8%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Mateusz Gamrot at -3% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 0% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Gamrot is the favorite due to his wrestling pedigree and top-10 ranking, but the fight is likely to be very close. Expect a competitive, technical battle with Gamrot edging the decision via grappling control and experience, though Klein’s takedown defense and striking power make him dangerous throughout. The fight may go the distance, with Gamrot winning by split or unanimous decision in a close contest[5][4].

Predicted Score: Mateusz Gamrot by decision (scorecards: 29–28, 29–28, 28–29; split decision)