Match Analysis: Lucas Bahdi vs Roger Gutierrez – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-08-24
- Time: 12:00 AM UTC
- Location: Caribe Royale Orlando, Orlando
Game Overview
Lucas Bahdi, an undefeated 31-year-old rising lightweight star with 19-0 record and strong knockout power, faces Roger Gutierrez, a more experienced but less consistent opponent at 29-6-1 with solid resilience. Bahdi’s agility, speed, and higher recent ranking versus Gutierrez’s experience and reach advantage set the stage for a tactical contest over 10 rounds.
Key Factors to Consider
- Bahdi shows dominant form with 19 straight wins, 15 by knockout, and top 10 rankings across major boxing bodies. Gutierrez has mixed results with 6 losses but holds a solid knockout rate and stamina.
- No direct prior matchups between Bahdi and Gutierrez available; analysis relies on their contrasting profiles and styles.
- No reported injuries for either fighter leading up to the bout.
- The fight is held in Orlando, potentially neutral ground; no notable external disruptions or conditions are expected.
- Bahdi is motivated to maintain his undefeated status and climb rankings; Gutierrez aims to re-establish himself against a top contender, adding competitive drive.
Odds and Predictions
| Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | home: -600, away: +400 | Lucas Bahdi | ★★★★☆ 78% |
| Spread | Bahdi -2.5 rounds: -125, Gutierrez +2.5 rounds: +105 | Bahdi -2.5 rounds | ★★★☆☆ 65% |
| Over/under | over 8.5 rounds: -110, under 8.5 rounds: -110 | Under 8.5 rounds | ★★★☆☆ 60% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
| Market | EV Pick |
|---|---|
| Moneyline | Lucas Bahdi -13% |
| Spread | N/A |
| Over/Under | N/A |
🔥 Best Value Pick: Lucas Bahdi at -13% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 0% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Lucas Bahdi to win by decision
Predicted Score: Lucas Bahdi wins by unanimous decision, 97-93