Match Analysis: Michelle Montague vs Luana Carolina – Prediction

Match Details

• Date: 2025-09-27
• Time: 11:50 PM UTC
• Location: RAC Arena, Perth, AUS

Game Overview

Michelle Montague meets Luana Carolina in a UFC bantamweight matchup at UFC Perth. Montague enters as the strong favorite based on recent betting odds and form, with Carolina viewed as the underdog but possessing potential for an upset.

Key Factors to Consider

• Montague has shown consistent performance in recent bouts, demonstrating superior striking and grappling control compared to Carolina, whose recent fights show some inconsistency.
• There is no direct previous matchup between Montague and Carolina to provide head-to-head data, meaning the assessment relies on stylistic and recent performance analysis.
• No reported recent injuries for either fighter; Carolina was previously removed from a scheduled fight in early 2025 but without injury related reasons, indicating both fighters are likely at full strength.
• The fight taking place in Perth, Australia, offers a slight geographical advantage for Montague, a New Zealand fighter accustomed to the time zone and conditions; no other significant external distractions noted.
• Both fighters are motivated to secure a significant divisional position; Montague, as a favorite, may carry the pressure of expectations, while Carolina may be driven by the underdog role to push aggressively.

Odds and Predictions

Category	Odds	Prediction	Confidence
Moneyline	Michelle Montague: -230, Luana Carolina: 190	Michelle Montague	★★★★☆ 72%
Spread	Montague -1.5: -120, Carolina +1.5: +100	Montague -1.5	★★★☆☆ 68%
Over/under	Over 2.5: -150, Under 2.5: 126	Under 2.5 rounds	★★★☆☆ 65%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market	EV Pick
Moneyline	Michelle Montague -5%
Spread	N/A
Over/Under	Under 2.5 29%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 2.5 at 29% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 22.9% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Michelle Montague to win via decision

Predicted Score: Michelle Montague wins by decision in 3 rounds

Match Analysis: Montana De La Rosa vs Luana Carolina – Prediction

Match Details

• Date: March 1, 2025
• Time: 9:15 PM UTC
• Location: UFC Apex, Las Vegas, Nevada

Game Overview

Montana De La Rosa faces Luana Carolina in a flyweight bout at UFC Fight Night 253. Both fighters have recent wins, with De La Rosa defeating Andrea Lee and Carolina beating Lucie Pudilova. The fight is evenly matched, with Carolina favored slightly due to her recent form and Muay Thai background.

Key Factors to Consider

• Montana De La Rosa has a record of 13-9-1, while Luana Carolina stands at 11-4. Both fighters are experienced in the flyweight division, but Carolina's Muay Thai skills might give her an edge in striking.
• There is no prior head-to-head match between Montana De La Rosa and Luana Carolina, making this a first encounter.
• No reported injuries for either fighter ahead of the bout.
• The fight takes place at the UFC Apex in Las Vegas, which could favor neither fighter significantly due to its neutral environment.
• Both fighters are motivated by recent wins and the desire to climb the flyweight rankings.

Odds and Predictions

Category	Odds	Prediction	Confidence
Moneyline	Luana Carolina: -125, Montana De La Rosa: 105	Luana Carolina	★★★☆☆ 55%
Spread	Luana Carolina: -3.5 175, Montana De La Rosa: 3.5 -240	Montana De La Rosa +3.5	★★★☆☆ 52%
Over_under	Over: 2.5 -450, Under: 2.5 350	Over 2.5	★★★☆☆ 60%

Predicted Outcome

Luana Carolina is favored to win due to her recent form and Muay Thai background.

Predicted Score: Decision in favor of Luana Carolina