Match Analysis: Luan Duarte vs Leon Hill – Prediction

Match Details

• Date: 2025-09-27
• Time: 5:00 PM UTC
• Location: Cage Warriors 194

Game Overview

Luan Duarte faces Leon Hill in a highly anticipated MMA bout at Cage Warriors 194. Hill is the strong favorite at -500 odds with superior recent form and experience, while Duarte is the underdog at +300 odds, known for durability and submission skills.

Key Factors to Consider

• Leon Hill has maintained a dominant winning streak in recent fights with decisive finishes, showing effective striking and takedown defense. Luan Duarte has been competitive but less consistent against top-tier opponents, relying on grappling strength.
• No direct previous matchup found between Duarte and Hill; therefore, predictive modeling relies on stylistic contrasts and recent performances against common caliber opponents.
• No reported injuries or physical issues for either fighter entering the bout, suggesting both are at full strength.
• Fight location and cage conditions favor neither fighter significantly; both have experience fighting internationally with good acclimatization.
• Leon Hill appears highly motivated to secure a title shot with a convincing win, while Duarte aims to upset the favorite and climb rankings. Hill's motivation edge is slightly higher due to immediate career advancement implications.

Odds and Predictions

Category	Odds	Prediction	Confidence
Moneyline	Leon Hill: -500, Luan Duarte: +300	Leon Hill	★★★★☆ 78%
Spread	Leon Hill -1.5 rounds: -250, Luan Duarte +1.5 rounds: +180	Leon Hill -1.5 rounds	★★★☆☆ 65%
Over/under	Over 2.5 rounds: -120, Under 2.5 rounds: -110	Under 2.5 rounds	★★★★☆ 70%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market	EV Pick
Moneyline	Home 0%
Spread	N/A
Over/Under	N/A

🔥 Best Value Pick: Home at 0% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 0% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Leon Hill to win on the moneyline

Predicted Score: Leon Hill wins by second-round TKO

3 Pick Daily Parlay

Game	Pick	Odds (American)	Confidence
Luan Duarte vs. Leon Hill Prediction	Leon Hill Win	-500	★★★★☆ 78% (78%)
Badreddine Diani vs. Amir Fazli Prediction	Badreddine Diani Win	-405	★★★★☆ 78% (78%)
Xavier Alaoui vs. Islam Youssef Prediction	Xavier Alaoui Win	-720	★★★★☆ 78% (78%)

Parlay Odds Calculation

Combined American Odds: -142

Wager: $20 — Potential Payout: $34.08

Match Analysis: Anthony Orozco vs Luan Duarte – Prediction

Match Details

• Date: 2025-07-12
• Time: 7:30 PM UTC
• Location: Cage Warriors 192

Game Overview

Anthony Orozco faces Luan Duarte in a lightweight MMA bout at Cage Warriors 192, both fighters evenly matched in height and weight but with contrasting career records and experience levels.

Key Factors to Consider

• Orozco is undefeated at 6-0 with 4 KOs, showing strong finishing ability but less overall experience. Duarte has a much larger sample size at 14-10 with 12 KOs, indicating toughness and experience but more losses.
• No previous head-to-head matchup data available between Orozco and Duarte, making this a fresh and unpredictable contest.
• No reported injuries for either fighter leading up to the bout, suggesting both are in optimal condition.
• The bout takes place at Cage Warriors 192, a reputable promotion with standard conditions, and both fighters are making their usual weight, minimizing external disadvantages.
• Orozco looks to maintain his undefeated record and break into higher recognition. Duarte aims to capitalize on his experience and rebound from past losses, giving both strong motivation.

Odds and Predictions

Category	Odds	Prediction	Confidence
Moneyline	Anthony Orozco: -1000, Luan Duarte: 700	Anthony Orozco	★★★★☆ 78%
Spread	Anthony Orozco -1.5: -150, Luan Duarte +1.5: 130	Anthony Orozco -1.5	★★★★☆ 70%
Over/under	Over 1.5 rounds: 100, Under 1.5 rounds: -130	Under 1.5 rounds	★★★☆☆ 65%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market	EV Pick
Moneyline	Anthony Orozco -7%
Spread	N/A
Over/Under	Under 1.5 6%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 1.5 at 6% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 8% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Anthony Orozco to win by moneyline given his undefeated streak and finishing power despite odds reflecting heavy favoritism.

Predicted Score: Anthony Orozco wins by KO/TKO in round 2