Match Analysis: Anthony Orozco vs Luan Duarte – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-07-12
- Time: 7:30 PM UTC
- Location: Cage Warriors 192
Game Overview
Anthony Orozco faces Luan Duarte in a lightweight MMA bout at Cage Warriors 192, both fighters evenly matched in height and weight but with contrasting career records and experience levels.
Key Factors to Consider
- Orozco is undefeated at 6-0 with 4 KOs, showing strong finishing ability but less overall experience. Duarte has a much larger sample size at 14-10 with 12 KOs, indicating toughness and experience but more losses.
- No previous head-to-head matchup data available between Orozco and Duarte, making this a fresh and unpredictable contest.
- No reported injuries for either fighter leading up to the bout, suggesting both are in optimal condition.
- The bout takes place at Cage Warriors 192, a reputable promotion with standard conditions, and both fighters are making their usual weight, minimizing external disadvantages.
- Orozco looks to maintain his undefeated record and break into higher recognition. Duarte aims to capitalize on his experience and rebound from past losses, giving both strong motivation.
Odds and Predictions
| Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | Anthony Orozco: -1000, Luan Duarte: 700 | Anthony Orozco | ★★★★☆ 78% |
| Spread | Anthony Orozco -1.5: -150, Luan Duarte +1.5: 130 | Anthony Orozco -1.5 | ★★★★☆ 70% |
| Over/under | Over 1.5 rounds: 100, Under 1.5 rounds: -130 | Under 1.5 rounds | ★★★☆☆ 65% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
| Market | EV Pick |
|---|---|
| Moneyline | Anthony Orozco -7% |
| Spread | N/A |
| Over/Under | Under 1.5 6% |
🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 1.5 at 6% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 8% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Anthony Orozco to win by moneyline given his undefeated streak and finishing power despite odds reflecting heavy favoritism.
Predicted Score: Anthony Orozco wins by KO/TKO in round 2