The Miami Marlins host the Los Angeles Dodgers in an MLB regular season matchup. The previous day, May 6, 2025, the Marlins edged the Dodgers 5-4 in a close contest at the same venue. Both teams are competitive, with the Dodgers as strong favorites on the moneyline despite their recent loss. This game offers a chance for the Dodgers to respond and reassert dominance while the Marlins aim to build on their momentum and home-field advantage.
Key Factors to Consider
The Dodgers have a strong season record with a potent lineup and effective pitching staff but have faced stiff competition recently. The Marlins have shown resilience at home and have pulled an upset against the Dodgers in the previous meeting, indicating potential to challenge despite underdog status.
In the most recent meeting on May 6, 2025, the Miami Marlins narrowly beat the Los Angeles Dodgers 5-4 at LoanDepot Park. Historically, the Dodgers have had the upper hand in this matchup, but recent form shows a competitive balance.
No significant injuries reported for either team affecting starting pitchers or key hitters as of game day; both teams are expected to field close to full strength.
The game is being played in Miami's home stadium, which typically favors the Marlins due to familiarity and fan support. Weather conditions are expected to be good with no rain forecasted, which should not affect pitching or hitting.
The Dodgers are motivated to recover quickly after a narrow loss to maintain their position in the standings. The Marlins seek to capitalize on home advantage and recent win to build momentum in their campaign.
Odds and Predictions
Category
Odds
Prediction
Confidence
Moneyline
Los Angeles Dodgers: -225, Miami Marlins: 188
Los Angeles Dodgers
★★★★☆ 75%
Spread
Los Angeles Dodgers: -1.5 -142, Miami Marlins: 1.5 118
Los Angeles Dodgers -1.5
★★★★☆ 70%
Over/under
Over 9.5: -110, Under 9.5: -110
Over 9.5
★★★☆☆ 60%
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
Market
EV Pick
Moneyline
Los Angeles Dodgers -6%
Spread
N/A
Over/Under
Over 9.5 5%
🔥 Best Value Pick: Over 9.5 at 5% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 5.5% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
The Los Angeles Dodgers are predicted to win this game by a narrow margin, leveraging their superior overall talent and experience. However, the Miami Marlins' home advantage and recent victory mean this will be a competitive game likely decided by small margins.
Predicted Score: Los Angeles Dodgers 6 – Miami Marlins 4
Location: Truist Park (implied from Braves being home team in search results)
Game Overview
The Los Angeles Dodgers recently dominated the Braves 10-3 on May 3, 2025[1][2], suggesting strong offensive form. The Braves are playing back-to-back home games, while the Dodgers aim to continue their momentum.
Key Factors to Consider
Dodgers demonstrated superior run production (10 runs) and likely strong pitching in their May 3 victory[1]. Braves' 3-run output indicates potential offensive struggles.
Recent result favors Dodgers decisively (10-3)[1][2], though May 4 lineup adjustments could alter dynamics.
No injury updates available from provided data – critical factor needing live verification.
None specified in available data, though fatigue management may affect bullpen usage after high-scoring game.
Braves seek redemption after heavy home loss; Dodgers aim to solidify dominance.
Odds and Predictions
Category
Odds
Prediction
Confidence
Moneyline
Braves +136 | Dodgers -150
Dodgers ML (-150)
★★★☆☆ 65%
Spread
Braves +1.5 (-125) | Dodgers -1.5 (+105)
Dodgers -1.5 (+105)
55% (caution advised given baseball's inherent variance)
Over/under
Over 9 (-120) | Under 9 (+100)
Over 9 (-120)
★★★☆☆ 60%
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
Market
EV Pick
Moneyline
Los Angeles Dodgers 42%
Spread
N/A
Over/Under
Over 9 6%
🔥 Best Value Pick: Los Angeles Dodgers at 42% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 30.6% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Lean Dodgers moneyline (-150) given recent offensive explosion and pitching staff's ability to limit Braves' lineup[1][5], though home-field rebound potential exists.
The Dodgers (20-10, 1st NL West) face the Marlins (12-17, 5th NL East) after demolishing Miami 15-2 on April 29, fueled by Teoscar Hernandez's 4-hit performance. Los Angeles holds a dominant 14-3 home record, while Miami struggles at 4-9 on the road.
Key Factors to Consider
Dodgers rank among MLB's top offenses, averaging 5.3 runs/game (implied by 15-run outburst). Marlins' pitching struggles with Cal Quantrill's 7.83 ERA/1.78 WHIP creating vulnerability[5].
Dodgers dominated H2H matchups this season, including a 15-2 blowout[2][5].
No injury updates provided in available data.
Dodger Stadium's hitter-friendly conditions at night (9.5 over/under) favor power bats like Ohtani (.290 AVG, .533 SLG)[2][5].
Dodgers aiming to extend NL West lead; Marlins seeking to halt 4+ game road skid (data suggests extended struggles)[1][5].
Odds and Predictions
Category
Odds
Prediction
Confidence
Moneyline
LAD -330 / MIA +265
LAD moneyline
★★★★☆ 85%
Spread
LAD -1.5 (-156) / MIA +1.5 (+130)
LAD -1.5
★★★★☆ 70%
Over/under
Over 9.5 (-114) / Under 9.5 (-106)
Over 9.5
★★★☆☆ 65%
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
Market
EV Pick
Moneyline
Los Angeles Dodgers 174%
Spread
N/A
Over/Under
Over 9.5 13%
🔥 Best Value Pick: Los Angeles Dodgers at 174% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 65.6% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Dodgers win decisively, covering -1.5 spread. Over 9.5 runs likely due to Quantrill's struggles and Dodgers' offensive firepower.
Predicted Score: Los Angeles Dodgers 8 – 3 Miami Marlins
The Los Angeles Dodgers, currently second in the NL West with a 17-10 record, face off against the Pittsburgh Pirates, fifth in the NL Central with an 11-17 record. The Dodgers seek to secure a series win after splitting the first two games.
Key Factors to Consider
The Dodgers have shown strong performance overall, with recent wins indicating good form. The Pirates have struggled, but managed a shutout win in one of the series games.
Recent games show the Dodgers having the edge over the Pirates, with a notable win on April 26.
No significant injury reports are available for either team that could impact this match.
Weather conditions in Los Angeles are mild, with minimal wind, which should not affect gameplay significantly.
Both teams are motivated to win, but the Dodgers have more to gain with a series victory.
Odds and Predictions
Category
Odds
Prediction
Confidence
Moneyline
Los Angeles Dodgers: -335, Pittsburgh Pirates: 270
Los Angeles Dodgers
★★★★☆ 70%
Spread
Los Angeles Dodgers: -1.5 -162, Pittsburgh Pirates: 1.5 134
Los Angeles Dodgers
★★★☆☆ 65%
Over/under
Over: 8.5 -102, Under: 8.5 -120
Over
★★★☆☆ 60%
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
Market
EV Pick
Moneyline
Los Angeles Dodgers 4%
Spread
N/A
Over/Under
Over 8.5 9%
🔥 Best Value Pick: Over 8.5 at 9% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 9.1% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
The Dodgers are likely to win due to their superior record and recent performance.