The Los Angeles Dodgers (61-44) visit the Boston Red Sox (56-50) in a tightly contested mid-season MLB matchup featuring probable starters Dustin May for the Dodgers and Walker Buehler for the Red Sox. The Dodgers enter as slight favorites on the moneyline and run line, with a total set around 10 runs, indicating expectations of a moderately scoring game.
Key Factors to Consider
The Dodgers have performed strongly as moneyline favorites this season, holding a 61% win rate in such games. They are led offensively by hot hitters like Teoscar Hernandez, currently on a homer streak, while the Red Sox have shown resilience, particularly at home. Starting pitching is somewhat even, though Dustin May carries a better ERA (4.73) compared to Buehler's higher 5.72 ERA.
Recent matchups between these teams have been competitive, with games often decided by close margins. The Dodgers have had a slight edge as favorites, but the Red Sox won the previous meeting at Fenway, reflecting a balanced rivalry.
No significant injuries reported for either team that would impact starting pitching or key offensive contributors, maintaining the integrity of usual lineups.
The game is at Fenway Park, a hitter-friendly park which can boost scoring slightly. Weather conditions expected to be stable, with no wind or rain interference reported.
Both teams are jockeying for playoff positioning. The Dodgers, with a better winning percentage, aim to solidify their lead, while the Red Sox are motivated to upset a favored opponent on home turf.
Odds and Predictions
Category
Odds
Prediction
Confidence
Moneyline
Boston +110 / Dodgers -130
Dodgers
β β β ββ 68%
Spread
Boston +1.5 (-142) / Dodgers -1.5 (+118)
Dodgers -1.5
β β β ββ 62%
Over/under
Over 10 (-120) / Under 10 (-102)
Under 10
β β β ββ 59%
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
Market
EV Pick
Moneyline
Los Angeles Dodgers 1%
Spread
N/A
Over/Under
Under 10 17%
π₯ Best Value Pick: Under 10 at 17% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 17.2% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Los Angeles Dodgers moneyline win, Dodgers -1.5 spread win, and under 10 total runs
The Los Angeles Dodgers host the Minnesota Twins in the final game of a three-game series at Dodger Stadium. The Dodgers are favored at home with a strong lineup and solid pitching matchup with Tyler Glasnow returning, while the Twins present a resilient offense but weaker pitching in Chris Paddack.
Key Factors to Consider
Dodgers have a 59-43 record but are struggling recently with 11 losses in their last 14 games and bullpen issues. Twins have a 49-52 record, coming off a morale-boosting 10-7 win in the previous game of this series.
Recent series favors Dodgers given home advantage, stronger starting pitching, and consistent offensive output, though Twins have shown ability to score runs in this series.
Dodgers recently got Tyler Glasnow back after injury, bolstering their rotation. Twins' key players including Byron Buxton are healthy but pitching depth concerns remain.
Playing at Dodger Stadium, a hitter-friendly park, potentially increases total run scoring. Weather and conditions are typical for late July in Los Angeles, neutral impact.
Dodgers motivated to recover form and strengthen playoff positioning; Twins aiming to build momentum and spoil Dodgers' home series finale.
Odds and Predictions
Category
Odds
Prediction
Confidence
Moneyline
Dodgers -240, Twins +198
Los Angeles Dodgers
β β β β β 75%
Spread
Dodgers -1.5 at -114, Twins +1.5 at -105
Los Angeles Dodgers -1.5
β β β ββ 68%
Over/under
Over 8.5 runs -122, Under 8.5 runs +100
Under 8.5 runs
β β β ββ 60%
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
Market
EV Pick
Moneyline
Los Angeles Dodgers -1%
Spread
N/A
Over/Under
Under 8.5 16%
π₯ Best Value Pick: Under 8.5 at 16% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 16% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Los Angeles Dodgers to win outright on moneyline, cover the -1.5 run line, and the game to stay under 8.5 total runs.
The Los Angeles Dodgers host the Milwaukee Brewers in the final game of their three-game series. Both teams have strong records this season, with the Dodgers slightly trailing Milwaukee by one game in overall wins. This matchup features strong pitching matchups with Jose Quintana on the mound for the Brewers and a Dodgers starter yet to be confirmed.
Key Factors to Consider
The Dodgers hold a strong 58-41 record, winning 61.4% of games as favorites. The Brewers have a comparable 58-40 record, with solid pitching (3.66 ERA) and steady offense (.249 batting average). Dodgers have a slight edge in run production at home historically.
Historically, Dodgers lead the head-to-head 42-35, with 22 home wins. The last meeting was a close 8-7 Brewers victory, indicating competitive matchups. Home team averages 4.62 runs per game, visitors 3.73.
No major injuries reported affecting starting lineups or pitching rotations for either team.
Playing at Dodger Stadium gives the Dodgers a home-field advantage. Weather and playing conditions are neutral with no impacting factors noted.
Dodgers motivated to defend home turf and reclaim series lead; Brewers motivated to complete the series sweep.
Odds and Predictions
Category
Odds
Prediction
Confidence
Moneyline
Dodgers -162, Brewers 136
Dodgers
β β β ββ 68%
Spread
Dodgers -1.5 (130), Brewers +1.5 (-156)
Brewers +1.5
β β β ββ 65%
Over/under
Over 9 (-112), Under 9 (-108)
Over 9
β β β ββ 62%
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
Market
EV Pick
Moneyline
Los Angeles Dodgers -3%
Spread
N/A
Over/Under
Over 9 4%
π₯ Best Value Pick: Over 9 at 4% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 4.6% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Los Angeles Dodgers to win on the moneyline, with a cautious expectation that Brewers will keep the game close, and the total runs to go over the line of 9 runs.
The Los Angeles Dodgers visit the San Francisco Giants in a key divisional matchup. The Dodgers are favored on the road, with both teams aiming to maintain momentum and playoff positioning. Recent form and pitching matchups will be pivotal.
Key Factors to Consider
The Dodgers have been strong favorites this season, winning 42 of 67 games when listed as -142 or greater on the moneyline. Their winning percentage as favorites overall is 61.7%. The Giants, while underdogs, have competitive home form and occasional strong pitching performances.
Dodgers have consistently performed well against the Giants in recent years, often with offensive outbursts, but Giants have surprised at home in rivalry matchups.
No major injuries reported for either side that would significantly alter betting expectations. Regular lineups are expected.
Oracle Park is a pitcher-friendly stadium, which may suppress run totals. Weather conditions are expected to be neutral, with no significant wind or precipitation.
Both teams are motivated for late-season positioning. The Dodgers aim to assert their dominance, while the Giants look to play spoiler and gain divisional ground.
Odds and Predictions
Category
Odds
Prediction
Confidence
Moneyline
Dodgers: -142, Giants: +120
Dodgers moneyline
β β β ββ 62%
Spread
Dodgers: -1.5 (+126), Giants: +1.5 (-152)
Giants +1.5
β β β ββ 65%
Over/under
Over 7.5 (-110), Under 7.5 (-110)
Under 7.5
β β β ββ 58%
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
Market
EV Pick
Moneyline
Los Angeles Dodgers 36%
Spread
N/A
Over/Under
Under 7.5 11%
π₯ Best Value Pick: Los Angeles Dodgers at 36% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 30.3% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Despite the Giants having home-field advantage and a solid underdog profile, the Dodgers' superior roster depth and recent performance as road favorites present value.