Match Analysis: Le Havre vs Lorient – Prediction

Match Details

• Date: 2025-09-21
• Time: 3:15 PM UTC
• Location: Stade Oceane, Le Havre, France

Game Overview

Le Havre and Lorient meet in a Ligue 1 match where both teams are struggling in the lower half of the table, with Le Havre 13th and Lorient 16th. Both sides have had challenging starts to the season, with Le Havre securing a single win against Nice and Lorient suffering consecutive heavy defeats after an initial 4-0 win.

Key Factors to Consider

• Le Havre have won 1 out of 4 matches, showing some offensive strength but defensive vulnerabilities, conceding in every game. Lorient started strong with a 4-0 win but then conceded 11 goals in two heavy losses, indicating defensive instability.
• Recent head to head between Le Havre and Lorient is balanced with 2 wins each and 3 draws. The last competitive match ended in a 3-3 draw, and recent games have featured high goal-scoring outcomes, often with 3 or more goals.
• No specific injury data available; presumed no major absences that significantly alter team strength based on current sources.
• Match is held at Le Havre’s home ground, Stade Oceane, which could give them a slight home advantage. Weather and pitch conditions unknown but no notable external disruptions reported.
• Both teams are motivated to improve their standings early in the season, making this a potentially intense and competitive match as both seek valuable points.

Odds and Predictions

Category	Odds	Prediction	Confidence
Moneyline	Le Havre: 116, Lorient: 220, Draw: 245	Le Havre win	★★★☆☆ 65%
Spread	Le Havre -0.25: -112, Lorient +25: -108	Le Havre -0.25	★★★☆☆ 60%
Over/under	Over 2.5: -110, Under 2.5: -110	Over 2.5 goals	★★★★☆ 70%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market	EV Pick
Moneyline	Le Havre 12%
Spread	N/A
Over/Under	Over 2.5 24%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Over 2.5 at 24% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 26.5% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Given the recent form and head-to-head history, a closely contested match is expected with goals from both sides. The balanced head-to-head record and current struggles suggest a draw or narrow Le Havre win as the most probable outcomes.

Predicted Score: 2-1

Match Analysis: Marseille vs Lorient – Prediction

Match Details

• Date: 2025-09-12
• Time: 6:45 PM UTC
• Location: Orange Velodrome, Marseille, France

Game Overview

Marseille hosts Lorient in a Ligue 1 clash at Orange Velodrome. Marseille is currently 10th in the league, with Lorient placed 15th. Marseille has shown mixed form with a recent loss to Lyon and a strong win against Paris FC, featuring strong offensive players like Pierre-Emerick Aubameyang. Lorient struggled defensively in their last game with a heavy 7-1 defeat to Lille but showed resilience earlier with a 4-0 win over Rennes.

Key Factors to Consider

• Marseille has scored 5 goals in their last two league matches but conceded 3, highlighting both offensive strength and defensive vulnerabilities. Lorient has been inconsistent, with a significant defensive collapse in the last match and a generally struggle to maintain solidity away from home. Overall, Marseille’s offensive firepower and home advantage favor them.
• Historically, Marseille dominates the head-to-head with 21 wins out of 36 matches, compared to Lorient’s 6 wins and 9 draws. Recent meetings also saw Marseille comfortably outscoring Lorient with an aggregate of 7-3 in the 2023-24 season.
• No specific injury updates were reported in available data, suggesting relatively full-strength squads, though usual squad rotation and tactical choices may influence lineups.
• The match is in Marseille’s home stadium, conferring a significant advantage. Lorient’s away form has been weak. Also, recent psychological factors like Lorient’s heavy defeat before the break may hamper their confidence.
• Marseille seeks to consolidate their mid-table start and capitalize on home conditions, likely motivated to avoid consecutive defeats. Lorient aims to stabilize after a giant loss and potentially secure their first away win since March 2024.

Odds and Predictions

Category	Odds	Prediction	Confidence
Moneyline	marseille: -290, lorient: 625, draw: 445	Marseille win	★★★★☆ 75%
Spread	marseille: 102 ( -1.5 ), lorient: -122 ( +1.5 )	Marseille -1.5	★★★☆☆ 65%
Over/under	over: 100 (3.25 goals), under: -120 (3.25 goals)	Over 3.25 goals	★★★☆☆ 60%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market	EV Pick
Moneyline	Marseille -9%
Spread	N/A
Over/Under	Over 3.25 16%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Over 3.25 at 16% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 16% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Marseille to win comfortably by exploiting Lorient's defensive frailties and leveraging home advantage. Lorient may adopt a cautious approach but are vulnerable to Marseille’s attack.

Predicted Score: Marseille 3 – 1 Lorient

3 Pick Daily Parlay

Game	Pick	Odds (American)	Confidence
Marseille vs. Lorient Prediction	Marseille -1.5	102	★★★☆☆ 65% (65%)
Sevilla vs. Elche CF Prediction	Sevilla -0.5	-102	★★★☆☆ 65% (65%)
Bayer Leverkusen vs. Eintracht Frankfurt Prediction	Eintracht Frankfurt Win	180	★★★☆☆ 65% (65%)

Parlay Odds Calculation

Combined American Odds: +1020

Wager: $20 — Potential Payout: $224.02

Match Analysis: Lorient vs Lille – Prediction

Match Details

• Date: 2025-08-30
• Time: 3:00 PM UTC
• Location: Stade Yves Allainmat-Le Moustoir, Lorient, France

Game Overview

Lorient faces Lille in a Ligue 1 match where Lille currently holds a slight edge historically and in form. Lorient ranks 6th and Lille 5th in the league, setting a balanced contest with Lille having a marginal recent advantage.

Key Factors to Consider

• Lorient has won 10 of the last 32 meetings against Lille but generally concedes more goals (1.63 goals allowed per match) compared to Lille (0.97). Lille has scored more goals on average (1.63) than Lorient (0.97). Recently, both teams have comparable last 5 match stats with Lorient winning 3 and Lille also winning 3. Lille's recent away results have been strong, whereas Lorient has performed well at home.
• Across all meetings, Lille has the advantage with 16 wins to Lorient's 10 out of 33 matches, and 7 draws. Lille scored 54 goals versus Lorient's 32 in these encounters. The last direct competitive match before this season ended with Lille winning 3-0 at home. Historically, Lille wins more consistently and scores more goals in head-to-head.
• No specific injury information is currently available from the data.
• The match is held at Lorient's home stadium, Stade Yves Allainmat-Le Moustoir, which might provide a home-field advantage to Lorient. Both teams are closely ranked in Ligue 1, enhancing motivation levels.
• Both teams are positioned closely in the league table (Lille 5th, Lorient 6th), likely motivating them to secure maximum points to challenge for higher spots early in the season.

Odds and Predictions

Category	Odds	Prediction	Confidence
Moneyline	Lille: 1.15, Lorient: 2.3, Draw: 2.54	Lille Win	★★★★☆ 72%
Spread	Lille -0.25: -117, Lorient +25: -103	Lille -0.25	★★★☆☆ 65%
Over/under	Over 2.5: -115, Under 2.5: -105	Under 2.5 Goals	★★★☆☆ 58%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market	EV Pick
Moneyline	Lille -3%
Spread	N/A
Over/Under	Under 2.5 13%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 2.5 at 13% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 13.9% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

A tightly contested match is expected with Lille slightly favored due to stronger historical performance, better goal statistics, and slightly better away form. The prediction leans towards a Lille win or a draw, with a cautious outlook on total goals.

Predicted Score: 1-1

Match Analysis: Lorient vs Rennes – Prediction

Match Details

• Date: 2025-08-24
• Time: 1:00 PM UTC
• Location: Stade du Moustoir (Lorient's home ground)

Game Overview

The Ligue 1 clash between Lorient and Rennes is poised to be closely contested. Lorient, playing at home, approaches the match with recent strong head-to-head success against Rennes, while Rennes remains a historically dominant side in the fixture over a longer timeframe. Both teams show contrasting recent form and scoring patterns, suggesting a competitive and tactical battle.

Key Factors to Consider

• Lorient has won 4 of the last 6 meetings against Rennes, displaying effective play in recent encounters. Their last 5 overall show strong form with 4 wins and 1 draw, conceding an average of 1.0 goal per match. Rennes remains historically superior with more total wins overall but has had mixed recent results, winning 3, drawing 1, and losing 1 in their last 5 matches.
• Historically, Rennes has won 22 out of 42 matches since 2005 with 10 draws and 10 wins for Lorient. However, recent head-to-head stats favor Lorient with 4 wins in their last 6 games against Rennes, including away victories. Goal averages indicate Rennes tend to score 1.6 goals per match while Lorient scores around 0.9, highlighting Rennes’ stronger offense over time.
• Current injury details are not provided in the available data, suggesting no known significant absences impacting either side significantly.
• The game is played at Lorient’s Stade du Moustoir, potentially giving them a home advantage. No notable external conditions such as weather or travel disruptions have been reported.
• Lorient’s recent head-to-head dominance may boost their confidence, particularly at home, while Rennes will be motivated to regain superiority in this fixture and maintain their league position early in the season.

Odds and Predictions

Category	Odds	Prediction	Confidence
Moneyline	Lorient: 170, Rennes: 165, Draw: 230	Lorient win	★★★☆☆ 62%
Spread	Lorient: -112, Rennes: -108, spread_line: 0	Lorient to cover the spread (draw no bet)	★★★☆☆ 60%
Over/under	Over 2.5: -105, Under 2.5: -115	Under 2.5 goals	★★★☆☆ 65%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market	EV Pick
Moneyline	Lorient 8%
Spread	N/A
Over/Under	Under 2.5 22%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 2.5 at 22% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 24.8% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Given Lorient's strong recent head-to-head form against Rennes and the home advantage, a narrow victory for Lorient is predicted, with a likely tight scoreline reflecting both teams' defensive strengths and motivation to capitalize early in the season.

Predicted Score: 1-0

Match Analysis: Auxerre vs Lorient – Prediction

Match Details

• Date: 2025-08-17
• Time: 3:15 PM UTC
• Location: Stade de l'Abbé-Deschamps, Auxerre, France

Game Overview

The Ligue 1 season opener pits top-ranked Auxerre against fourth-placed Lorient at Auxerre's home ground. Both teams have demonstrated competitive form, with Auxerre favored due to home advantage and higher league standing. This match is expected to be keenly contested given the close league positions and both clubs' desire to start the season strongly.

Key Factors to Consider

• Auxerre finished the prior season in 1st place and show strong recent form despite some losses against top sides like PSG. Lorient, ranked 4th, have had mixed results including heavy defeats but also dominant wins such as 5-0 over Clermont. Overall, Auxerre appear more consistent, especially at home, while Lorient have been capable of high-scoring performances but also susceptible defensively.
• Recent head-to-head data is limited for the 2025 season start, but both teams have had balanced encounters historically. No dominant winning trend emerges, indicating a competitive fixture.
• Current data does not specify any major injuries for either Auxerre or Lorient, suggesting both teams could field near full-strength lineups.
• The match being at Auxerre's home stadium provides a home advantage. Weather and pitch conditions are not indicated as factors. No significant off-field issues appear to influence either team.
• As the first round of the Ligue 1 season, both teams have high motivation to secure maximum points. Auxerre aims to assert dominance early as defending leaders, while Lorient seeks to challenge strongly and disrupt the favorite.

Odds and Predictions

Category	Odds	Prediction	Confidence
Moneyline	Auxerre: 1.4, Lorient: 2.06, Draw: 2.44	Auxerre win	★★★★☆ 72%
Spread	Auxerre -0.25: 1.04, Lorient +25: 1.24	Auxerre -0.25	★★★☆☆ 68%
Over/under	Over 2.5: 1.07, Under 2.5: 1.13	Under 2.5 goals	★★★☆☆ 62%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market	EV Pick
Moneyline	Auxerre 32%
Spread	N/A
Over/Under	Under 2.5 6%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Auxerre at 32% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 22.9% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Auxerre is favored to win due to home advantage and consistent form, but a draw is plausible given Lorient's potential to score. The match is likely to be moderately competitive with some goals scored.

Predicted Score: 2-1