Long Xiao vs. Su Young You Prediction MIXED_MARTIAL_ARTS in MMA/Boxing

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Match Analysis: Long Xiao vs Su Young You – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-08-23
  • Time: 7:35 AM UTC
  • Location: Shanghai Indoor Stadium, Xuhui District, China

Game Overview

This Bantamweight UFC Fight Night preliminary card features Long Xiao, a skilled striker and grappler with a 27-8 record aiming to rebound after a recent split decision loss, versus Su Young You, an undefeated UFC talent with a 15-3 record known for her grappling dominance and quick finishes. Su Young is the betting favorite given her flawless UFC debut streak and recent form.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Su Young You is on an undefeated UFC streak since November 2024 with multiple first-round finishes, demonstrating superior grappling and agility. Long Xiao, while strong in striking and resilient, comes off a split decision loss in June and has fewer finishes recently.
  • No direct previous fights documented between the two, making this a fresh tactical contest.
  • No reported injuries for either fighter going into the bout, indicating both are at full capacity.
  • Fight taking place in Shanghai Indoor Stadium, favoring Long Xiao geographically but with no notable home advantage impact reported.
  • Long Xiao aims to rebound and restore momentum after his recent loss, while Su Young You looks to extend her undefeated stretch in the UFC, suggesting high motivation on both sides but stronger momentum on You’s side.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Long Xiao: +110, Su Young You: -130 Su Young You ★★★★☆ 72%
Spread Su Young You -1.5 rounds: -140, Long Xiao +1.5 rounds: +120 Su Young You -1.5 rounds ★★★☆☆ 65%
Over/under Over 2.5 rounds: -300, Under 2.5 rounds: +240 Under 2.5 rounds ★★★☆☆ 68%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Su Young You -1%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 2.5 128%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 2.5 at 128% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 53.3% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Su Young You to win via moneyline

Predicted Score: Su Young You wins by submission or decision in 3 rounds


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