Match Analysis: Loma Lookboonmee vs Alexia Thainara – Prediction

Match Details

• Date: 2025-09-27
• Time: 11:05 PM UTC
• Location: UFC Perth, Australia

Game Overview

Strawweight UFC prelim fight between Thailand's Muay Thai expert Loma Lookboonmee and Brazil's aggressive grappler Alexia Thainara.

Key Factors to Consider

• Loma Lookboonmee has strong striking volume and improved wrestling but is undersized. She recently secured a decision win with 3 takedowns. Alexia Thainara is a forward pressure striker with aggressive grappling, coming off a submission win in her UFC debut.
• No prior head-to-head matches between these fighters.
• No reported injuries for either fighter leading into the bout.
• Fight held in Perth, Australia, neutral ground with no hometown advantage. Both fighters motivated to advance in the UFC strawweight division.
• Alexia coming off a high-profile submission win and riding momentum. Loma looks to prove herself beyond being undersized but faces a physically imposing opponent.

Odds and Predictions

Category	Odds	Prediction	Confidence
Moneyline	Alexia Thainara -245, Loma Lookboonmee +202	Alexia Thainara	★★★★☆ 75%
Spread	Alexia Thainara -1.5 (approximate line), -110	Alexia Thainara -1.5	★★★★☆ 70%
Over/under	Over 2.5 rounds -260, Under 2.5 rounds +214	Over 2.5 rounds	★★★☆☆ 68%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market	EV Pick
Moneyline	Alexia Thainara -8%
Spread	N/A
Over/Under	Over 2.5 -9%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Alexia Thainara at -8% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 0% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Alexia Thainara to win via decision

Predicted Score: Alexia Thainara wins by decision after three rounds

Match Analysis: Loma Lookboonmee vs Istela Nunes – Prediction

Match Details

• Date: April 5, 2025
• Time: 10:00 PM UTC
• Location: UFC Apex, Las Vegas

Game Overview

Loma Lookboonmee and Istela Nunes face off in a women's strawweight bout at UFC Vegas 105. Lookboonmee is favored due to her UFC record and recent performances, while Nunes seeks to gain her first UFC win.

Key Factors to Consider

• Loma Lookboonmee has a strong record of 9-3-0 with significant grappling skills, landing 1.90 takedowns per three rounds. Istela Nunes, with a record of 6-5-0, struggles to secure wins in the UFC, going 0-4. Nunes's higher striking volume could be a factor.
• This is the first head-to-head matchup between Lookboonmee and Nunes.
• No reported injuries for either fighter.
• Lookboonmee's grappling advantage and Nunes's striking volume will be crucial in the bout. The fight's pace and stamina could influence the outcome.
• Both fighters are motivated for a win; however, Nunes may face additional pressure to secure her first UFC victory.

Odds and Predictions

Category	Odds	Prediction	Confidence
Moneyline	Loma Lookboonmee: -750, Istela Nunes: +550	Loma Lookboonmee	★★★★☆ 85%
Over_under	Over 2.5: -280, Under 2.5: +220	Under 2.5	★★★☆☆ 60%

Predicted Outcome

Loma Lookboonmee to win by decision or submission.

Predicted Score: The fight is likely to go the distance with Lookboonmee winning by unanimous decision.