Match Analysis: Thad Jean vs Logan Storley – Prediction

Match Details

• Date: 2025-08-01
• Time: 10:30 PM UTC
• Location: Boardwalk Hall, Atlantic City, United States

Game Overview

The Welterweight final of the 2025 PFL World Tournament features Thad Jean, an undefeated knockout artist (10-0), against Logan Storley (18-3), a veteran with an elite wrestling background. This championship bout will take place at Boardwalk Hall, a historic fight venue in Atlantic City, and is the headline event of the PFL World Tournament 8: 2025 Finals, broadcast live on DAZN.

Key Factors to Consider

• Thad Jean has maintained a perfect 10-0 record with a high finishing rate via knockouts, demonstrating strong striking and finishing ability. Logan Storley brings experience with 18 wins and 3 losses, known particularly for his high-level wrestling skills and resilience. Both fighters have displayed consistent performances throughout the season, making this match highly competitive.
• There is no recorded previous matchup between Thad Jean and Logan Storley, making this their first direct meeting in a high-stakes final.
• No injury reports or fitness issues have been disclosed for either fighter ahead of the bout, indicating both are expected to be at full capacity.
• The fight takes place in a prestigious and potentially emotionally charged venue, Boardwalk Hall, which could impact fighter motivation and performance. The event is streamed globally on DAZN, emphasizing high stakes and visibility. Logan Storley’s training camp includes notable fighters such as Jason Jackson, potentially influencing his preparation.
• Thad Jean enters with the motivation of preserving an undefeated record and claiming his first PFL Welterweight title. Logan Storley aims to leverage his experience and wrestling pedigree to upset the unbeaten champion and secure the championship, adding substantial motivation in a career-defining moment.

Odds and Predictions

Category	Odds	Prediction	Confidence
Moneyline	Thad Jean: -240, Logan Storley: +190	Thad Jean	★★★☆☆ 65%
Spread	Thad Jean -1.5 rounds: -150, Logan Storley +1.5 rounds: +130	Thad Jean by more than 1.5 rounds	★★★☆☆ 60%
Over/under	Over 3.5 rounds: +110, Under 3.5 rounds: -130	Under 3.5 rounds	★★★☆☆ 55%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market	EV Pick
Moneyline	Thad Jean -1%
Spread	N/A
Over/Under	N/A

🔥 Best Value Pick: Thad Jean at -1% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 0% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Based on current live moneyline odds favoring Thad Jean (-240) over Logan Storley (+190) and Jean's unbeaten status and knockout power, the prediction favors Thad Jean by decision or late stoppage with a confidence level around 65%. However, Logan Storley’s wrestling and experience could allow him to control portions of the fight, making an upset possible at about 30% probability.

Predicted Score: Thad Jean wins by decision or late stoppage in round 3 or 4

Match Analysis: Logan Storley vs Masayuki Kikuiri – Prediction

Match Details

• Date: June 12, 2025
• Time: 12:00 AM UTC
• Location: Nashville

Game Overview

Logan Storley, a former Bellator Champion, faces Masayuki Kikuiri in the 2025 PFL World Tournament Semifinals. Storley is favored to win, given his experience and past performances.

Key Factors to Consider

• Logan Storley has a strong background in MMA, with a record of 17-3. Masayuki Kikuiri has a record of 11-2-1.
• There is no recent head-to-head data between these fighters.
• No injury reports are available for either fighter.
• The match is part of the PFL World Tournament, which may influence the fighters' strategies and motivation.
• Both fighters are highly motivated to advance in the tournament.

Odds and Predictions

Category	Odds	Prediction	Confidence
Moneyline	Logan Storley: -725, Masayuki Kikuiri: +525	Logan Storley	★★★★☆ 80%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market	EV Pick
Moneyline	Logan Storley -3%
Spread	N/A
Over/Under	N/A

🔥 Best Value Pick: Logan Storley at -3% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 0% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Logan Storley is likely to win based on his experience and past performances.

Predicted Score: Decision or TKO/KO in favor of Logan Storley

Match Analysis: Logan Storley vs Joseph Luciano – Prediction

Match Details

• Date: 2025-04-04
• Time: 2:15 AM UTC
• Location: Universal Studios Florida

Game Overview

Logan Storley, an interim Bellator welterweight champion with notable wins, faces Joseph Luciano, who replaces Magomed Umalatov in the PFL World Tournament. Storley's wrestling background and recent performances make him a strong favorite.

Key Factors to Consider

• Logan Storley has a strong wrestling background and recent successes in MMA. Joseph Luciano, while a capable fighter, is stepping into a daunting task.
• No head-to-head history between the two fighters.
• No reported injuries affecting the match.
• The sudden change in opponent could affect Luciano's preparation.
• Both fighters are highly motivated, but Luciano faces significant pressure as an underdog stepping into a major bout on short notice.

Odds and Predictions

Category	Odds	Prediction	Confidence
Moneyline	-350 for Logan Storley, +275 for Joseph Luciano	Logan Storley	★★★★☆ 80%

Predicted Outcome

Logan Storley is likely to win due to his superior wrestling skills and recent performance history.

Predicted Score: Decision victory for Logan Storley

Match Analysis: Magomed Umalatov vs Logan Storley – Prediction

Match Details

• Date: 2025-04-04
• Time: 2:00 AM UTC
• Location: Not specified

Game Overview

A highly anticipated match between Magomed Umalatov and Logan Storley in the PFL. Umalatov is favored, with impressive KO/TKO skills and an undefeated record in most of his fights. Storley, a skilled wrestler, also brings significant experience.

Key Factors to Consider

• Magomed Umalatov has 17 wins with 10 KO/TKO victories, while Logan Storley has 16 wins with 9 KO/TKO. Storley's wrestling background could pose a challenge, but Umalatov's reach advantage might be crucial.
• No prior head-to-head match results are available for these fighters. However, their skills suggest an evenly matched contest, despite the odds favoring Umalatov.
• No reported injuries for either fighter.
• The fight is part of the PFL, which is a competitive stage that often sees fighters perform at their best due to the tournament format.
• Both fighters are highly motivated, with a win potentially leading to significant opportunities in their MMA careers.

Odds and Predictions

Category	Odds	Prediction	Confidence
Moneyline	-330 for Magomed Umalatov, 235 for Logan Storley	Magomed Umalatov	★★★★☆ 75%

Predicted Outcome

Magomed Umalatov is likely to win due to his unbeaten track in the PFL and strong striking skills.

Predicted Score: Umalatov wins via unanimous decision or late-round TKO.

3 Pick Daily Parlay

Game	Pick	Odds (American)	Confidence
Magomed Umalatov vs. Logan Storley Prediction	Magomed Umalatov Win	-330	★★★★☆ 75% (75%)
Mukhamed Berkhamov vs. Thad Jean Prediction	Thad Jean Win	-250	★★★★☆ 75% (75%)
Jeremy Kennedy vs. Movlid Khaybulaev Prediction	Movlid Khaybulaev Win	-750	★★★★☆ 70% (70%)

Parlay Odds Calculation

Combined American Odds: +107

Wager: $20 — Potential Payout: $41.35