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Manchester City vs. Liverpool Prediction EPL in Soccer

Match Analysis: Manchester City vs Liverpool – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-11-09
  • Time: 4:30 PM UTC
  • Location: Etihad Stadium

Game Overview

A high-stakes EPL clash between Manchester City and Liverpool featuring 2nd place City (19 pts) and close-chasing Liverpool (18 pts). City have strong home form, recent momentum from big wins, and slight pressure to close the gap on Arsenal. Liverpool remain competitive but are slight underdogs in odds.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Manchester City have won 6 of their last 7 matches in all competitions, showing strong form at home with a 4-0-1 Premier League record scoring 13 and conceding 4. Liverpool have a solid but less dominant record, with a 6-0-4 overall in EPL.
  • Recent meetings suggest a tight contest with no decisive trend; City's strong home form offers them a slight edge in this venue.
  • Only long-term absentee for City is Mateo Kovacic. No major injury concerns reported for Liverpool.
  • Motivational pressure is on Manchester City to keep pace with Arsenal who could extend the lead by matchday. Both teams are top contenders with Champions League matches influencing recent form.
  • City motivated to capitalize at home and close points gap, Liverpool motivated to challenge at the top and respond to City's momentum.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Manchester City: -118, Liverpool: +280, Draw: +305 Manchester City β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜† 74%
Spread Manchester City -0.5: -118, Liverpool +50: -102 Manchester City -0.5 β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜† 70%
Over/under Over 3.25: -105, Under 3.25: -115 Under 3.25 β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜†β˜† 66%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Manchester City -0%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 3.25 12%

πŸ”₯ Best Value Pick: Under 3.25 at 12% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 14% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Manchester City to win on the moneyline, cover the -0.5 spread, with overall goals staying under 3.25

Predicted Score: 2-1


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Liverpool vs. Aston Villa Prediction EPL in Soccer

Match Analysis: Liverpool vs Aston Villa – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-11-01
  • Time: 8:00 PM UTC
  • Location: Anfield

Game Overview

Liverpool enter this fixture with inconsistent form, sitting 7th in the Premier League with five wins, no draws, and four losses. Aston Villa have been in strong form with four wins and three draws, including a recent win over Manchester City, placing them 8th. Liverpool have defensive frailties, especially on set-pieces, while Villa are motivated and well-organized under Unai Emery.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Liverpool have struggled defensively and recently lost four league games, whereas Aston Villa are on a five-game unbeaten streak and show solid attacking and defensive cohesion.
  • Liverpool lead the historical series 103-59 with 43 draws and are unbeaten against Villa since October 2020. Last season Liverpool won 2-0 away but had a late winning goal.
  • Aston Villa will miss Harvey Elliott due to loan rules, and also likely absences of Tielemans and Buendia. Jadon Sancho’s fitness is uncertain. Liverpool have not reported major absences, but defensive issues remain.
  • Match at Anfield favours Liverpool historically, boosting their confidence. However, Liverpool's recent squad rotation in the Carabao Cup puts added pressure on them here. Villa’s recent win over Man City boosts morale.
  • Liverpool need points to recover from early season setbacks and defend their title aspirations. Aston Villa are motivated by Champions League qualification ambitions and the chance to improve league standing.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Liverpool: -156, Aston Villa: 350, Draw: 320 Liverpool β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜† 70%
Spread Liverpool(-0.5): -160, Aston Villa(+50): 120 Liverpool -0.5 β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜†β˜† 65%
Over/under Over 3.5: 130, Under 3.5: -174 Under 3.5 goals β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜† 75%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Liverpool 3%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 3.5 2%

πŸ”₯ Best Value Pick: Liverpool at 3% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 4% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Liverpool to win on the moneyline, Liverpool -0.5 on spread, under 3.5 goals total

Predicted Score: 2-1


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Brentford vs. Liverpool Prediction EPL in Soccer

Match Analysis: Brentford vs Liverpool – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-10-25
  • Time: 7:00 PM UTC
  • Location: Brentford Community Stadium

Game Overview

Liverpool visits Brentford in an EPL match where Liverpool holds a strong advantage based on recent form, historical matchups, and squad strength. Liverpool is favored but Brentford's home record provides potential for competitive play.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Liverpool is 5-0-3 in the season with strong offensive output and defensive solidity, while Brentford is 3-1-4 overall, with mixed form (1-3 in last 5 games) and a balanced but less consistent performance.
  • Liverpool has dominated recent encounters, winning the past five EPL meetings against Brentford, with large margins including 4-1 and 3-0, indicating a clear historical edge.
  • Aaron Hickey may return for Brentford, boosting their defense. Liverpool appears to have a full-strength squad with key players active like Salah, Gakpo, and Thiago.
  • Match is at Brentford home ground, which helps Brentford given their decent home form (2-1-1), but Liverpool's experience and squad depth mitigate home advantage.
  • Liverpool chases points to maintain a top-table position and European qualification dream; Brentford looks to consolidate mid-table standing and avoid relegation risk.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Brentford: +330, Liverpool: -147, Draw: +310 Liverpool β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜† 74%
Spread Brentford +50: +112, Liverpool -0.5: -150 Liverpool -0.5 β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜† 72%
Over/under Over 3.5: +132, Under 3.5: -176 Over 3.5 Goals β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜†β˜† 68%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Liverpool -0%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Over 3.5 44%

πŸ”₯ Best Value Pick: Over 3.5 at 44% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 33.2% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Liverpool to win on the moneyline, covering the -0.5 spread, and the match to go over 3.5 goals.

Predicted Score: Brentford 1 – 3 Liverpool


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Liverpool vs. Manchester United Prediction EPL in Soccer

Match Analysis: Liverpool vs Manchester United – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-10-19
  • Time: 3:30 PM UTC
  • Location: Anfield

Game Overview

Liverpool hosts Manchester United in a high-profile Premier League clash, with Liverpool aiming to bounce back from a three-game winless streak and Manchester United seeking to prove themselves against a top side for the first time this season[2][5].

Key Factors to Consider

  • Liverpool, 2nd in the table, has wobbled recently with three straight winless matches across all competitions, but has a two-week rest for tactical adjustments. Manchester United, 10th, has only beaten promoted sides and a depleted Chelseaβ€”struggling on the road and yet to face a top-tier opponent at full strength[1][2][5].
  • Liverpool boast a strong home record against United, unbeaten at Anfield since 2016. Overall H2H: Liverpool 67 wins, United 80 wins, 59 draws, but recent history favors Liverpool[2].
  • For Liverpool, Ibrahima Konate is a major doubt, but Ryan Gravenberch is fit and Florian Wirtz is expected to return. Manchester United are missing Lisandro Martinez and Mazraoui, but otherwise have a full squad[5].
  • Anfield's home crowd advantage, Liverpool's extra rest, and Manchester United's poor away form are significant edges for the hosts[2][5].
  • Liverpool is desperate to end their slump and stay in the title race; Manchester United needs a statement win but lacks momentum against elite opposition[2][5].

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Liverpool: -170, Draw: 340, Manchester United: 370 Liverpool β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜† 70%
Spread Liverpool -0.5 (-172), Manchester United +50 (129) Liverpool -0.5 β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜†β˜† 68%
Over/under Over 3.5 (105), Under 3.5 (-139) Over 3.5 β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜†β˜† 62%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Liverpool 2%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Over 3.5 19%

πŸ”₯ Best Value Pick: Over 3.5 at 19% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 18% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Liverpool will right the ship with a convincing home win, outpacing a United side still searching for identity against top teams[2][5].

Predicted Score: Liverpool 3-1 Manchester United


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Chelsea vs. Liverpool Prediction EPL in Soccer

Match Analysis: Chelsea vs Liverpool – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-10-04
  • Time: 4:30 PM UTC
  • Location: Stamford Bridge, London

Game Overview

Chelsea FC hosts Liverpool FC in a pivotal Premier League match, with Liverpool currently leading the table. Chelsea's home advantage could play a significant role, but Liverpool's strong form makes them favorites.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Liverpool is in strong form, leading the table with 15 points, while Chelsea is in 8th place with 8 points.
  • Historically, these matches have been competitive, but Liverpool's recent form gives them an edge.
  • No significant injury updates are available, but Liverpool's ability to maintain form despite injuries has been impressive.
  • Both teams have been scoring regularly, suggesting a high-scoring affair.
  • Liverpool is motivated to maintain their lead at the top of the table, while Chelsea needs a win to improve their standing.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Chelsea +182, Liverpool +125, Draw +270 Liverpool Win β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜†β˜† 62%
Spread Chelsea +50 -161, Liverpool -0.5 121 Liverpool -0.5 β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜†β˜† 60%
Over/under Over 3.5 +127, Under 3.5 -170 Over 3.5 β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜†β˜† 58%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Liverpool 24%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Over 3.5 18%

πŸ”₯ Best Value Pick: Liverpool at 24% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 19% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Liverpool's strong form and scoring ability make them a compelling choice for an away win.

Predicted Score: Chelsea 2, Liverpool 3


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Crystal Palace vs. Liverpool Prediction EPL in Soccer

Match Analysis: Crystal Palace vs Liverpool – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-09-27
  • Time: 2:00 PM UTC
  • Location: Selhurst Park

Game Overview

Liverpool enters as the Premier League leader with a perfect 5-0-0 record and 15 points, facing Crystal Palace who are 5th with 9 points and undefeated at home. Liverpool shows strong away form and attacking consistency, while Crystal Palace maintains resilience though has been less decisive in recent matches.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Liverpool is unbeaten with a flawless start (5W) and a perfect away record (2W). Crystal Palace has a mixed recent form but remains unbeaten at home, with a 0-2-0 home record and 9 points total.
  • Liverpool holds a slight advantage historically and currently has a 51% win probability versus Crystal Palace's 24%, with draws around 25%.
  • No significant injuries reported affecting key Liverpool attacking players; Crystal Palace's lineup appears stable without major absences.
  • Match at Selhurst Park favors Palace's home advantage but Liverpool's momentum and squad depth are strong external positives.
  • Liverpool aims to maintain top position with a perfect season and extend unbeaten streak; Crystal Palace motivated to challenge top teams but has lower ceiling this season.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Liverpool -113, Crystal Palace +270, Draw +270 Liverpool β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜† 75%
Spread Crystal Palace +50 -115, Liverpool -0.5 -116 Liverpool -0.5 β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜† 70%
Over/under Over 2.5 -145, Under 2.5 +109 Over 2.5 goals β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜†β˜† 65%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Liverpool 6%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Over 2.5 1%

πŸ”₯ Best Value Pick: Liverpool at 6% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 6.3% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Liverpool moneyline win

Predicted Score: 1-3


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Liverpool vs. Everton Prediction EPL in Soccer

Match Analysis: Liverpool vs Everton – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-09-20
  • Time: 11:30 AM UTC
  • Location: Anfield

Game Overview

Liverpool enters this Merseyside Derby with unbeaten momentum in the Premier League, having won all four matches so far. Everton have shown some resilience and are positioned sixth in the table, but remain inconsistent. Liverpool's attacking threat has been boosted by Alexander Isak, who is likely to make his debut and impact. Everton aims to defend deeply and capitalize on counter-attacks, aiming to score despite Liverpool’s dominance.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Liverpool have won all four league games, with a combination of strong defensive work (two consecutive clean sheets) and effective scoring. Everton's recent form includes two wins, a draw, and a loss, reflecting inconsistency. Liverpool’s attack is potent, led by new signing Isak, while Everton remains solid but vulnerable defensively.
  • Liverpool have dominated recent Merseyside derbies, including a convincing 4-0 home win in 2015/16. Everton have struggled historically at Anfield, indicating a psychological and tactical advantage for Liverpool in this fixture.
  • No significant injuries reported for Liverpool or Everton that would severely impact starting lineups, with Isak likely available for Liverpool’s lineup.
  • The match at Anfield favors Liverpool due to home advantage and crowd support. Weather and other external variables have not been noted as major factors.
  • Liverpool aims to maintain a perfect start and assert dominance, while Everton, sitting sixth, are motivated to upset their rivals and prove consistency. The derby rivalry itself adds high motivation for both sides.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Liverpool: -230, Draw: 370, Everton: 540 Liverpool β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜† 75%
Spread Liverpool -1.5: 114, Everton +1.5: -152 Liverpool -1.5 β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜†β˜† 68%
Over/under Over 2.5: -171, Under 2.5: 127 Under 2.5 β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜†β˜† 60%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Liverpool -7%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 2.5 36%

πŸ”₯ Best Value Pick: Under 2.5 at 36% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 28.5% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Liverpool to win on the moneyline, Liverpool -1.5 on the spread, and under 2.5 goals scored.

Predicted Score: 2-1


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Burnley vs. Liverpool Prediction EPL in Soccer

Match Analysis: Burnley vs Liverpool – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-09-14
  • Time: 1:00 PM UTC
  • Location: Turf Moor

Game Overview

Liverpool enters this early season EPL matchup as the dominant favorite, having won 9 of their last 11 meetings against Burnley and currently exhibiting strong form with three wins in three matches. Burnley, with a less impressive record and standing lower in the table, will face a tough challenge at home.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Liverpool is undefeated this season with 3 wins and +4 goal difference, showing strong attacking ability being top scorers in the division. Burnley has 1 win and 2 losses, scoring fewer goals and conceding more, indicating a weaker defensive setup.
  • Liverpool boast a 9-1-1 record against Burnley in their last 11 encounters, indicating a clear historical dominance.
  • No major injuries reported affecting Liverpool’s starting lineup. Burnley’s injury situation is stable but lacks star firepower, with some key players potentially less impactful due to form or game time.
  • The game is at Turf Moor, but Liverpool’s superior tactical depth and momentum should neutralize the home advantage. No weather or travel issues reported.
  • Liverpool have strong motivation to maintain a perfect start and capitalize on momentum in September, a month where they have a historical 18-2-3 record. Burnley will aim to prove resilience at home but overall have lower motivation driven primarily by underdog status.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Burnley +740, Liverpool -319, Draw +420 Liverpool β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜† 79%
Spread Burnley +1.5 -112, Liverpool -1.5 -118 Liverpool -1.5 β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜† 74%
Over/under Over 3.5 +125, Under 3.5 -167 Under 3.5 β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜†β˜† 67%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Liverpool -5%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 3.5 9%

πŸ”₯ Best Value Pick: Under 3.5 at 9% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 14.6% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Liverpool moneyline, Liverpool -1.5 spread, Under 3.5 goals

Predicted Score: 0-2


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Liverpool vs. Arsenal Prediction EPL in Soccer

Match Analysis: Liverpool vs Arsenal – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-08-31
  • Time: 3:30 PM UTC
  • Location: Anfield

Game Overview

A pivotal Premier League clash between Liverpool and Arsenal, both unbeaten and in strong form early in the 2025-26 season. Liverpool boasts an explosive attack with key players like Mohamed Salah and Gakpo, while Arsenal presents a resolute defense and clinical finishing despite injury concerns to key stars Odegaard and Saka. Historically tight encounters and high motivation underline this fixture’s intensity.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Liverpool has scored 7 goals in two league games and won both, showing attacking dominance but some defensive vulnerabilities, conceding 4 goals. Arsenal also won their first two games and kept two clean sheets, scoring 6 goals, demonstrating defensive solidity and clinical scoring.
  • Recent meetings last season ended 2-2 draws; Liverpool hasn’t won at home against Arsenal since 2012 and only won 7 of the last 15 competitive home fixtures versus them. Six draws featured in the last eight Anfield encounters, signaling close matches.
  • Arsenal likely without Martin Odegaard and Bukayo Saka, two key attackers, impacting their offensive potency. Liverpool reportedly has no major new injury issues, retaining their core attacking talents.
  • Game played at Anfield giving Liverpool home advantage. Both teams are co-favorites for the EPL title this season, increasing motivation to make a statement. Arsenal will try to overcome injury setbacks with substitutes like Noni Madueke and potential debut Eberechi Eze.
  • Both teams are eager to assert dominance early in the season. Liverpool seeks to consolidate their title defense after finishing 10 points ahead of Arsenal last year. Arsenal aims to close the gap and prove they can compete on the road against top rivals.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline home: +117, away: +218, draw: +240 Liverpool β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜†β˜† 65%
Spread Liverpool -0.5: +113, Arsenal +50: -151 Liverpool -0.5 β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜†β˜† 60%
Over/under Over 2.5: -146, Under 2.5: +110 Over 2.5 goals β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜†β˜† 62%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Liverpool 19%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Over 2.5 -2%

πŸ”₯ Best Value Pick: Liverpool at 19% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 16.5% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Liverpool to win on the moneyline

Predicted Score: 2-1 Liverpool


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Newcastle United vs. Liverpool Prediction EPL in Soccer

Match Analysis: Newcastle United vs Liverpool – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-08-25
  • Time: 7:00 PM UTC
  • Location: St James’ Park, Newcastle upon Tyne, England

Game Overview

Newcastle United hosts Liverpool in a Premier League match where Liverpool are slight favorites despite playing away. Newcastle is missing their star striker Alexander Isak amid transfer speculation, which may impact their attacking potency. Liverpool displayed offensive sharpness with a recent 4-2 win but have defensive vulnerabilities. Newcastle’s defensive lineup has improved with returning players, and motivation is high due to Champions League qualification and anticipation of a tough contest.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Liverpool won their last match 4-2 showing strong offensive output but some defensive lapses. Newcastle had a goalless draw in their opener but have improved defensive options returning from injury. Newcastle's home form is strong though recent results show slight dip without Isak.
  • Liverpool dominate the historical head-to-head with 94 wins to Newcastle's 51 and 45 draws. Newcastle last won a Premier League match against Liverpool in December 2015. Recent fixtures indicate competitiveness but Liverpool tends to edge outcomes.
  • Alexander Isak (Newcastle star forward) is absent due to transfer uncertainty, weakening Newcastle attack. Joe Willock (midfielder) may return after international break. Liverpool squad largely fit with key attackers like Mohamed Salah expected to feature.
  • The game takes place under the lights at St James’ Park, where Newcastle fans create a strong atmosphere. The Isak situation causes off-field distractions for Newcastle. Champions League qualification provides Newcastle strong motivation.
  • Newcastle is motivated to start their Champions League season strongly at home and stabilize after a mixed start. Liverpool aims to consolidate their early season momentum to retain championship challenge.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Liverpool: +100, Newcastle United: +228, Draw: +275 Liverpool β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜†β˜† 65%
Spread Liverpool -0.5 -102, Newcastle +50 -129 Liverpool -0.5 β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜†β˜† 60%
Over/under Over 3.5 +133, Under 3.5 -179 Over 3.5 goals β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜†β˜† 62%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Liverpool 0%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Over 3.5 28%

πŸ”₯ Best Value Pick: Over 3.5 at 28% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 21.2% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Liverpool to win moneyline; spread Liverpool -0.5; over 3.5 goals

Predicted Score: Liverpool 3-2 Newcastle United


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