Match Analysis: Miami (OH) RedHawks vs Lindenwood Lions – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-09-27
- Time: 7:30 PM UTC
- Location: Fred C. Yager Stadium, Oxford, OH
Game Overview
The Miami (OH) RedHawks (0-3) host the Lindenwood Lions (2-2) in a mismatch where Miami is heavily favored with a -1400 moneyline and a -20.5 point spread. Miami has struggled this season but faces a lower-tier FCS opponent, Lindenwood, who has shown moderate competitiveness with a 2-2 record.
Key Factors to Consider
- Miami (OH) is 0-3 overall with poor recent form, but all losses came against presumably stronger competition. Lindenwood sits at 2-2 and has demonstrated ability to both cover large spreads and produce competitive scoring outputs lately, including a recent close win. Miami is yet to prove itself against a team like Lindenwood on the moneyline while Lindenwood has been successful ATS as heavy underdogs.
- No direct recent head-to-head records available, likely first meeting as Lindenwood recently moved up to Division I FCS. Miami (OH) is expected to be dominant based on historical program strength but risk exists due to Miami's current form.
- No significant injury reports published for either team that would materially impact key starters or quarterback play.
- Game played in good weather conditions (77Β°F, no rain, moderate wind). Miami (OH) playing at home with 100% public betting support, indicating confidence.
- Miami (OH) aims to avoid an 0-4 start and maintain program pride hosting a lower-division team. Lindenwood seeks to prove it can compete with higher-division teams and gain postseason consideration, likely increasing their motivation as underdogs.
Odds and Predictions
Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
---|---|---|---|
Moneyline | Miami (OH) -1400, Lindenwood +800 | Miami (OH) moneyline | β β β β β 78% |
Spread | Miami (OH) -20.5 -110, Lindenwood +20.5 -110 | Lindenwood +20.5 | β β β ββ 65% |
Over/under | Over 49.5 -110, Under 49.5 -110 | Under 49.5 | β β β β β 70% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
Market | EV Pick |
---|---|
Moneyline | Miami (OH) RedHawks 683% |
Spread | N/A |
Over/Under | Under 49.5 15% |
π₯ Best Value Pick: Miami (OH) RedHawks at 683% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 85.4% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Bet on Miami (OH) moneyline for a confident win but expect Lindenwood to cover some of the large spread due to Miami's poor form. Total points expected just under the line given Miami's offensive struggles and Lindenwood's moderate scoring.
Predicted Score: Miami (OH) 31 – Lindenwood 14