Match Analysis: Liam Gittins vs Alessandro Giordano – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-06-28
- Time: 7:30 PM UTC
- Location: BEC Arena, Manchester
Game Overview
The bantamweight championship rematch between reigning champion Liam Gittins and challenger Alessandro Giordano at Cage Warriors 191 is highly anticipated. Their first encounter in March ended prematurely due to an accidental eye poke in the third round, which led to a No Contest decision. This has created tension and anticipation for a decisive outcome in their June 28th bout at the BEC Arena in Manchester.
Key Factors to Consider
- Liam Gittins holds a record of 13-4-1NC as the current bantamweight champion, demonstrating strong performance in Cage Warriors. Alessandro Giordano carries a 9-3-1NC record and is coming off a competitive but unresolved first fight with Gittins, showing resilience and skill in his bantamweight division.
- Their previous fight ended inconclusively due to an accidental foul, with Gittins retaining the title by No Contest. The lack of a clear victor adds a psychological edge and motivation for both fighters in the rematch, making this a highly charged encounter.
- No reported injuries or physical setbacks for either fighter leading up to the fight have been noted in the available information, suggesting both athletes are likely at full health.
- The fight takes place at a major Cage Warriors event in Manchester, with significant media attention and fan interest. The rivalry has been intensified by social media exchanges post their first fight, increasing pressure and stakes for both competitors.
- Both fighters are highly motivated: Gittins aims to definitively confirm his championship status, while Giordano seeks to prove himself and claim the title after their controversial first fight. This rematch is billed as settling unfinished business, fueling intense competitive drive.
Odds and Predictions
| Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | Liam Gittins: -500, Alessandro Giordano: 300 | Liam Gittins to win | ★★★★☆ 75% |
| Spread | Liam Gittins: -1.5, Alessandro Giordano: +1.5 | Liam Gittins to win by more than 1.5 rounds | ★★★☆☆ 65% |
| Over/under | Over 2.5 rounds: -110, Under 2.5 rounds: -110 | Over 2.5 rounds (fight lasting beyond mid rounds) | ★★★☆☆ 60% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
| Market | EV Pick |
|---|---|
| Moneyline | Liam Gittins -0% |
| Spread | N/A |
| Over/Under | N/A |
🔥 Best Value Pick: Liam Gittins at -0% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 0% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Given Liam Gittins' favored status reflected in the odds, his championship experience, and home advantage in Manchester, the prediction leans towards Gittins retaining his bantamweight title. However, the close nature of their first fight and Giordano’s motivation suggest the match will be highly competitive.
Predicted Score: Liam Gittins wins by decision after 5 rounds