Match Analysis: Pat Brown vs Lewis Oakford – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-07-05
- Time: 6:00 PM UTC
- Location: AO Arena, Manchester, Lancashire
Game Overview
This cruiserweight bout between Pat Brown and Lewis Oakford marks an intriguing clash between an undefeated rising talent and a more experienced contender. Pat Brown holds a perfect professional record with two wins but no knockouts, leveraging his notable height and reach advantages. Lewis Oakford brings greater experience with eight fights, aiming to use his tougher past bouts to challenge Brown's unbeaten streak. The fight is scheduled for 8 rounds and will take place at the AO Arena in Manchester as part of the July 5, 2025 event card.
Key Factors to Consider
- Pat Brown is undefeated with two professional victories but has yet to register a knockout, highlighting technical proficiency but perhaps less power. Lewis Oakford, with eight fights on record, has faced tougher opponents and gained valuable experience, potentially contributing to better ring IQ and adaptability.
- This is their first professional encounter with no previous head-to-head history documented, making this an important fight to establish supremacy in the cruiserweight division.
- There are no reported injuries or health concerns for either fighter leading into the bout.
- The fight takes place in Manchester, providing a potential slight home advantage for Pat Brown, assuming UK ties. Weight class is cruiserweight, which is physically demanding and may favor the fighter with better stamina and conditioning. The undercard nature of the fight and main event placement might impact fighter motivation.
- Pat Brown aims to maintain his undefeated status and prove his rising star potential, while Lewis Oakford seeks to leverage his experience to upset an unbeaten opponent and climb the cruiserweight rankings.
Odds and Predictions
| Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | Pat Brown: -1800, Lewis Oakford: 850 | Pat Brown to win | ★★★★☆ 85% |
| Spread | Pat Brown -1.5 rounds: -120, Lewis Oakford +1.5 rounds: 100 | Pat Brown by more than 1.5 rounds | ★★★★☆ 70% |
| Over/under | Over 6.5 rounds: -110, Under 6.5 rounds: -110 | Under 6.5 rounds | ★★★☆☆ 65% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
| Market | EV Pick |
|---|---|
| Moneyline | Pat Brown -10% |
| Spread | N/A |
| Over/Under | N/A |
🔥 Best Value Pick: Pat Brown at -10% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 0% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Pat Brown is favored due to his undefeated record, height, and reach advantage, supported by moneyline odds heavily favoring him. However, Lewis Oakford's experience and resilience provide a credible challenge and the possibility of an upset via tactical fight and endurance.
Predicted Score: Pat Brown wins by 8-round unanimous decision