Lewis McGrillen vs. Alan Philpott Prediction MIXED_MARTIAL_ARTS in MMA/Boxing

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Match Analysis: Lewis McGrillen vs Alan Philpott – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-05-10
  • Time: 4:00 PM UTC
  • Location: The SSE Arena, Belfast, Northern Ireland

Game Overview

Lewis McGrillen, the reigning PFL Europe bantamweight champion, faces veteran Alan Philpott in the PFL Europe 1 co-main event. McGrillen comes in riding a wave of momentum after capturing the title, while Philpott brings a wealth of experience but has struggled with consistency in recent years. This bout represents McGrillen’s return to PFL Europe after forgoing a move to the global roster to continue his ascent in Europe.

Key Factors to Consider

  • McGrillen: 11-1-0 pro record, #119 bantamweight, 8-1-0 in last 3 years. Recently stopped two opponents in the PFL Europe tournament, demonstrating KO power and championship mentality. Philpott: 21-16-0 pro record, experienced but with a lower win percentage and inconsistent results in bigger fights.
  • No previous head-to-head history between these fighters.
  • No major injuries publicly reported for either fighter ahead of this match.
  • Event takes place in Belfast, offering a regional advantage to Philpott, who has fought extensively in the UK/Ireland, but McGrillen shows strong composure in hostile environments.
  • McGrillen is motivated to solidify his PFL Europe legacy before moving to the global stage. Philpott is looking to upset the champion and reassert himself as a contender.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline McGrillen -1000, Philpott 550 Lewis McGrillen High (90%)

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Lewis McGrillen -1%
Spread N/A
Over/Under N/A

🔥 Best Value Pick: Lewis McGrillen at -1% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 0% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Lewis McGrillen will impose his athleticism, power, and momentum to dictate the fight, likely stopping Philpott in the later rounds or taking a decisive decision. The betting odds and recent form strongly favor McGrillen.

Predicted Score: McGrillen by late TKO (Round 3 or 4)


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