Match Analysis: Freddy Vidal vs Levi Rodrigues – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-10-15
- Time: 12:00 AM UTC
- Location: UFC Apex, Las Vegas, Nevada, United States
Game Overview
Heavyweight main card bout at Dana White's Contender Series between Freddy Vidal and Levi Rodrigues, both debuting in this event.
Key Factors to Consider
- Both fighters have limited professional records with no known official fight history; Vidal is known for aggressive striking while Rodrigues has a strong grappling base.
- No previous head-to-head matchups between Vidal and Rodrigues.
- No reported injuries for either fighter ahead of the fight.
- Venue is UFC Apex in Vegas, neutral ground. Both fighters motivated as prospects aiming to impress for UFC contracts.
- High motivation for both, as this is a pivotal opportunity on Dana White's Contender Series to secure a UFC contract.
Odds and Predictions
| Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | Freddy Vidal: +135, Levi Rodrigues: -155 | Levi Rodrigues | ★★★☆☆ 67% |
| Spread | -1.5 rounds Levi Rodrigues -120 | Levi Rodrigues by more than 1.5 rounds (dominant grappling performance likely to control late rounds) | ★★★☆☆ 62% |
| Over/under | Under 2.5 rounds -110 | Under 2.5 rounds (fight likely to end inside 3 rounds due to high finishing intent from both fighters) | ★★★☆☆ 60% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
| Market | EV Pick |
|---|---|
| Moneyline | Levi Rodrigues -13% |
| Spread | N/A |
| Over/Under | N/A |
🔥 Best Value Pick: Levi Rodrigues at -13% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 0% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Levi Rodrigues to win on the moneyline by leverage of grappling control over Vidal's striking.
Predicted Score: Levi Rodrigues wins by 2nd round submission