Match Analysis: Girona vs Levante – Prediction

Match Details

• Date: 2025-09-20
• Time: 12:00 PM UTC
• Location: Estadi Montilivi, Girona

Game Overview

Girona hosts Levante in a La Liga matchup where Girona enters as the favorite with solid home form and more favorable recent results, while Levante has struggled in away games and with squad injuries.

Key Factors to Consider

• Girona has shown better recent form with a higher win rate at home compared to Levante's poor away record. Girona's offense is moderately productive, while Levante's attack struggles on the road.
• Girona holds an advantage in recent head-to-head clashes, winning more of their last meetings and scoring more goals overall against Levante.
• Levante has key players sidelined affecting their midfield creativity and defense stability; Girona's injury list is minimal, maintaining a near full-strength lineup.
• No significant external disruptions noted. Stable weather and pitch conditions expected at Girona’s home stadium.
• Girona is motivated to solidify their home standing early in the season, whereas Levante is under pressure to improve results to avoid relegation battles.

Odds and Predictions

Category	Odds	Prediction	Confidence
Moneyline	Girona -109, Levante +290, Draw +260	Girona	★★★★☆ 72%
Spread	Girona -0.5 -110, Levante +50 -110	Girona -0.5	★★★☆☆ 68%
Over/under	Over 2.5 -112, Under 2.5 -108	Under 2.5	★★★☆☆ 65%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market	EV Pick
Moneyline	Girona 11%
Spread	N/A
Over/Under	Under 2.5 16%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 2.5 at 16% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 16.8% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Girona to win outright with moderate goal scoring expected, favoring a tight game under 2.5 goals.

Predicted Score: 1-0

Match Analysis: Levante vs Real Betis – Prediction

Match Details

• Date: 2025-09-14
• Time: 2:15 PM UTC
• Location: Estadio Ciudad de Valencia

Game Overview

Levante will host Real Betis in a La Liga clash where Levante is currently struggling with no wins in their last three matches while Betis shows more balanced results. Betis is the slight favorite but the home advantage and recent form of Levante at home complicate the prediction.

Key Factors to Consider

• Levante arrives with three straight losses and a 0-0-1 home record, indicating fragile form. Real Betis possesses a better overall record (1-2-1) and better away resilience, but Betis also has some draws and losses recently, reflecting inconsistency.
• Recent head-to-head results are mixed, though Real Betis has a slight edge overall. Levante's home crowd support typically boosts their performance and makes them competitive against Betis.
• No explicit major injuries reported for either side that significantly affect starting lineups.
• The match is at Levante’s home ground which historically improves their competitiveness. No extraordinary external conditions reported.
• Levante is motivated to end their winless streak especially at home, while Betis aims to consolidate their positive results. Early season points are crucial for both teams in La Liga standings.

Odds and Predictions

Category	Odds	Prediction	Confidence
Moneyline	Levante: +230, Real Betis: +135, Draw: +205	Levante	★★★☆☆ 62%
Spread	Levante +25: -120, Real Betis -0.25: +100	Real Betis -0.25	★★★☆☆ 60%
Over/under	Over 2.25: -125, Under 2.25: +105	Under 2.25	★★★☆☆ 65%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market	EV Pick
Moneyline	Levante 55%
Spread	N/A
Over/Under	Under 2.25 23%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Levante at 55% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 24% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Levante to win on the moneyline, Real Betis -0.25 on the spread, and under 2.25 goals total

Predicted Score: 1-0

Match Analysis: Elche CF vs Levante – Prediction

Match Details

• Date: 2025-08-29
• Time: 5:30 PM UTC
• Location: Estadio Manuel Martínez Valero

Game Overview

Elche CF hosts Levante in an early La Liga 2025/26 season matchup. Both teams have shown vulnerabilities but Elche is the home favorite according to odds, with a tightly contested history between them.

Key Factors to Consider

• Elche is slightly favored with a home advantage, but both teams have struggled for consistency recently; Levante has managed to avoid defeat against Elche frequently in previous head-to-heads.
• Historically, Levante holds a slight edge in wins overall (15 to Elche 4 in 35 matches), with many draws (16). At Elche's home, results tilt closer with more draws and wins fairly balanced, but Levante's goal difference lead remains (15-11 at Elche).
• No major injury reports affecting key starters for either team were found, suggesting both lineups will be near strength.
• No unusual external factors (weather, travel fatigue, etc.) appear to influence this fixture significantly.
• Early season points are crucial for both; Levante may be motivated to prove strength away from home, while Elche aims to capitalize on their home status to build momentum.

Odds and Predictions

Category	Odds	Prediction	Confidence
Moneyline	Elche: 116, Levante: 255, Draw: 220	Elche	★★★★☆ 70%
Spread	Elche -0.25: -118, Levante +25: -102	Elche -0.25	★★★☆☆ 65%
Over/under	Over 2.25: -110, Under 2.25: -110	Under 2.25	★★★☆☆ 60%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market	EV Pick
Moneyline	Elche CF 3%
Spread	N/A
Over/Under	Under 2.25 5%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 2.25 at 5% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 5.5% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Moneyline: Elche win, Spread: Elche -0.25, Over/Under: Under 2.25 goals

Predicted Score: 1-0

Match Analysis: Levante vs Barcelona – Prediction

Match Details

• Date: 2025-08-23
• Time: 7:30 PM UTC
• Location: Estadi Ciutat de València

Game Overview

Barcelona, a dominant force in La Liga, face Levante at Levante's home ground. Barcelona start the season as favorites with stronger squad depth, superior recent form, and key player availability. Levante look to defend resolutely but face an uphill battle against Barcelona's dynamic attack.

Key Factors to Consider

• Barcelona have shown strong preseason form with consistent attacking performances and solid defense. Levante struggled in recent seasons and have started this season with lower intensity and limited goal scoring.
• Barcelona have a historically dominant record versus Levante in La Liga, winning most recent encounters by multiple goal margins, especially away.
• Barcelona squad is largely fit heading into the match with no major injuries to key attacking or defensive players. Levante has some minor injuries but nothing significantly weakening their lineup.
• Match played at Levante's home ground where they have modest home advantage but limited crowd impact compared to bigger stadiums. Weather conditions expected to be normal with no disruptions.
• Barcelona highly motivated to assert dominance early in the season and build momentum. Levante motivated to avoid early defeat but realistically may prioritize damage limitation.

Odds and Predictions

Category	Odds	Prediction	Confidence
Moneyline	home: +850, away: -385, draw: +550	Away (Barcelona) win	★★★★☆ 85%
Spread	away_-1.75: -115, home_+1.75: -105	Barcelona -1.75	★★★★☆ 70%
Over/under	over_3.5: -105, under_3.5: -115	Over 3.5 goals	★★★☆☆ 65%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market	EV Pick
Moneyline	Barcelona -2%
Spread	N/A
Over/Under	Over 3.5 17%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Over 3.5 at 17% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 18% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Barcelona win

Predicted Score: 1-4

Match Analysis: Alavés vs Levante – Prediction

Match Details

• Date: 2025-08-16
• Time: 7:30 PM UTC
• Location: Estadio de Mendizorroza, Vitoria-Gasteiz, Spain

Game Overview

Alavés hosts Levante in an opening La Liga clash where Alavés is slightly favored based on recent form and historical performance. Levante has struggled against Alavés historically and carries lower win probabilities according to available data.

Key Factors to Consider

• Alavés shows stronger recent form and home advantage with a higher expected win probability (~49.6%) versus Levante (~23.5%), while draws sit around 32%. Levante has been less consistent.
• Alavés historically outperforms Levante, with previous meetings showing Alavés as favorites and stronger in direct confrontations.
• No critical injury information available indicating major absences for either team, suggesting near full-strength squads.
• No significant external disruptions such as travel fatigue or extreme weather reported for the match day.
• Both teams start the season eager for points, but Alavés' home advantage and recent stability give them a motivational edge.

Odds and Predictions

Category	Odds	Prediction	Confidence
Moneyline	Alavés: 1.19, Levante: 2.65, Draw: 2.10	Alavés	★★★★☆ 73%
Spread	Alavés: -0.25 -115, Levante: +25 -105	Alavés -0.25	★★★☆☆ 68%
Over/under	Over: 2 – 1.05, Under: 2 – 1.25	Under 2	★★★☆☆ 65%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market	EV Pick
Moneyline	Alavés 20%
Spread	N/A
Over/Under	Under 2 8%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Alavés at 20% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 17.2% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Alavés to win on the moneyline, covering the -0.25 spread, and match finishing under 2 goals.

Predicted Score: 1-0