Match Analysis: Albert Gonzalez vs Leonardo Baez – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-10-18
- Time: 9:00 PM UTC
- Location: Thunder Studios, Long Beach, CA
Game Overview
Eight-round featherweight bout featuring aggressive puncher Albert Gonzalez versus experienced and defensively skilled Leonardo Baez.
Key Factors to Consider
- Gonzalez displays strong power with early domination potential but questionable stamina. Baez brings resilience and defense, proven in longer and tougher fights.
- No recent direct H2H bouts documented, making it a clash of styles with Baez's experience slightly favored against Gonzalez’s raw power.
- No reported injuries for either fighter approaching the bout.
- Fight held at neutral venue Thunder Studios in Long Beach; local support may slightly favor Gonzalez but neutral overall.
- Gonzalez highly motivated to establish himself with a notable win; Baez motivated to leverage experience to capitalize on Gonzalez’s potential stamina issues.
Odds and Predictions
| Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | Albert Gonzalez: -1800, Leonardo Baez: +850 | Leonardo Baez | ★★★☆☆ 67% |
| Spread | Leonardo Baez +2.5 rounds: +110, Albert Gonzalez -2.5 rounds: -130 | Leonardo Baez +2.5 rounds | ★★★☆☆ 65% |
| Over/under | Over 7.5 rounds: -110, Under 7.5 rounds: -110 | Over 7.5 rounds | ★★★★☆ 70% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
| Market | EV Pick |
|---|---|
| Moneyline | Albert Gonzalez 641% |
| Spread | N/A |
| Over/Under | N/A |
🔥 Best Value Pick: Albert Gonzalez at 641% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 75.4% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Leonardo Baez to win via decision
Predicted Score: Leonardo Baez wins by unanimous decision after 8 rounds