Match Analysis: Luan Duarte vs Leon Hill – Prediction

Match Details

• Date: 2025-09-27
• Time: 5:00 PM UTC
• Location: Cage Warriors 194

Game Overview

Luan Duarte faces Leon Hill in a highly anticipated MMA bout at Cage Warriors 194. Hill is the strong favorite at -500 odds with superior recent form and experience, while Duarte is the underdog at +300 odds, known for durability and submission skills.

Key Factors to Consider

• Leon Hill has maintained a dominant winning streak in recent fights with decisive finishes, showing effective striking and takedown defense. Luan Duarte has been competitive but less consistent against top-tier opponents, relying on grappling strength.
• No direct previous matchup found between Duarte and Hill; therefore, predictive modeling relies on stylistic contrasts and recent performances against common caliber opponents.
• No reported injuries or physical issues for either fighter entering the bout, suggesting both are at full strength.
• Fight location and cage conditions favor neither fighter significantly; both have experience fighting internationally with good acclimatization.
• Leon Hill appears highly motivated to secure a title shot with a convincing win, while Duarte aims to upset the favorite and climb rankings. Hill's motivation edge is slightly higher due to immediate career advancement implications.

Odds and Predictions

Category	Odds	Prediction	Confidence
Moneyline	Leon Hill: -500, Luan Duarte: +300	Leon Hill	★★★★☆ 78%
Spread	Leon Hill -1.5 rounds: -250, Luan Duarte +1.5 rounds: +180	Leon Hill -1.5 rounds	★★★☆☆ 65%
Over/under	Over 2.5 rounds: -120, Under 2.5 rounds: -110	Under 2.5 rounds	★★★★☆ 70%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market	EV Pick
Moneyline	Home 0%
Spread	N/A
Over/Under	N/A

🔥 Best Value Pick: Home at 0% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 0% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Leon Hill to win on the moneyline

Predicted Score: Leon Hill wins by second-round TKO

3 Pick Daily Parlay

Game	Pick	Odds (American)	Confidence
Luan Duarte vs. Leon Hill Prediction	Leon Hill Win	-500	★★★★☆ 78% (78%)
Badreddine Diani vs. Amir Fazli Prediction	Badreddine Diani Win	-405	★★★★☆ 78% (78%)
Xavier Alaoui vs. Islam Youssef Prediction	Xavier Alaoui Win	-720	★★★★☆ 78% (78%)

Parlay Odds Calculation

Combined American Odds: -142

Wager: $20 — Potential Payout: $34.08

Match Analysis: Leon Hill vs Steven Hill – Prediction

Match Details

• Date: 2025-07-12
• Time: 7:30 PM UTC
• Location: London, United Kingdom

Game Overview

Leon Hill and Steven Hill, both highly skilled welterweights competing in Cage Warriors 192, face off in a 3-round main card bout. Both fighters hold identical 7-2 records with similar finishing rates by KO/TKO and submission, making this a finely matched contest.

Key Factors to Consider

• Both fighters have strong recent form with mixed results; Leon Hill has a slight edge in KO/TKO finishes (4 vs 3) and a perfect record without losses by KO/TKO, while Steven has shown durability. Both lack decision wins except Steven has 1.
• No prior head-to-head matchup data available, making this matchup a fresh test of styles and adaptability.
• No reported injuries from either fighter impacting the matchup.
• Fight held in London, favoring Steven Hill slightly due to home crowd support. Both fighters weigh in close to the welterweight limit.
• Both fighters are motivated equally as they share a competitive narrative billed as 'Who's the Better Hill?' with pride and ranking implications on the line.

Odds and Predictions

Category	Odds	Prediction	Confidence
Moneyline	Leon Hill: -180, Steven Hill: 140	Leon Hill	★★★★☆ 72%
Spread	Leon Hill -1.5 rounds: -120, Steven Hill +1.5 rounds: 100	Leon Hill -1.5 rounds	★★★☆☆ 68%
Over/under	Over 2.5 rounds: -110, Under 2.5 rounds: -110	Under 2.5 rounds	★★★☆☆ 65%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market	EV Pick
Moneyline	Leon Hill -2%
Spread	N/A
Over/Under	N/A

🔥 Best Value Pick: Leon Hill at -2% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 0% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Moneyline favoring Leon Hill by KO/TKO within 3 rounds

Predicted Score: Leon Hill wins by KO/TKO in round 3