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Match Analysis: Luan Duarte vs Leon Hill – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-09-27
- Time: 5:00 PM UTC
- Location: RDS, Dublin
Game Overview
The main event of Cage Warriors 194 features an MMA bout between Luan Duarte and Leon Hill, scheduled for September 27, 2025, at the RDS arena in Dublin. Both fighters bring strong skills, making this a highly anticipated contest in the welterweight division.
Key Factors to Consider
- Leon Hill has demonstrated a superior record and stronger recent performance with consistent wins against top opponents, reflected by his heavily favored moneyline odds. Luan Duarte, while a skilled contender, has struggled against higher-tier fighters and is entering this bout as the underdog.
- No publicly available records indicate previous direct encounters between Luan Duarte and Leon Hill, making this their first competitive meeting.
- There are no reported injuries affecting either fighter leading into this match, suggesting both will compete at full capacity.
- Fighting in Dublin might slightly favor Leon Hill if he has local support or acclimatization advantages. However, no significant external issues like travel disruption or weight cut complications have been reported.
- As this is a headliner in a major Cage Warriors event, both fighters are highly motivated to perform well and advance their professional standings. Leon Hill's favorite status might add confidence, while Duarte may be driven to upset the odds.
Odds and Predictions
| Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | Luan Duarte: +300, Leon Hill: -450, Draw: N/A | Leon Hill | ★★★★☆ 78% |
| Spread | Hill -1.5 rounds: -120, Duarte +1.5 rounds: +100 | Leon Hill to win by more than 1.5 rounds | ★★★★☆ 70% |
| Over/under | Over 2.5 rounds: -110, Under 2.5 rounds: -110 | Under 2.5 rounds | ★★★☆☆ 65% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
| Market | EV Pick |
|---|---|
| Moneyline | Home 0% |
| Spread | N/A |
| Over/Under | N/A |
🔥 Best Value Pick: Home at 0% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 0% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Leon Hill is the likely winner given his recent form, superior odds, and professional momentum. Duarte faces an uphill battle but may pose a threat if he capitalizes on early opportunities.
Predicted Score: Leon Hill wins by TKO in Round 2