Match Analysis: Anthony Cacace vs Leigh Wood – Prediction

Match Details

• Date: 2025-05-10
• Time: 7:34 PM UTC
• Location: The Hurt Game, Nottingham, England

Game Overview

Anthony Cacace and Leigh Wood, both former world champions, face off at super-featherweight at a crossroads in their careers. Cacace recently vacated the IBF super-featherweight belt after beating Josh Warrington, seeking bigger fights. Wood, a former WBA featherweight champion, moves up in weight and returns after defending his title in October 2023. This twelve-round bout will place the winner in prime contention for a world title shot in late 2025 or early 2026.

Key Factors to Consider

• Cacace is in strong form, coming off a victory over Josh Warrington, a seasoned two-time featherweight champion. He has shown power and resilience. Wood is making his super-featherweight debut in this fight, having defended his WBA featherweight belt successfully last year. The step up in weight introduces some uncertainty about his power and durability at the new weight class.
• No previous encounters between Cacace and Wood. Both have recent wins over Josh Warrington, but in different weight classes.
• No major injuries reported for either fighter ahead of the bout.
• Home advantage for Wood, who is fighting in his hometown of Nottingham. The fight is expected to draw a passionate crowd, which could energize Wood.
• Both fighters are highly motivated; the winner is promised a world title shot, creating high stakes. Cacace seeks to prove he belongs at the elite level, while Wood aims to solidify his legacy at a new weight.

Odds and Predictions

Category	Odds	Prediction	Confidence
Moneyline	Cacace -238, Wood +198	Anthony Cacace	★★★☆☆ 65%
Over/under	Over 10.5 (-200), Under 10.5 (+165)	Over 10.5 rounds	★★★★☆ 70%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market	EV Pick
Moneyline	Anthony Cacace -8%
Spread	N/A
Over/Under	Over 10.5 5%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Over 10.5 at 5% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 10% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Anthony Cacace is the slight favorite based on recent performances and proven ability at super-featherweight. Wood’s step up in weight introduces risk, but his technical skills and home crowd could help counterbalance Cacace's size and power.

Predicted Score: Anthony Cacace by Unanimous Decision (UD) after 12 rounds