The Premier League fixture between Nottingham Forest and Leicester City on May 11, 2025, is a crucial late-season encounter. Nottingham Forest, playing at home at The City Ground, will look to leverage their home advantage against a struggling Leicester City side. Both teams are fighting for key points that could influence their final league standings and potential qualification or relegation battles.
Key Factors to Consider
Nottingham Forest have shown steely home form this season, with consistent results and resilience. Leicester City, meanwhile, have struggled on the road and have displayed inconsistency in recent fixtures, undermining their ability to secure points away from home.
Historically, matches between Nottingham Forest and Leicester City have been competitive, but Nottingham Forest have a slight edge in recent meetings, particularly at home. Past encounters suggest a balanced contest but with a tendency for Forest to capitalize at The City Ground.
Both teams have some injury concerns heading into the match, but Nottingham Forest appear to have fewer key player absences. Leicester City may be missing some pivotal squad members which could impact their attacking and defensive stability.
Playing at home with strong fan support gives Nottingham Forest a psychological boost. Weather conditions and pitch quality at The City Ground are expected to be standard, posing no unusual challenges.
Nottingham Forest have strong motivation to secure three points to improve their league position and possibly push for European spots, while Leicester City are likely motivated to avoid dropping points that could lead to a relegation battle or mid-table mediocrity.
Nottingham Forest -1.5: -105, Leicester City +1.5: -126
Nottingham Forest to cover -1.5
★★★☆☆ 65%
Over/under
Over 2.5: -156, Under 2.5: 117
Under 2.5 goals
★★★☆☆ 60%
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
Market
EV Pick
Moneyline
Nottingham Forest -6%
Spread
N/A
Over/Under
Under 2.5 30%
🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 2.5 at 30% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 25.8% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Nottingham Forest are favored to win this match given their home form, better current performance, and odds provided. The game is expected to be competitive but with a probable Forest victory.
Leicester City hosts Southampton in a Premier League fixture with mid-table implications. While specific details about this exact fixture are limited in available data, the focus shifts to analyzing broader team patterns and the provided odds.
Key Factors to Consider
Data on recent senior team performance is unavailable here. U21 results (e.g., Southampton U21's 1-0 win over Leicester U21 on 27 April 2025[2][3][4]) may indicate academy form but shouldn't heavily influence senior team analysis.
No specific head-to-head data provided for senior teams in current search results.
No injury reports available from provided sources.
Potential relegation/push for European spots depending on league positions (unclear from available data).
Likely standard league motivation unless either team faces specific stakes (e.g., relegation battle or European qualification).
Odds and Predictions
Category
Odds
Prediction
Confidence
Moneyline
Leicester 124 | Draw 255 | Southampton 193
Leicester City
★★★☆☆ 55%
Spread
Leicester -0.5 (120) | Southampton +50 (-160)
Leicester City -0.5
★★★☆☆ 50%
Over/under
Over 2.5 (-139) | Under 2.5 (105)
Under 2.5
★★★☆☆ 55%
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
Market
EV Pick
Moneyline
Leicester City 1%
Spread
N/A
Over/Under
Under 2.5 9%
🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 2.5 at 9% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 8.2% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Leicester City slight favorites based on home advantage and odds, but limited data warrants caution.
Wolverhampton Wanderers host Leicester City in the Premier League. Wolves are on a five-game winning streak, while Leicester is winless in their last 11 games across competitions.
Key Factors to Consider
Wolves have improved significantly with recent wins, including a notable 1-0 victory at Manchester United. Leicester, however, has struggled, recently losing to Liverpool and having relegation confirmed.
The teams have met 122 times, with Wolves leading 45-42. Their last meeting saw Wolves win 3-0 away in December.
Injury reports are not detailed, but team dynamics suggest Wolves are healthier and more cohesive at the moment.
Leicester's relegation status may reduce their motivation compared to Wolves, who are fighting to secure a better league position.
Wolves are highly motivated to secure more points to climb the table, while Leicester is dealing with the aftermath of relegation.
Leicester City sits at the bottom of the EPL table with 18 points from 32 matches, fighting relegation, while Liverpool leads the league with 76 points. Leicester has struggled all season with poor form, having scored only 27 goals and conceded 74, while Liverpool has been dominant with 23 wins, 7 draws, and 2 losses, boasting a +43 goal difference. Liverpool is chasing a second Premier League title, currently 13 points clear at the top. Leicester needs a win to have any survival hope, but recent form and head-to-head history heavily favor Liverpool.
Key Factors to Consider
Liverpool is in top form with 12 unbeaten EPL matches and a potent attack led by Mohamed Salah (27 goals, 18 assists) and Luis Díaz. Leicester has won only 4 matches all season, scoring 27 goals but conceding 74, showing defensive weaknesses and a lack of offensive threat. Leicester recently ended an 8-game losing streak with a draw but remain under extreme pressure.
Liverpool has won the last six matches against Leicester, including a 3-1 win in December 2024 in the EPL. Leicester last beat Liverpool at King Power Stadium in December 2021. Liverpool has dominated these encounters historically, and Leicester have not scored at home against Liverpool since December 2021.
Leicester faces injury doubts including key forward Jamie Vardy. Liverpool has key players fit, with Trent Alexander-Arnold recently returning to training and Virgil van Dijk recently signing a contract extension, boosting defensive stability.
The match is played at Leicester’s home King Power Stadium with mild weather (~61°F). Liverpool's recent contract renewals (Salah and van Dijk) boost team morale. Leicester could already be relegated depending on other match results prior to this game, which may affect motivation.
Leicester is desperate to win to maintain any slim hope of Premier League survival, making this a high-stakes game. Liverpool is motivated to secure the league title and maintain their unbeaten run at this late stage in the season.
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
Market
EV Pick
Moneyline
Liverpool 1%
Spread
N/A
Over/Under
Under 3.5 10%
🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 3.5 at 10% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 14.6% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Liverpool is strongly favored to win comfortably due to their superior form, squad strength, and recent dominance over Leicester. Leicester’s poor season and defensive frailties make an upset unlikely, though their relegation fight could make them competitive.
Location: American Express Stadium, Falmer, England
Game Overview
Brighton & Hove Albion, currently 9th in the standings, hosts Leicester City, who are struggling in 19th place. Brighton has had a recent dip in form but has performed better against Leicester historically. Leicester City is on a nine-game losing streak and has been unable to score in their last seven games.
Key Factors to Consider
Brighton is winless in their last four games, while Leicester City has lost nine consecutive matches. Brighton has better head-to-head results and has been more effective at home against Leicester.
The teams have met 44 times, with Leicester leading by 4 wins. However, Brighton has been unbeaten in their last four meetings, including three draws.
Brighton will miss Jan Paul van Hecke due to a red card suspension and several long-term injuries. Leicester City has Harry Winks and Issahaku Fatawu as long-term absentees.
Leicester's dismal form and inability to score recently could demoralize the team. Brighton's recent losses might increase their motivation to win.
Brighton needs to break their losing streak, and Leicester City is highly motivated to end their lengthy losing run.
Odds and Predictions
Category
Odds
Prediction
Confidence
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
Market
EV Pick
Moneyline
Brighton and Hove Albion -93%
Spread
N/A
Over/Under
Under 2.5 -99%
⚠️ No clear +EV edge found for this game.
Predicted Outcome
Brighton & Hove Albion is expected to win due to their better historical performance against Leicester and Leicester's recent poor form.
Predicted Score: Brighton & Hove Albion 2-0 Leicester City
Leicester City, struggling to avoid relegation, hosts Newcastle United, aiming for a top-four finish. Leicester's recent performances have been dismal, with multiple consecutive losses, while Newcastle has shown resilience and consistency in securing important wins.
Key Factors to Consider
Leicester is in poor form with a goal drought, while Newcastle has been performing well with significant victories.
Newcastle has a strong recent record against Leicester, including a five-game unbeaten run.
Leicester misses Patson Daka and Jannik Vestergaard. Newcastle lacks Alexander Isak, Jamaal Lascelles, Bruno Guimarães, and Joelinton due to injuries or suspension.
Newcastle's motivation to secure a Champions League spot could enhance their performance.
Newcastle is highly motivated for a top-four finish, which contrasts with Leicester's desperation to avoid relegation.
Odds and Predictions
Category
Odds
Prediction
Confidence
EV Pick
Moneyline
Leicester: 490, Newcastle: -208, Draw: 350
Newcastle United
★★★★☆ 80%
Newcastle United -100%
Spread
Leicester: 1.5 -168, Newcastle: -1.5 125
Newcastle United -1.5
★★★☆☆ 65%
Newcastle United -1.5 -100%
Over_under
Over 2.5: -162, Under 2.5: 122
Under 2.5
★★★☆☆ 55%
Under 2.5 -100%
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
Market
EV Pick
Moneyline
Newcastle United -11%
Spread
N/A
Over/Under
Under 2.5 33%
🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 2.5 at 33% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 27.2% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Newcastle United is expected to dominate and win the match 0-2 against Leicester City.
Manchester City hosts Leicester City in a Premier League match. Manchester City is currently fifth in the league with 48 points, while Leicester is struggling at 19th with 17 points. The match is expected to see high scoring with Manchester City's strong home form.
Key Factors to Consider
Manchester City has been performing well at home, scoring an average of 2.12 goals per match. Leicester City, on the other hand, averages 1.08 goals per game and has struggled on the road.
Manchester City has dominated recent head-to-heads, winning all five matches since 2021. Overall, Manchester City has won 18 of the 31 matches played between the two teams.
No specific injury reports are mentioned, but generally, the availability of key players can impact team performance significantly.
Weather and crowd support could influence the match, with Etihad Stadium providing a home advantage for Manchester City.
Manchester City is highly motivated to secure a win to improve their league position, while Leicester is fighting to avoid relegation.
Odds and Predictions
Category
Odds
Prediction
Confidence
Moneyline
-549 for Manchester City, 1125 for Leicester, and 610 for a Draw
Manchester City
★★★★☆ 80%
Spread
-2.5 for Manchester City at 127, +2.5 for Leicester at -169
Manchester City
★★★☆☆ 65%
Over_under
Over 3.5 at -112, Under 3.5 at -119
Over
★★★★☆ 70%
Predicted Outcome
Manchester City is expected to win due to their strong form and dominant head-to-head record.
Leicester City, struggling in 19th place, faces Manchester United, who are mid-table. Leicester has lost five consecutive matches without scoring, while United has inconsistent results with several key injuries.
Key Factors to Consider
Leicester City is in poor form, having lost their last five Premier League matches without scoring. Manchester United has mixed results, with one win in their last five league games.
Manchester United has historically dominated this fixture, winning 22 of 35 encounters. Leicester's last win was in October 2021.
Leicester will miss Abdul Fatawu due to injury. Manchester United has several key players injured, including Mason Mount and Lisandro Martinez.
The match's significance is high for both teams, with Leicester seeking to avoid relegation and United aiming for consistency.
Leicester is highly motivated to end their losing streak and secure vital points, while United seeks to capitalize on their superior quality.
Odds and Predictions
Category
Odds
Prediction
Confidence
Moneyline
Leicester City: 310, Manchester United: -124, Draw: 265
Draw
★★☆☆☆ 40%
Spread
Leicester City: 50 -105, Manchester United: -0.5 -127
Chelsea, being one of the top teams in the Premier League, faces Leicester City, who have struggled with consistency. Chelsea's strong home record and recent performances suggest they are favorites to win.
Key Factors to Consider
Chelsea has shown strong form recently, with a solid defense and potent attack. Leicester City has had mixed results, often struggling against top-tier teams.
Chelsea generally has a favorable head-to-head record against Leicester City, though Leicester has occasionally pulled off upsets.
No significant injuries reported for Chelsea, but Leicester City may have some key players missing, which could impact their performance.
Weather conditions are expected to be neutral, with no significant impact on the game. However, Chelsea's home advantage could play a crucial role.
Chelsea is highly motivated to secure a win to maintain their position in the league, while Leicester City seeks to cause an upset to improve their standings.
Odds and Predictions
Category
Odds
Prediction
Confidence
Moneyline
Chelsea: -500, Leicester City: 960, Draw: 590
Chelsea
★★★★☆ 80%
Spread
Chelsea: -1.5 -172, Leicester City: 1.5 129
Chelsea -1.5
★★★☆☆ 60%
Over_under
Over: 3.5 -110, Under: 3.5 -121
Over 3.5
★★★☆☆ 55%
Predicted Outcome
Chelsea is likely to win the match, given their strong home record and recent form.