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Top EV Parlay for Soccer – May 18, 2025 Daily Parlay

Top EV Parlay for Soccer – May 18, 2025

Game Pick Odds EV
Leicester City vs. Ipswich Town Prediction Draw 248 91%
Hellas Verona vs. Como Prediction Draw 240 53%
Juventude vs. Fluminense Prediction Fluminense 130 38%

Combined Odds: +2621 |
Wager: $20 —
Potential Payout: $544.27

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Nottingham Forest vs. Leicester City Prediction EPL in Soccer

Match Analysis: Nottingham Forest vs Leicester City – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-05-11
  • Time: 1:15 PM UTC
  • Location: The City Ground, Nottingham

Game Overview

The Premier League fixture between Nottingham Forest and Leicester City on May 11, 2025, is a crucial late-season encounter. Nottingham Forest, playing at home at The City Ground, will look to leverage their home advantage against a struggling Leicester City side. Both teams are fighting for key points that could influence their final league standings and potential qualification or relegation battles.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Nottingham Forest have shown steely home form this season, with consistent results and resilience. Leicester City, meanwhile, have struggled on the road and have displayed inconsistency in recent fixtures, undermining their ability to secure points away from home.
  • Historically, matches between Nottingham Forest and Leicester City have been competitive, but Nottingham Forest have a slight edge in recent meetings, particularly at home. Past encounters suggest a balanced contest but with a tendency for Forest to capitalize at The City Ground.
  • Both teams have some injury concerns heading into the match, but Nottingham Forest appear to have fewer key player absences. Leicester City may be missing some pivotal squad members which could impact their attacking and defensive stability.
  • Playing at home with strong fan support gives Nottingham Forest a psychological boost. Weather conditions and pitch quality at The City Ground are expected to be standard, posing no unusual challenges.
  • Nottingham Forest have strong motivation to secure three points to improve their league position and possibly push for European spots, while Leicester City are likely motivated to avoid dropping points that could lead to a relegation battle or mid-table mediocrity.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Nottingham Forest: -295, Draw: 400, Leicester City: 700 Nottingham Forest win ★★★★☆ 75%
Spread Nottingham Forest -1.5: -105, Leicester City +1.5: -126 Nottingham Forest to cover -1.5 ★★★☆☆ 65%
Over/under Over 2.5: -156, Under 2.5: 117 Under 2.5 goals ★★★☆☆ 60%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Nottingham Forest -6%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 2.5 30%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 2.5 at 30% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 25.8% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Nottingham Forest are favored to win this match given their home form, better current performance, and odds provided. The game is expected to be competitive but with a probable Forest victory.

Predicted Score: 2-0


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Leicester City vs. Southampton Prediction EPL in Soccer

Match Analysis: Leicester City vs Southampton – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-05-03
  • Time: 2:00 PM UTC
  • Location: King Power Stadium

Game Overview

Leicester City hosts Southampton in a Premier League fixture with mid-table implications. While specific details about this exact fixture are limited in available data, the focus shifts to analyzing broader team patterns and the provided odds.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Data on recent senior team performance is unavailable here. U21 results (e.g., Southampton U21's 1-0 win over Leicester U21 on 27 April 2025[2][3][4]) may indicate academy form but shouldn't heavily influence senior team analysis.
  • No specific head-to-head data provided for senior teams in current search results.
  • No injury reports available from provided sources.
  • Potential relegation/push for European spots depending on league positions (unclear from available data).
  • Likely standard league motivation unless either team faces specific stakes (e.g., relegation battle or European qualification).

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Leicester 124 | Draw 255 | Southampton 193 Leicester City ★★★☆☆ 55%
Spread Leicester -0.5 (120) | Southampton +50 (-160) Leicester City -0.5 ★★★☆☆ 50%
Over/under Over 2.5 (-139) | Under 2.5 (105) Under 2.5 ★★★☆☆ 55%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Leicester City 1%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 2.5 9%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 2.5 at 9% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 8.2% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Leicester City slight favorites based on home advantage and odds, but limited data warrants caution.

Predicted Score: 1-0 Leicester City


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Wolverhampton Wanderers vs. Leicester City Prediction EPL in Soccer

Match Analysis: Wolverhampton Wanderers vs Leicester City – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-04-26
  • Time: 2:00 PM UTC
  • Location: Molineux Stadium

Game Overview

Wolverhampton Wanderers host Leicester City in the Premier League. Wolves are on a five-game winning streak, while Leicester is winless in their last 11 games across competitions.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Wolves have improved significantly with recent wins, including a notable 1-0 victory at Manchester United. Leicester, however, has struggled, recently losing to Liverpool and having relegation confirmed.
  • The teams have met 122 times, with Wolves leading 45-42. Their last meeting saw Wolves win 3-0 away in December.
  • Injury reports are not detailed, but team dynamics suggest Wolves are healthier and more cohesive at the moment.
  • Leicester's relegation status may reduce their motivation compared to Wolves, who are fighting to secure a better league position.
  • Wolves are highly motivated to secure more points to climb the table, while Leicester is dealing with the aftermath of relegation.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Wolverhampton Wanderers: -183, Leicester City: 460, Draw: 310 Wolverhampton Wanderers ★★★★☆ 70%
Spread Wolverhampton Wanderers: -0.5 -186, Leicester City: 50 138 Wolverhampton Wanderers ★★★☆☆ 65%
Over/under Over: 2.5 -134, Under: 2.5 101 Over ★★★☆☆ 60%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Wolverhampton Wanderers -10%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Over 2.5 -4%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Over 2.5 at -4% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 0% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Wolverhampton Wanderers are likely to win due to their recent form and home advantage.

Predicted Score: 2-1 in favor of Wolverhampton Wanderers


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Leicester City vs. Liverpool Prediction EPL in Soccer

Match Analysis: Leicester City vs Liverpool – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-04-20
  • Time: 3:30 PM UTC
  • Location: King Power Stadium, Leicester, England

Game Overview

Leicester City sits at the bottom of the EPL table with 18 points from 32 matches, fighting relegation, while Liverpool leads the league with 76 points. Leicester has struggled all season with poor form, having scored only 27 goals and conceded 74, while Liverpool has been dominant with 23 wins, 7 draws, and 2 losses, boasting a +43 goal difference. Liverpool is chasing a second Premier League title, currently 13 points clear at the top. Leicester needs a win to have any survival hope, but recent form and head-to-head history heavily favor Liverpool.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Liverpool is in top form with 12 unbeaten EPL matches and a potent attack led by Mohamed Salah (27 goals, 18 assists) and Luis Díaz. Leicester has won only 4 matches all season, scoring 27 goals but conceding 74, showing defensive weaknesses and a lack of offensive threat. Leicester recently ended an 8-game losing streak with a draw but remain under extreme pressure.
  • Liverpool has won the last six matches against Leicester, including a 3-1 win in December 2024 in the EPL. Leicester last beat Liverpool at King Power Stadium in December 2021. Liverpool has dominated these encounters historically, and Leicester have not scored at home against Liverpool since December 2021.
  • Leicester faces injury doubts including key forward Jamie Vardy. Liverpool has key players fit, with Trent Alexander-Arnold recently returning to training and Virgil van Dijk recently signing a contract extension, boosting defensive stability.
  • The match is played at Leicester’s home King Power Stadium with mild weather (~61°F). Liverpool's recent contract renewals (Salah and van Dijk) boost team morale. Leicester could already be relegated depending on other match results prior to this game, which may affect motivation.
  • Leicester is desperate to win to maintain any slim hope of Premier League survival, making this a high-stakes game. Liverpool is motivated to secure the league title and maintain their unbeaten run at this late stage in the season.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Leicester City: +1025, Liverpool: -481, Draw: +540 Liverpool to win ★★★★☆ 85%
Spread Leicester City +1.5: +123, Liverpool -1.5: -164 Liverpool -1.5 ★★★★☆ 80%
Over/under Over 3.5: +109, Under 3.5: -144 Under 3.5 goals ★★★☆☆ 65%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Liverpool 1%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 3.5 10%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 3.5 at 10% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 14.6% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Liverpool is strongly favored to win comfortably due to their superior form, squad strength, and recent dominance over Leicester. Leicester’s poor season and defensive frailties make an upset unlikely, though their relegation fight could make them competitive.

Predicted Score: Leicester City 0 – 3 Liverpool


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Brighton and Hove Albion vs. Leicester City Prediction EPL in Soccer

Match Analysis: Brighton and Hove Albion vs Leicester City – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-04-12
  • Time: 2:00 PM UTC
  • Location: American Express Stadium, Falmer, England

Game Overview

Brighton & Hove Albion, currently 9th in the standings, hosts Leicester City, who are struggling in 19th place. Brighton has had a recent dip in form but has performed better against Leicester historically. Leicester City is on a nine-game losing streak and has been unable to score in their last seven games.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Brighton is winless in their last four games, while Leicester City has lost nine consecutive matches. Brighton has better head-to-head results and has been more effective at home against Leicester.
  • The teams have met 44 times, with Leicester leading by 4 wins. However, Brighton has been unbeaten in their last four meetings, including three draws.
  • Brighton will miss Jan Paul van Hecke due to a red card suspension and several long-term injuries. Leicester City has Harry Winks and Issahaku Fatawu as long-term absentees.
  • Leicester's dismal form and inability to score recently could demoralize the team. Brighton's recent losses might increase their motivation to win.
  • Brighton needs to break their losing streak, and Leicester City is highly motivated to end their lengthy losing run.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Brighton and Hove Albion -93%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 2.5 -99%

⚠️ No clear +EV edge found for this game.

Predicted Outcome

Brighton & Hove Albion is expected to win due to their better historical performance against Leicester and Leicester's recent poor form.

Predicted Score: Brighton & Hove Albion 2-0 Leicester City


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Leicester City vs. Newcastle United Prediction EPL in Soccer

Match Analysis: Leicester City vs Newcastle United – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-04-07
  • Time: 7:00 PM UTC
  • Location: King Power Stadium

Game Overview

Leicester City, struggling to avoid relegation, hosts Newcastle United, aiming for a top-four finish. Leicester's recent performances have been dismal, with multiple consecutive losses, while Newcastle has shown resilience and consistency in securing important wins.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Leicester is in poor form with a goal drought, while Newcastle has been performing well with significant victories.
  • Newcastle has a strong recent record against Leicester, including a five-game unbeaten run.
  • Leicester misses Patson Daka and Jannik Vestergaard. Newcastle lacks Alexander Isak, Jamaal Lascelles, Bruno Guimarães, and Joelinton due to injuries or suspension.
  • Newcastle's motivation to secure a Champions League spot could enhance their performance.
  • Newcastle is highly motivated for a top-four finish, which contrasts with Leicester's desperation to avoid relegation.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence EV Pick
Moneyline Leicester: 490, Newcastle: -208, Draw: 350 Newcastle United ★★★★☆ 80% Newcastle United -100%
Spread Leicester: 1.5 -168, Newcastle: -1.5 125 Newcastle United -1.5 ★★★☆☆ 65% Newcastle United -1.5 -100%
Over_under Over 2.5: -162, Under 2.5: 122 Under 2.5 ★★★☆☆ 55% Under 2.5 -100%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Newcastle United -11%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 2.5 33%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 2.5 at 33% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 27.2% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Newcastle United is expected to dominate and win the match 0-2 against Leicester City.

Predicted Score: 0-2


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Manchester City vs. Leicester City Prediction EPL in Soccer

Match Analysis: Manchester City vs Leicester City – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-04-02
  • Time: 6:45 PM UTC
  • Location: Etihad Stadium

Game Overview

Manchester City hosts Leicester City in a Premier League match. Manchester City is currently fifth in the league with 48 points, while Leicester is struggling at 19th with 17 points. The match is expected to see high scoring with Manchester City's strong home form.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Manchester City has been performing well at home, scoring an average of 2.12 goals per match. Leicester City, on the other hand, averages 1.08 goals per game and has struggled on the road.
  • Manchester City has dominated recent head-to-heads, winning all five matches since 2021. Overall, Manchester City has won 18 of the 31 matches played between the two teams.
  • No specific injury reports are mentioned, but generally, the availability of key players can impact team performance significantly.
  • Weather and crowd support could influence the match, with Etihad Stadium providing a home advantage for Manchester City.
  • Manchester City is highly motivated to secure a win to improve their league position, while Leicester is fighting to avoid relegation.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline -549 for Manchester City, 1125 for Leicester, and 610 for a Draw Manchester City ★★★★☆ 80%
Spread -2.5 for Manchester City at 127, +2.5 for Leicester at -169 Manchester City ★★★☆☆ 65%
Over_under Over 3.5 at -112, Under 3.5 at -119 Over ★★★★☆ 70%

Predicted Outcome

Manchester City is expected to win due to their strong form and dominant head-to-head record.

Predicted Score: 3-1 to Manchester City


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Leicester City vs. Manchester United Prediction EPL in Soccer

Match Analysis: Leicester City vs Manchester United – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: Sunday, March 16, 2025
  • Time: 7:00 PM UTC
  • Location: King Power Stadium, Leicester

Game Overview

Leicester City, struggling in 19th place, faces Manchester United, who are mid-table. Leicester has lost five consecutive matches without scoring, while United has inconsistent results with several key injuries.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Leicester City is in poor form, having lost their last five Premier League matches without scoring. Manchester United has mixed results, with one win in their last five league games.
  • Manchester United has historically dominated this fixture, winning 22 of 35 encounters. Leicester's last win was in October 2021.
  • Leicester will miss Abdul Fatawu due to injury. Manchester United has several key players injured, including Mason Mount and Lisandro Martinez.
  • The match's significance is high for both teams, with Leicester seeking to avoid relegation and United aiming for consistency.
  • Leicester is highly motivated to end their losing streak and secure vital points, while United seeks to capitalize on their superior quality.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Leicester City: 310, Manchester United: -124, Draw: 265 Draw ★★☆☆☆ 40%
Spread Leicester City: 50 -105, Manchester United: -0.5 -127 Manchester United -0.5 ★★☆☆☆ 45%
Over_under Over 2.5: -132, Under 2.5: 100 Under 2.5 ★★★☆☆ 55%

Predicted Outcome

A closely contested match with a likely draw.

Predicted Score: 1-1


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Chelsea vs. Leicester City Prediction EPL in Soccer

Match Analysis: Chelsea vs Leicester City – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-03-09
  • Time: 2:00 PM UTC
  • Location: Stamford Bridge

Game Overview

Chelsea, being one of the top teams in the Premier League, faces Leicester City, who have struggled with consistency. Chelsea's strong home record and recent performances suggest they are favorites to win.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Chelsea has shown strong form recently, with a solid defense and potent attack. Leicester City has had mixed results, often struggling against top-tier teams.
  • Chelsea generally has a favorable head-to-head record against Leicester City, though Leicester has occasionally pulled off upsets.
  • No significant injuries reported for Chelsea, but Leicester City may have some key players missing, which could impact their performance.
  • Weather conditions are expected to be neutral, with no significant impact on the game. However, Chelsea's home advantage could play a crucial role.
  • Chelsea is highly motivated to secure a win to maintain their position in the league, while Leicester City seeks to cause an upset to improve their standings.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Chelsea: -500, Leicester City: 960, Draw: 590 Chelsea ★★★★☆ 80%
Spread Chelsea: -1.5 -172, Leicester City: 1.5 129 Chelsea -1.5 ★★★☆☆ 60%
Over_under Over: 3.5 -110, Under: 3.5 -121 Over 3.5 ★★★☆☆ 55%

Predicted Outcome

Chelsea is likely to win the match, given their strong home record and recent form.

Predicted Score: Chelsea 3, Leicester City 1


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