Match Analysis: W-B/Scranton Penguins vs Lehigh Valley Phantoms – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: October 22, 2025
- Time: 11:05 PM UTC
- Location: Mohegan Arena at Casey Plaza (Wilkes-Barre/Scranton)
Game Overview
AHL Atlantic Division matchup with both teams near the top of the standings early: Wilkes-Barre/Scranton (4-0-0-0) hosts Lehigh Valley (3-1-0-0). The Penguins remain unbeaten; the Phantoms have won two in a row but dropped their only road game without key stats. Both teams average over 3 goals per game. This is the second meeting in Octoberβthe Penguins won 4-1 in Allentown on October 12.
Key Factors to Consider
- Penguins: Perfect start (4-0), strong at both ends. Phantoms: 3-1-0-0, stout power play (28.6%), solid PK (88%), but only one road game so far, with splits in other games. Penguins have the momentum edge.
- Recent head-to-head favors the Penguins, who won 4-1 in their last meeting (October 12, 2025)[5]. Phantoms have lost in both teams' last meetings, but rivalry games can be unpredictable.
- No specific injury data available from the sources, but absence of key players would impact depth and special teams efficiency.
- Penguins are at home, where atmosphere and scheduling could be advantageous. Both teams are trending up, but the Penguins' clean sheet and home ice provide a notable edge.
- High for bothβPenguins to protect perfect record and division lead, Phantoms seeking revenge after recent rivalry loss. Special teams and goaltending likely decisive.
Odds and Predictions
| Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | W-B/Scranton Penguins: -170, Lehigh Valley Phantoms: 130 | W-B/Scranton Penguins win | β β β ββ 65% |
| Spread | W-B/Scranton Penguins -1.5 (155), Lehigh Valley Phantoms +1.5 (-205) | Lehigh Valley Phantoms +1.5 (cover) | β β β ββ 58% |
| Over/under | Over 5.5 (-120), Under 5.5 (-110) | Under 5.5 | β β β ββ 60% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
| Market | EV Pick |
|---|---|
| Moneyline | W-B/Scranton Penguins 0% |
| Spread | N/A |
| Over/Under | Under 5.5 15% |
π₯ Best Value Pick: Under 5.5 at 15% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 16% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Wilkes-Barre/Scranton Penguins win, likely 3-2, in a tight, physical contest. The Penguins' home form and current momentum, along with a better record against the spread head-to-head, give them a narrow edge. Expect a competitive game, but for odds value, Penguins ML and Under 5.5 are the most attractive plays.
Predicted Score: W-B/Scranton Penguins 3, Lehigh Valley Phantoms 2