Match Analysis: Marist Red Foxes vs Lehigh Mountain Hawks – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: November 25, 2025
- Time: 12:00 AM UTC
- Location: McCann Arena, Poughkeepsie, New York (Capacity: 3,200)
Game Overview
Lehigh Mountain Hawks (2-4) travel to face Marist Red Foxes (3-2) in a non-conference matchup. This is the fourth consecutive year these teams have met. Lehigh holds a dominant 9-0 all-time series advantage, including a 74-69 victory last season at home. Marist is playing the final game of its November schedule on a six-game homestand, while Lehigh is beginning a four-game road trip away from Stabler Arena.
Key Factors to Consider
- Marist has shown strong form recently, defeating Army 76-65 at home on November 21 with four double-digit scorers (Myles Parker 17, Elijah Lewis 12, Jadin Collins-Roberts 12, Rhyjon Blackwell 10). The Red Foxes displayed impressive second-half efficiency, shooting .576 from the field in the final 20 minutes and allowing only 22 points in the first half. Lehigh enters the game struggling at 2-4, recently going 11-19 overall and 6-12 in Patriot League play last season. The Mountain Hawks are projected to finish eighth in the Patriot League Preseason Poll.
- Lehigh maintains a commanding 9-0 series lead dating back to 1982. Last season, Lehigh defeated Marist 74-69 at Stabler Arena. The teams have met in four consecutive seasons, with Lehigh winning all matchups.
- No injury information is available in the search results.
- Marist has home court advantage at McCann Arena with a capacity of 3,200. The game is Youth Basketball Night for Marist. Lehigh is on the road beginning a four-game away trip and will next travel to Las Vegas for the Resorts World Las Vegas Classic on November 28-29. Marist will have a nine-day gap before its Metro Atlantic Athletic Conference opener on December 5 against Mount St. Mary's.
- Marist is motivated to close out its November schedule with a victory while maintaining strong home performance. Lehigh seeks to break out of its 2-4 slump and gain confidence heading into a demanding road stretch. However, Lehigh's historical dominance in the series provides psychological edge despite recent poor form.
Odds and Predictions
| Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | Marist -340 | Lehigh +260 | Marist Red Foxes Victory | ★★★★☆ 72% |
| Spread | Marist -7.5 (-110) | Lehigh +7.5 (-110) | Marist covers -7.5 | ★★★☆☆ 65% |
| Over/under | Over 130.5 (-106) | Under 130.5 (-118) | Under 130.5 | ★★★☆☆ 58% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
| Market | EV Pick |
|---|---|
| Moneyline | Marist Red Foxes -0% |
| Spread | N/A |
| Over/Under | Under 130.5 -4% |
🔥 Best Value Pick: Marist Red Foxes at -0% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 0% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Marist Red Foxes are favored to win this matchup. Despite Lehigh's historical series advantage, Marist's superior current form, home court advantage, and recent defensive/offensive efficiency make them the stronger team on this particular night. Lehigh's struggles and 2-4 record suggest they are not playing at the level needed to overcome the Red Foxes' momentum.
Predicted Score: Marist 71, Lehigh 61