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Leeds United vs. Aston Villa Prediction EPL in Soccer

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Match Analysis: Leeds United vs Aston Villa – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-11-23
  • Time: 2:00 PM UTC
  • Location: Elland Road

Game Overview

The upcoming EPL match features Leeds United hosting Aston Villa at Elland Road. Leeds United has struggled recently with 6 losses in their past 12 matches, showing inconsistency at home. Aston Villa demonstrates better form, with 4 wins in their last 6 games across all competitions. Historical head-to-head data reflects a balanced rivalry, but Aston Villa has slightly better recent results against Leeds.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Leeds United has a weak run with 6 losses in last 12 matches, especially inconsistent at home where they have 2 wins, 2 draws, and 1 loss in recent meetings with Aston Villa. Aston Villa shows stronger recent form with 4 wins in the past 6 games overall and more competitive away performances.
  • In the last 15 meetings, Leeds have won 3 times, Aston Villa 6 times, with 2 draws overall. At home, Leeds has 2 wins, 2 draws, and 1 loss against Villa. Historical data reveals a fairly even matchup, but Aston Villa edges Leeds in recent clashes.
  • No specific injury data provided in the search results; therefore, injury impact on the match is unknown at this time.
  • No remarkable external factors such as weather, scheduling congestion, or venue changes have been identified from the current information.
  • Aston Villa appears motivated by recent positive form and the chance to continue outperforming Leeds, who are likely under pressure due to recent losses and the need to gain points at home.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Aston Villa: 1.37, Leeds United: 1.98, Draw: 2.2 Aston Villa win ★★★☆☆ 65%
Spread Aston Villa -0.5: 1.32, Leeds United +50: 1.77 Aston Villa -0.5 ★★★☆☆ 60%
Over/under Over 2.5: 1.08, Under 2.5: 1.43 Under 2.5 goals ★★★☆☆ 55%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Aston Villa 11%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 2.5 -7%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Aston Villa at 11% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 8.3% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Aston Villa is favored to win or at least avoid defeat due to better recent form and marginally superior head-to-head record. A low-scoring match with a balanced contest but Villa edging to victory is expected.

Predicted Score: 0-1


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Nottingham Forest vs. Leeds United Prediction EPL in Soccer

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Match Analysis: Nottingham Forest vs Leeds United – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-11-09
  • Time: 2:00 PM UTC
  • Location: City Ground, Nottingham, England

Game Overview

Nottingham Forest and Leeds United face off in an EPL clash where Forest sits 19th and Leeds 16th in the table. Both teams struggle near the relegation zone, with Nottingham Forest under pressure to improve with 6 points from 13 games and Leeds slightly better at 11 points. The match at the City Ground is crucial for both sides aiming to climb the standings.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Nottingham Forest has had a poor start with a 1-3-6 record, scoring 7 and conceding 12 goals. They have been slightly better at home recently with no losses in their last 2 games at City Ground but overall struggle for consistency. Leeds United have been somewhat more stable with 3-2-5, scoring and conceding 11 each. Both teams show defensive vulnerabilities but Forest has slightly better recent home form.
  • The historical head-to-head record is relatively balanced: Nottingham Forest 9 wins, Leeds United 7 wins, and 7 draws. This parity suggests a tight contest likely to be decided by form and key players on the day.
  • Nottingham Forest is missing Douglas Luiz and has doubts over Callum Hudson-Odoi and Chris Wood, which may impact their attacking options. Igor Jesus, returning from a European ban, could lead Forest's frontline. No significant injury information for Leeds was indicated.
  • Nottingham Forest are also involved in the Europa League, which could affect their focus and energy levels. Both teams are under pressure to avoid relegation, adding motivational intensity to the match. The match is live on TV at 2pm UTC, increasing exposure but no direct impact on play.
  • Forest is highly motivated to break out of the relegation zone and improve their poor league position. Leeds United also need points to stabilize and avoid a slide towards the drop zone. Both teams face strong incentives to claim points, making for a competitive match.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Nottingham Forest: 122, Leeds United: 230, Draw: 235 Nottingham Forest win ★★★☆☆ 65%
Spread Nottingham Forest -0.25: -110, Leeds United +25: -110 Nottingham Forest -0.25 ★★★☆☆ 60%
Over/under Over 2.25: -122, Under 2.25: 102 Under 2.25 goals ★★★☆☆ 55%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Nottingham Forest 22%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 2.25 11%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Nottingham Forest at 22% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 18.1% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Despite Nottingham Forest's struggles, their slightly improved home form and the motivation to avoid relegation give them a moderate edge over Leeds United. The prediction leans towards a Nottingham Forest win by a narrow margin.

Predicted Score: 2-0


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Brighton and Hove Albion vs. Leeds United Prediction EPL in Soccer

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Match Analysis: Brighton and Hove Albion vs Leeds United – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-11-01
  • Time: 3:00 PM UTC
  • Location: Amex Stadium, Brighton and Hove Albion

Game Overview

Brighton and Hove Albion, ranked 13th, host Leeds United, ranked 15th, in a close Premier League match with only one point separating the teams after nine games this season. Leeds are seeking to end a six-match winless streak against Brighton who are playing at home with a decent historical advantage at the Amex Stadium.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Brighton recently exited the EFL Cup and are focusing on bouncing back in the Premier League after a midweek loss to Arsenal. Leeds are struggling with a six-match winless run and have yet to win at Brighton's Amex Stadium in nine attempts, last meeting there in 2022 ending in a narrow 1-0 defeat for Leeds.
  • Brighton holds a strong home record against Leeds with six wins and three draws in nine meetings at the Amex. Their last home win for Brighton over Leeds was 1-0 in 2022.
  • No specific injury updates were given in the latest reports; however, both teams will likely have their key players available given the importance of the match and proximity to recent fixtures.
  • The UK 3pm blackout rule means the game won’t be broadcast live live on UK TV, potentially affecting fan atmosphere. The match is held at Brighton’s large home stadium with around 30,000 capacity, which could influence home team motivation.
  • Brighton aims to recover confidence after recent defeats and capitalize on home advantage, while Leeds are under pressure to break their poor away form and win their first match at this venue in years.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Brighton and Hove Albion: -119, Leeds United: 295, Draw: 265 Brighton and Hove Albion to win ★★★★☆ 75%
Spread Brighton and Hove Albion -0.5: -122, Leeds United +50: -108 Brighton and Hove Albion -0.5 (Home win by at least one goal) ★★★★☆ 70%
Over/under Over 2.5: -130, Under 2.5: -102 Under 2.5 goals ★★★☆☆ 60%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Brighton and Hove Albion -1%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 2.5 19%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 2.5 at 19% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 19.2% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Brighton and Hove Albion are favored to win this match due to their home advantage, better recent form, and historical dominance over Leeds United at the Amex Stadium.

Predicted Score: 1-0


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Leeds United vs. West Ham United Prediction EPL in Soccer

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Match Analysis: Leeds United vs West Ham United – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-10-24
  • Time: 7:00 PM UTC
  • Location: Elland Road

Game Overview

The Premier League clash between Leeds United and West Ham United at Elland Road pits two sides with contrasting recent forms and aspirations. Leeds have had a better start in the 2025/26 season compared to West Ham, boasting 8 points from 8 matches while West Ham have only managed 4 points. The fixture features a competitive rivalry with recent matches showing splits and close scorelines.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Leeds United sit 19th in the EPL table with a record reflecting 2 wins, 2 draws, and 4 losses, scoring 8 points so far. Key players like Sean Longstaff (rating 6.6) and Noah Okafor (2 goals) have contributed to their performance. West Ham have struggled this season with only 1 win, 1 draw, and 6 losses, gaining 4 points. Jarrod Bowen leads their attack with 3 goals and a rating of 6.2. Defensive issues and fewer clean sheets (2 vs Leeds’ 3) have hindered West Ham.
  • Recent head-to-head results show a competitive balance: West Ham won 3-1 on May 2023, the sides drew 2-2 in January 2023, and Leeds secured a 3-2 victory in January 2022. Overall, the matchups have been closely contested with multiple goal exchanges.
  • No specific injury data available from the sources for this matchday; both teams appear to have their key players fit and available.
  • Playing at home gives Leeds an advantage at Elland Road. The timing in the fixture calendar suggests both teams are under pressure to improve their league standing before the November break. Weather and pitch conditions are presumed standard with no reported external disruptions.
  • Leeds United are motivated to climb out of the relegation zone and capitalize on home advantage, while West Ham seek desperately to arrest their poor form and gain points on the road to avoid a relegation battle.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Leeds United: -119, West Ham United: 320, Draw: 250 Leeds United win ★★★★☆ 72%
Spread Leeds United -0.5: -122, West Ham United +50: -109 Leeds United -0.5 ★★★☆☆ 68%
Over/under Over 2.5: -103, Under 2.5: -128 Under 2.5 goals ★★★☆☆ 60%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Leeds United 3%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 2.5 7%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 2.5 at 7% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 8.8% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Leeds United are favored to win at home due to better current form, the advantage of playing at Elland Road, and historical competitive balance edged by recent positive results and squad stability.

Predicted Score: 1-0


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Burnley vs. Leeds United Prediction EPL in Soccer

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Match Analysis: Burnley vs Leeds United – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-10-18
  • Time: 2:00 PM UTC
  • Location: Turf Moor, Burnley, England

Game Overview

Burnley faces Leeds United in a Premier League match on October 18, 2025. Burnley currently ranks 18th, while Leeds United is in the 15th position. The match is expected to be closely contested, with both teams seeking vital points to improve their standings.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Burnley has struggled so far this season, while Leeds United has shown more consistency. However, Leeds United's away form has been mixed, providing Burnley with a chance to capitalize on home advantage.
  • Recent head-to-head matches have seen varied results, with neither team dominating consistently. The most recent league match ended in a draw.
  • No significant injury updates are available, but both teams are expected to field their strongest lineups.
  • Weather conditions and crowd support could influence the match, but specific details are not currently available.
  • Both teams are highly motivated to secure a win, with Burnley looking to move up the table and Leeds aiming to consolidate their position.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Burnley: +220, Leeds United: +123, Draw: +224 Draw or Leeds United win ★★★☆☆ 60%
Spread Burnley: 50 -159, Leeds United: -0.5 +119 Burnley with a +0.5 handicap ★★★☆☆ 55%
Over/under Over 2.5: +116, Under 2.5: -154 Under 2.5 ★★★☆☆ 65%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Leeds United -11%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 2.5 7%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 2.5 at 7% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 11.1% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Given the current form and head-to-head history, a closely contested match is expected. Leeds United might have a slight edge due to their overall season performance.

Predicted Score: Burnley 1, Leeds United 1


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Leeds United vs. Tottenham Hotspur Prediction EPL in Soccer

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Match Analysis: Leeds United vs Tottenham Hotspur – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-10-04
  • Time: 11:30 AM UTC
  • Location: Elland Road

Game Overview

Leeds United and Tottenham Hotspur face off in a Premier League Round 7 encounter. Leeds have 8 points (W2, D2, L2), while Spurs have 11 points (W3, D2, L1), demonstrating a slightly superior start to the season[2]. Both teams are in mid-table positions, with ambitions to climb further. This match is a significant test for Leeds' resilience at home against a capable Spurs side[5].

Key Factors to Consider

  • Tottenham's form is slightly better, with a balanced attack (notably Richarlison with 3 goals in 6 matches, Johnson and Palhinha with 2 each) and creative midfield (Kudus with 3 assists)[2]. Leeds have mixed results, relying on team contribution rather than a standout scorer, reflecting a more defensive and organized approach[2].
  • Tottenham have dominated recent encounters, winning 5 of the previous 7 meetings and Leeds 2, with no draws[1]. The last two meetings were high-scoring away wins for Spurs, but Leeds have previously claimed a home victory in 2021[2]. Historical patterns favor Spurs, but Elland Road can be tricky.
  • Currently, no specific injury updates are publicly available in the provided data. Squad depth and in-form players are crucial, but the absence of major injury news suggests both teams likely field close to full strength.
  • Elland Road is a challenging venue for visitors, which may bolster Leeds' morale. However, Spurs' superior historical performance and recent head-to-head success could negate the home advantage. No major external disruptions are reported.
  • Both teams have reasonable form and will be eager to move up the table. Leeds are motivated to prove themselves against a historical rival, while Spurs will want to consolidate their league position and maintain momentum.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Leeds United: 172, Tottenham Hotspur: 143, Draw: 244 Tottenham Hotspur Win ★★★☆☆ 68%
Spread Leeds United: 50 -185, Tottenham Hotspur: -0.5 138 Tottenham Hotspur -0.5 (Draw No Bet) ★★★☆☆ 65%
Over/under Over: 2.5 -115, Under: 2.5 -115 Over 2.5 Goals ★★★☆☆ 60%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Tottenham Hotspur 2%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Over 2.5 3%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Over 2.5 at 3% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 3.3% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Tottenham's recent form, attacking quality, and head-to-head advantage make them slight favorites, despite Leeds' home field and occasional resilience. Expect a competitive match, but Spurs are more likely to edge it, potentially with goals. The match has moderate volatility—a draw or narrow home win are plausible alternatives.

Predicted Score: Tottenham Hotspur 2-1 Leeds United


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Leeds United vs. Bournemouth Prediction EPL in Soccer

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Match Analysis: Leeds United vs Bournemouth – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-09-27
  • Time: 2:00 PM UTC
  • Location: Elland Road, Leeds, England

Game Overview

Leeds United (12th in Premier League) host Bournemouth (4th) at Elland Road. Bournemouth are higher in the table with a better recent record. Leeds have 7 points with a 2-1-2 record, while Bournemouth have 10 points with a 3-1-1 record. Both teams have shown offensive capabilities, with Leeds scoring 4 goals in their last 5 matches. Historically, their last 6 head-to-head matches produced no draws, indicating a competitive rivalry[1][3][8].

Key Factors to Consider

  • Bournemouth holds the advantage with a higher league position and a more consistent point accumulation. Bournemouth's key forwards like A. Semenyo (3 goals, 2 assists in 5 games) and midfielders contributing to offense indicate a robust attacking threat. Leeds' forwards such as L. Nmecha and D. Calvert-Lewin have contributed as well but with less impact. Leeds have competitive home form, but Bournemouth's overall form is superior currently[3].
  • Recent history between Leeds United and Bournemouth shows no draws in their last 6 meetings, reflecting an open and competitive matchup. Both teams have split wins, with matches tending to have decisive results, often with both teams scoring[1][5][8].
  • No specific or official injury reports are provided in the available data, indicating that squads are likely close to full strength. Absence of key players could affect team strategies but currently no significant injury updates are noted[1][3].
  • The match is at Elland Road, giving Leeds United home advantage, which can be influential. Weather or pitch conditions are not indicated as adverse. Motivation may be impacted by league positioning—Leeds seek to improve mid-table standing, Bournemouth aim to consolidate top-four status[1][8].
  • Bournemouth, placed 4th, are motivated to maintain their strong start and push for continental competition places. Leeds, mid-table at 12th, are motivated to climb the table for security. Both teams show solid motivation but Bournemouth may have an edge due to higher league ambitions and form[3][8].

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline bournemouth: 1.38, leeds_united: 1.93, draw: 2.24 Bournemouth Win ★★★★☆ 72%
Spread bournemouth_-0.5: 1.33, leeds_united_+50: 1.78 Bournemouth -0.5 ★★★☆☆ 65%
Over/under over_2.5: 1.92, under_2.5: 1.83 Over 2.5 Goals ★★★☆☆ 60%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Bournemouth 12%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Over 2.5 11%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Bournemouth at 12% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 8.6% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Bournemouth is favored to win due to superior current form, higher league ranking, and offensive efficiency. Leeds United will utilize home advantage and could challenge strongly, but Bournemouth's consistency gives them the edge to secure a narrow win in this competitive fixture.

Predicted Score: Bournemouth 2 – 1 Leeds United


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Wolverhampton Wanderers vs. Leeds United Prediction EPL in Soccer

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Match Analysis: Wolverhampton Wanderers vs Leeds United – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-09-20
  • Time: 2:00 PM UTC
  • Location: Molineux Stadium

Game Overview

The upcoming Premier League clash between Wolverhampton Wanderers and Leeds United on September 20, 2025, at Molineux Stadium is shaping up to be a crucial matchup. Wolves have struggled recently with four consecutive away defeats to start the campaign, including a tactical shift to a 3-5-2 formation that showed early promise but lost momentum. Leeds United arrive motivated with solid form under Daniel Farke, showing improved stability and competitive edge against top flight opponents.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Wolves are experimenting tactically with a new formation, recently deploying a 3-5-2 with inverted wing-backs and integrating new players like Krejci in midfield and Arokodare upfront. However, confidence appears low due to their losing streak, especially away from home. Leeds, meanwhile, have shown resilience and better cohesion under their current management, with recent matches indicating improved defensive organization and counter-attacking threat.
  • Historically, matches between Wolves and Leeds are competitive with a balanced number of wins and draws. Recent season encounters have been tight, with both sides sharing points and a mix of narrow victories, making this fixture unpredictable.
  • Current public information does not specify major injuries affecting either side ahead of this match, but ongoing monitoring of squad updates is advisable to capture last-minute changes.
  • The home advantage is significant for Wolves at Molineux, but their poor form away contrasts with Leeds' steadier away performances. Fan support and stadium atmosphere might influence Wolves to push harder after their recent setbacks.
  • Wolves are highly motivated to end their away losses and will aim to capitalize on home comfort to regain confidence. Leeds United are motivated to continue their upward trajectory in the league and secure valuable points on the road.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Leeds United: 156, Wolverhampton Wanderers: 168, Draw: 224 Wolverhampton Wanderers ★★★☆☆ 58%
Spread Leeds United +50: -208, Wolverhampton Wanderers -0.5: 153 Wolverhampton Wanderers -0.5 ★★★☆☆ 55%
Over/under Over 2.5: 134, Under 2.5: -182 Under 2.5 goals ★★★☆☆ 62%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Wolverhampton Wanderers 21%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 2.5 -4%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Wolverhampton Wanderers at 21% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 12.3% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

A closely contested match is expected, likely resulting in a narrow Wolves win or a draw due to Wolves' home advantage but Leeds' recent resilience and form.

Predicted Score: 1-0


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Fulham vs. Leeds United Prediction EPL in Soccer

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Match Analysis: Fulham vs Leeds United – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-09-13
  • Time: 2:00 PM UTC
  • Location: Craven Cottage

Game Overview

Fulham will host Leeds United at Craven Cottage in the Premier League round 4 match. Fulham comes in with a mixed recent form (0-2 loss to Chelsea, draws with Man Utd and Brighton, but a strong Carabao Cup win). Leeds United has shown inconsistent results including a 5-0 heavy defeat by Arsenal but also draws against Newcastle and competitive performances in cup and friendlies. Both teams have low recent goal tallies and defensive vulnerabilities have been evident, especially for Leeds.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Fulham currently has 2 points from three Premier League matches (0-2-1), struggling defensively but capable of scoring as shown in their Carabao Cup win. Leeds United has 4 points (1-1-1), with a major defensive lapse in their 0-5 defeat to Arsenal but reasonable competitive form overall.
  • In their last five meetings, Fulham and Leeds United matches have been closely contested with Fulham winning 3-2 in Apr 2023 and Feb 2023, Leeds winning 2-1 in Mar 2021, and draws in other meetings. Overall, there is parity but a slight edge to Fulham at home historically.
  • No explicit or updated injury reports are available from the sources for this match day, suggesting both teams may have near full squads for selection.
  • The match is at Craven Cottage, a familiar home venue for Fulham. The game is early in the season with both sides trying to establish form. There are no weather or pitch condition issues noted. Motivation may be influenced by need for points early in the season.
  • Leeds United currently leads the two in points, likely motivated to maintain or extend their advantage. Fulham will be eager to improve on their slow start and capitalize on home advantage.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Fulham: -107, Leeds United: 280, Draw: 244 Fulham to win ★★★☆☆ 65%
Spread Fulham -0.5: -109, Leeds United +50: -121 Fulham -0.5 ★★★☆☆ 60%
Over/under Over 2.5: -102, Under 2.5: -130 Under 2.5 goals ★★★★☆ 70%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Fulham 1%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 2.5 6%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 2.5 at 6% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 8% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Given recent form, home advantage, slightly better historical head-to-head outcomes, and odds favoring Fulham, the predicted outcome is a narrow Fulham victory with a strong potential for a closely fought match.

Predicted Score: 1-0


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Leeds United vs. Newcastle United Prediction EPL in Soccer

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Match Analysis: Leeds United vs Newcastle United – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-08-30
  • Time: 4:30 PM UTC
  • Location: Elland Road

Game Overview

Leeds United hosts Newcastle United in a Premier League matchup where Leeds aims to capitalize on home advantage and Newcastle seeks to rebound from recent injury setbacks. Leeds has shown resilience at home with a solid defensive and counter-attacking style, while Newcastle is missing key players and must rely on top form from Harvey Barnes.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Leeds United has a 1-0 home win against Everton and a heavy loss to Arsenal but showed competitiveness. Newcastle United have a mixed start with a loss to Liverpool and a draw at Aston Villa, complicated by the absence of key attackers Anthony Gordon and Alexander Isak.
  • Recent head-to-heads have been tight, with three of the last five meetings ending in draws; each team securing one win in the other two matches, reflecting balanced competitiveness.
  • Newcastle United is hampered by key injuries to Anthony Gordon and Alexander Isak, reducing their attacking threat. Leeds appears relatively healthy with no major reported absences.
  • The match is played at Elland Road, giving Leeds a home advantage. Weather conditions are mild. Media coverage and fan support favor Leeds, amplifying home pressure.
  • Leeds is motivated to bounce back from a recent heavy loss and maintain positive momentum at home. Newcastle is motivated to secure their first win of the season to improve their standing after a slow start.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Leeds United: 240, Newcastle United: 105, Draw: 248 Leeds United win ★★★☆☆ 68%
Spread Leeds United: -0.5 @ -135, Newcastle United: +50 @ 102 Leeds United -0.5 ★★★☆☆ 62%
Over/under Over 2.5: -139, Under 2.5: 105 Under 2.5 goals ★★★☆☆ 57%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Newcastle United 53%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 2.5 17%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Newcastle United at 53% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 22.1% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Leeds United to win with a tight scoreline due to home strength and Newcastle's injury concerns.

Predicted Score: 2-1


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