Match Analysis: Metz vs Le Havre – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-09-28
- Time: 3:15 PM UTC
- Location: Stade Saint-Symphorien
Game Overview
A tightly contested Ligue 1 match between Metz and Le Havre, both struggling for form with defensive issues impacting Metz heavily and Le Havre showing inconsistent away performances.
Key Factors to Consider
- Metz has failed to win at home this season with one draw and one loss, showing defensive vulnerabilities. Le Havre also lacks recent away wins and has conceded multiple goals in recent matches, but their attacking potential is notable.
- Recent encounters have been balanced with both sides having opportunities; no dominant trend, suggesting a close game.
- No clear recent injury data available; assume near full-strength squads.
- No significant external influences reported; neutral weather and pitch conditions expected.
- Both teams are near the bottom of Ligue 1, highly motivated to secure points to improve their standings and avoid relegation pressure.
Odds and Predictions
Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
---|---|---|---|
Moneyline | 165 | Le Havre | β β β ββ 63% |
Spread | Le Havre 0 -108 | Le Havre +0 | β β β ββ 58% |
Over/under | Under 2.5 -120 | Under 2.5 | β β β ββ 65% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
Market | EV Pick |
---|---|
Moneyline | Le Havre 27% |
Spread | N/A |
Over/Under | Under 2.5 10% |
π₯ Best Value Pick: Le Havre at 27% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 16.5% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Le Havre moneyline
Predicted Score: 0-1