Match Analysis: Larry Gonzales vs Anthony Guarascio – Prediction

Match Details

• Date: 2025-11-08
• Time: 2:00 AM UTC
• Location: CFFC 148, United States

Game Overview

This heavyweight MMA matchup features Anthony Guarascio, the strong favorite with -440 odds, facing Larry Gonzales, the underdog at +340. Both fighters are ranked within the top 350 in their division and have displayed contrasting recent performance trends.

Key Factors to Consider

• Anthony Guarascio has shown stronger recent form and higher activity, maintaining a better win streak and fewer weaknesses on the ground compared to Larry Gonzales, who has been inconsistent and less active recently.
• No prior head-to-head encounters reported, making direct matchup history negligible and increasing the importance of form and style analysis.
• No current injury reports on either fighter impacting this bout, indicating both will compete at full capacity.
• Fight taking place at a neutral venue under Cage Fury FC promotion; no known external distractions or issues affecting either athlete.
• Guarascio is motivated to solidify his higher rank and advance in the heavyweight division, while Gonzales seeks to upset and improve his standing, offering a moderate motivation edge to Guarascio.

Odds and Predictions

Category	Odds	Prediction	Confidence
Moneyline	Anthony Guarascio: -440, Larry Gonzales: +340	Anthony Guarascio	★★★★☆ 79%
Spread	Anthony Guarascio -1.5 rounds: -160, Larry Gonzales +1.5 rounds: +130	Anthony Guarascio -1.5 rounds	★★★★☆ 72%
Over/under	Over 2.5 rounds: +110, Under 2.5 rounds: -130	Under 2.5 rounds	★★★☆☆ 68%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market	EV Pick
Moneyline	Anthony Guarascio -3%
Spread	N/A
Over/Under	N/A

🔥 Best Value Pick: Anthony Guarascio at -3% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 0% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Anthony Guarascio to win on the moneyline

Predicted Score: Anthony Guarascio wins by KO/TKO in round 2