Match Analysis: David Picasso vs Kyonosuke Kameda – Prediction

Match Details

• Date: July 19, 2025
• Time: 10:15 PM UTC
• Location: MGM Grand Garden Arena, Las Vegas, NV

Game Overview

David Picasso, an undefeated top super bantamweight, faces seasoned Japanese contender Kyonosuke Kameda in a 10-round bout. The fight is part of a high-profile card and is pivotal for Picasso’s future title aspirations.

Key Factors to Consider

• David Picasso is on a 5-fight win streak in 2024 and holds a significant advantage in terms of win-loss record and recent form. Kameda, though experienced, has fewer wins and a higher loss ratio.
• No previous matchups between the two fighters.
• No reported injuries for either fighter.
• The fight being in Las Vegas and part of a major card may increase pressure on both fighters.
• Picasso is highly motivated for a potential title shot against Naoya Inoue after this fight, while Kameda seeks a major upset to boost his career.

Odds and Predictions

Category	Odds	Prediction	Confidence
Moneyline	-1500/+713	David Picasso	★★★★☆ 85%
Over/under	8.5 -115/-115	Over	★★★☆☆ 62%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market	EV Pick
Moneyline	David Picasso -9%
Spread	N/A
Over/Under	Over 8.5 8%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Over 8.5 at 8% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 9.7% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

David Picasso is expected to dominate the fight due to his superior record and recent form.

Predicted Score: David Picasso by wide points margin or late-round TKO.