Match Analysis: Gerald Meerschaert vs Kyle Daukaus – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-11-15
- Time: 9:00 PM UTC
- Location: UFC 322, Las Vegas, NV
Game Overview
This middleweight bout features Gerald Meerschaert, a seasoned veteran known for his submission skills, against Kyle Daukaus, a younger and highly efficient southpaw grappler with high takedown and submission averages.
Key Factors to Consider
- Kyle Daukaus holds a 16-4-0 record with recent wins and better striking accuracy (53% vs. Meerschaert's 45%). Meerschaert has a larger total record (37-20-0) but appears less competitive in recent outings, including a loss signifying decline.
- They have no direct previous matchups.
- No reported injuries for either fighter ahead of the bout.
- Fight will take place on UFC 322 prelims. The younger fighter Daukaus may have better conditioning and recovery. No notable external disruptions.
- Kyle Daukaus is entering prime years at age 32 and looks motivated to ascend rankings. Meerschaert at 37 may be motivated but shows signs of career decline.
Odds and Predictions
| Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | gerald_meerschaert: 330, kyle_daukaus: -425 | Kyle Daukaus | ★★★★☆ 78% |
| Spread | gerald_meerschaert_+7.5: 115, kyle_daukaus_-7.5: -155 | Kyle Daukaus -7.5 rounds | ★★★★☆ 70% |
| Over/under | over_1.5: -175, under_1.5: 135 | Under 1.5 rounds | ★★★★☆ 72% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
| Market | EV Pick |
|---|---|
| Moneyline | Kyle Daukaus -6% |
| Spread | N/A |
| Over/Under | Under 1.5 69% |
🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 1.5 at 69% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 51.3% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Kyle Daukaus to win by submission with a fight under 1.5 rounds
Predicted Score: Kyle Daukaus wins via submission at 1:30 of round 2