Match Analysis: Kurtis Campbell vs Demba Seck – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-10-01
- Time: 12:00 AM UTC
- Location: UFC APEX, Las Vegas, NV
Game Overview
A featherweight bout on Dana White's Contender Series Week 8 featuring undefeated grappler Kurtis Campbell (7-0) versus versatile striker and submission artist Demba Seck (10-2). Both fighters are on significant finish streaks, with Campbell aiming to extend his undefeated record and Seck looking to secure a UFC contract.
Key Factors to Consider
- Campbell is undefeated with recent wins via submission and knockout, showing improved defensive grappling and composure under pressure. Seck has a 7-fight finish streak with strong striking and submission skills, making the bout competitive.
- No previous matchup between Campbell and Seck, making this a first direct meeting to analyze styles and adaptability.
- No reported injuries for either fighter impacting their performance or preparation.
- Fight at UFC APEX in Las Vegas provides a neutral venue but high-pressure environment with UFC contract on the line for both prospects.
- Both fighters highly motivated; Campbell to maintain undefeated status and move on to UFC, Seck to maximize finishing streak and earn UFC contract.
Odds and Predictions
| Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | Kurtis Campbell: -420, Demba Seck: 350 | Kurtis Campbell | ★★★★☆ 75% |
| Spread | Kurtis Campbell -1.5: +150, Demba Seck +1.5: -180 | Kurtis Campbell -1.5 | ★★★☆☆ 68% |
| Over/under | Over 1.5: -125, Under 1.5: +105 | Over 1.5 rounds | ★★★★☆ 70% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
| Market | EV Pick |
|---|---|
| Moneyline | Kurtis Campbell -8% |
| Spread | N/A |
| Over/Under | Over 1.5 17% |
🔥 Best Value Pick: Over 1.5 at 17% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 21.3% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Moneyline: Kurtis Campbell win; Spread: Kurtis Campbell by -1.5 rounds; Over/Under: Over 1.5 rounds
Predicted Score: Kurtis Campbell wins by late stoppage or decision in Round 2 or 3