Match Analysis: Kurt Holobaugh vs Jordan Leavitt – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-05-31
- Time: 10:40 PM UTC
- Location: UFC Apex, Las Vegas
Game Overview
Kurt Holobaugh faces off against Jordan Leavitt in a lightweight bout at UFC Vegas 107. The matchup pits Holobaugh, a 38-year-old with a 22-9-0 record, against the 29-year-old Leavitt, who has an 11-3-0 record. Leavitt is favored due to his younger age and defensive prowess.
Key Factors to Consider
- Holobaugh lands more significant strikes per minute but is less accurate and takes more strikes than Leavitt, who excels in defense.
- No previous head-to-head data available for this matchup.
- No reported injuries for either fighter.
- Age could be a factor, with Leavitt being significantly younger.
- Both fighters are motivated to win, but Leavitt's youth and recent form might give him an edge.
Odds and Predictions
| Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | Jordan Leavitt: -218, Kurt Holobaugh: 180 | Jordan Leavitt to win | ★★★☆☆ 60% |
| Spread | Jordan Leavitt: -3.5 100, Kurt Holobaugh: 3.5 -135 | Jordan Leavitt to cover the spread | ★★★☆☆ 55% |
| Over/under | Over: 2.5 -160, Under: 2.5 124 | Under 2.5 rounds | ★★★☆☆ 58% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
| Market | EV Pick |
|---|---|
| Moneyline | Jordan Leavitt -99% |
| Spread | N/A |
| Over/Under | Under 2.5 -99% |
⚠️ No clear +EV edge found for this game.
Predicted Outcome
Jordan Leavitt is predicted to win due to his strong defensive capabilities and younger age.
Predicted Score: Jordan Leavitt wins by decision or early stoppage