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Match Analysis: Krystian Blezien vs Sasha Moisa – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-09-20
- Time: 5:00 PM UTC
- Location: Podpromie Hall, Rzeszow, Poland
Game Overview
The Lightweight division KSW 110 main card fight features Krystian Blezien, a grappling-oriented fighter, against Sasha Moisa, known for his striking and knockout power. The match is expected to be a classic striker versus grappler matchup, with Blezien looking to control the fight on the ground and Moisa aiming to keep it standing and land decisive strikes.
Key Factors to Consider
- Krystian Blezien has demonstrated strong grappling and control in recent fights, relying on ground techniques and endurance. Sasha Moisa showcases high striking accuracy and power with a record that includes several TKOs and decisions, suggesting effective striking ability. Recent form favors Blezien's grappling but Moisa's finishing ability remains a significant threat.
- There is no recorded previous head-to-head matchup between Krystian Blezien and Sasha Moisa, making this a fresh contest where styles will be crucial.
- No significant injuries have been reported for either competitor leading into this bout, indicating both are expected to compete at full capacity.
- The fight takes place in Poland, potentially giving Krystian Blezien a slight home advantage due to local support and familiar environment.
- Both fighters are motivated to secure a marquee win at KSW 110. Blezien aims to prove grappling dominance while Moisa seeks to showcase knockout power to enhance his profile.
Odds and Predictions
| Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | Krystian Blezien: -120, Sasha Moisa: -110 | Krystian Blezien | ★★★☆☆ 65% |
| Spread | Blezien -1.5 rounds: -140, Moisa +1.5 rounds: +120 | Blezien -1.5 rounds | ★★★☆☆ 60% |
| Over/under | Over 2.5 rounds: -130, Under 2.5 rounds: +110 | Under 2.5 rounds | ★★★☆☆ 55% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
| Market | EV Pick |
|---|---|
| Moneyline | Home 0% |
| Spread | N/A |
| Over/Under | N/A |
🔥 Best Value Pick: Home at 0% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 0% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Given the contrast in fighting styles, the prediction leans towards Krystian Blezien winning by controlling the fight on the ground and outpointing Moisa through grappling. However, if Moisa manages to keep the fight standing, his knockout power makes an upset possible.
Predicted Score: Blezien wins via decision or ground-based stoppage around round 3