Match Analysis: Khotam Boynazarov vs James Llontop – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-07-24
- Time: 1:00 PM UTC
- Location: Space42 Arena, Al Raha, Abu Dhabi
Game Overview
The welterweight title clash at UAE Warriors 62 features reigning champion Khotam Boynazarov defending his belt against James Llontop, a former UFC fighter making his promotion debut after recent strong performances.
Key Factors to Consider
- Boynazarov enters undefeated in UAE Warriors and as reigning welterweight champion, while Llontop has rebounded well after UFC release with consecutive wins including a TKO in Fusion Fight Championship.
- No prior head-to-head matchups between Boynazarov and Llontop exist.
- Neither fighter has reported recent injuries affecting their preparation or performance.
- Fight held at neutral venue with Boynazarov having home-crowd advantage in Abu Dhabi; Llontop motivated for a strong debut in UAE Warriors and eventual UFC recall.
- Boynazarov motivated to defend title and extend unbeaten streak, while Llontop driven to capture another title to elevate his comeback bid.
Odds and Predictions
| Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | Boynazarov -550, Llontop +325 | Khotam Boynazarov | ★★★★☆ 79% |
| Spread | Boynazarov -1.5 rounds -350, Llontop +1.5 rounds +280 | Khotam Boynazarov -1.5 rounds | ★★★★☆ 70% |
| Over/under | Over 2.5 rounds -120, Under 2.5 rounds +100 | Under 2.5 rounds | ★★★☆☆ 65% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
| Market | EV Pick |
|---|---|
| Moneyline | Khotam Boynazarov -8% |
| Spread | N/A |
| Over/Under | N/A |
🔥 Best Value Pick: Khotam Boynazarov at -8% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 0% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Khotam Boynazarov to win by moneyline given dominant form and title champion status.
Predicted Score: Khotam Boynazarov wins by second-round TKO