Dricus Du Plessis vs. Khamzat Chimaev Prediction MIXED_MARTIAL_ARTS in MMA/Boxing

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Match Analysis: Dricus Du Plessis vs Khamzat Chimaev – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-08-17
  • Time: 3:00 AM UTC
  • Location: United Center, Chicago

Game Overview

UFC 319 main event middleweight title fight between champion Dricus Du Plessis and undefeated challenger Khamzat Chimaev, featuring two highly motivated strikers with contrasting styles and recent impressive form.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Du Plessis holds a strong 23-2 professional MMA record with a championship reign, showcasing precision striking and resilience, while Chimaev remains undefeated at 14-0 with high output striking and aggressive grappling, though his path has been hampered by long layoffs and prior injuries.
  • No previous fights between Du Plessis and Chimaev; however, their recent respectful interaction indicates focus and readiness without distractions.
  • No current injuries reported for either fighter. Chimaev’s previous setbacks have not impacted his current training camp as per recent reports.
  • Fight takes place at United Center in Chicago, a neutral venue with no home advantage. Both fighters have strong fan support and media hype, potentially increasing pressure but also motivation.
  • High motivation from both; Du Plessis aiming to defend his title and solidify legacy, questioning Chimaev’s response to first loss; Chimaev eager to maintain undefeated record and claim championship, signaling confidence and aggressiveness.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Dricus Du Plessis: +205, Khamzat Chimaev: -250 Khamzat Chimaev ★★★★☆ 72%
Spread Dricus Du Plessis +5.5: +130, Khamzat Chimaev -5.5: -180 Khamzat Chimaev -5.5 ★★★☆☆ 65%
Over/under Over 2.5 rounds: -110, Under 2.5 rounds: -120 Under 2.5 rounds ★★★★☆ 70%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Khamzat Chimaev -5%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 2.5 10%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 2.5 at 10% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 12% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Khamzat Chimaev wins on the moneyline

Predicted Score: Khamzat Chimaev wins via late stoppage (Round 3)


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