Match Analysis: Conner Tudsbury vs Khalid Graidia – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-10-11
- Time: 5:00 PM UTC
- Location: Utilita Arena, Sheffield, Yorkshire, England
Game Overview
Conner Tudsbury, an undefeated light heavyweight with a 3-0 record and orthodox stance, faces the more experienced but mixed record Khalid Graidia (13-15-5) in a 6-round bout. Tudsbury is known for his aggressive style and power, though he has yet to score a knockout, while Graidia relies on agility and defensive skills, leveraging his extensive ring experience to challenge Tudsbury.
Key Factors to Consider
- Tudsbury shows momentum with an undefeated professional start but against less seasoned opponents. Graidia's longevity in 33 fights, despite many losses, provides him with tactical ring IQ and resilience that may counter Tudsbury's aggression.
- No previous head-to-head bouts between Tudsbury and Graidia have been documented, making this match a first encounter, increasing unpredictability.
- No reported injuries or issues affecting either fighter ahead of the match.
- The fight takes place in Sheffield's Utilita Arena with fans likely favoring the Englishman Tudsbury; the bout is streamed live on DAZN, increasing visibility and pressure on performers.
- Tudsbury aims to maintain his perfect professional record and prove himself against a seasoned opponent, while Graidia seeks to leverage experience and disrupt Tudsbury’s unbeaten trajectory for career resurgence.
Odds and Predictions
| Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | Conner Tudsbury: -2500, Khalid Graidia: 950 | Conner Tudsbury to win | ★★★★☆ 85% |
| Spread | Conner Tudsbury -1.5 rounds: -150, Khalid Graidia +1.5 rounds: +130 | Conner Tudsbury covers spread | ★★★★☆ 80% |
| Over/under | Over 4.5 rounds: -110, Under 4.5 rounds: -110 | Over 4.5 rounds | ★★★☆☆ 65% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
| Market | EV Pick |
|---|---|
| Moneyline | Conner Tudsbury -12% |
| Spread | N/A |
| Over/Under | N/A |
🔥 Best Value Pick: Conner Tudsbury at -12% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 0% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Conner Tudsbury is predicted to win by decision or late rounds knockout given his rising form and power, though Graidia may extend the bout with tactical defense; the likelihood of Tudsbury dominating early rounds exists but Graidia's resilience keeps him competitive.
Predicted Score: Conner Tudsbury wins by decision or knockout in rounds 5-6