Match Analysis: Kevin Vallejos vs Danny Silva – Prediction

Match Details

• Date: 2025-08-02
• Time: 12:00 AM UTC
• Location: UFC Apex, Las Vegas, Nevada

Game Overview

The MMA matchup at UFC Vegas 108 features Kevin Vallejos versus Danny Silva in the featherweight division (145 lbs). Vallejos enters with a 15-1 record, is 23 years old, with a 5'7" height and 68" reach, known as 'El Chino.' Silva, aged 28, nicknamed 'El Puma,' has a 10-1 record, stands 5'11" tall with a 70" reach. Both are switch fighters and have strong striking stats, but Vallejos has a slight edge in defensive metrics and youth, which may influence the fight outcome.

Key Factors to Consider

• Vallejos holds a superior record (15-1) compared to Silva (10-1). Vallejos connects on 51% of significant strikes at 6.48 per minute and absorbs fewer strikes per minute (5.70), while Silva lands 7.36 strikes per minute with 59% accuracy but takes more hits (7.96 per minute). Vallejos shows better strike defense (57%) than Silva (61%).
• No prior bouts between Vallejos and Silva have been recorded, making this a first-time encounter. Both fighters have demonstrated strong recent performances, with Vallejos showing momentum and youth advantage.
• No current injury reports or concerns have been noted for either fighter leading up to the match.
• The fight takes place at the UFC Apex in Las Vegas, a neutral venue. No significant external factors like travel issues or weight-cutting problems have been reported.
• Vallejos aims to continue his rapid career progression with a high win rate and youth on his side, while Silva seeks to validate his strong record and fighting skills against a rising contender.

Odds and Predictions

Category	Odds	Prediction	Confidence
Moneyline	Danny Silva: +330, Kevin Vallejos: -425	Kevin Vallejos	★★★★☆ 78%
Spread	Danny Silva: 3.5 @ +165, Kevin Vallejos: -3.5 @ -225	Kevin Vallejos to win by more than 3.5 (dominant performance expected)	★★★★☆ 70%
Over/under	Over 2.5: -110, Under 2.5: -120	Over 2.5 rounds (expecting a fight going past two rounds)	★★★☆☆ 65%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market	EV Pick
Moneyline	Kevin Vallejos -7%
Spread	N/A
Over/Under	Over 2.5 18%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Over 2.5 at 18% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 20.2% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Kevin Vallejos is favored to win due to his youth, superior record, and better defensive striking statistics. There is a possibility of a finish on the feet or a decision win for Vallejos if he controls the bout pace and defense effectively.

Predicted Score: Kevin Vallejos wins by decision or late stoppage after three to four rounds

3 Pick Daily Parlay

Game	Pick	Odds (American)	Confidence
Rodolfo Vieira vs. Tresean Gore Prediction	Rodolfo Vieira Win	-198	★★★★☆ 78% (78%)
Kevin Vallejos vs. Danny Silva Prediction	Kevin Vallejos Win	-425	★★★★☆ 78% (78%)
Rafael Estevam vs. Felipe Bunes Prediction	Rafael Estevam Win	-550	★★★★☆ 78% (78%)

Parlay Odds Calculation

Combined American Odds: +120

Wager: $20 — Potential Payout: $43.94

Match Analysis: Kevin Vallejos vs Seung-Woo Choi – Prediction

Match Details

• Date: March 15, 2025
• Time: 11:15 PM UTC
• Location: UFC Apex in Las Vegas

Game Overview

Kevin Vallejos and Seung-Woo Choi face off at UFC Vegas 104. Vallejos, with a record of 14-1-0, is favored over Choi, who has a record of 11-7-0.

Key Factors to Consider

• Kevin Vallejos has a higher significant strike rate and better striking accuracy than Seung-Woo Choi. Vallejos lands 6.85 significant strikes per minute with a 51% accuracy, while Choi lands 3.51 strikes per minute with 39% accuracy.
• There is no previous head-to-head matchup between Kevin Vallejos and Seung-Woo Choi.
• No reported injuries for either fighter.
• The fight takes place at the UFC Apex in Las Vegas, which may not provide a significant home advantage for either fighter.
• Both fighters are highly motivated, with Vallejos looking to extend his winning streak and Choi seeking to bounce back from a recent loss.

Odds and Predictions

Category	Odds	Prediction	Confidence
Moneyline	Kevin Vallejos: -550, Seung-Woo Choi: 410	Kevin Vallejos	★★★★☆ 80%
Spread	Kevin Vallejos: -3.5 -320, Seung-Woo Choi: 3.5 225	Kevin Vallejos	★★★☆☆ 60%
Over_under	Over: 1.5 -140, Under: 1.5 110	Over 1.5	★★★★☆ 70%

Predicted Outcome

Kevin Vallejos is likely to win due to his superior striking statistics and recent performance.

Predicted Score: Kevin Vallejos wins via TKO in Round 2.