Match Analysis: Kevin Vallejos vs Danny Silva – Prediction

Match Details

• Date: 2025-08-02
• Time: 12:00 AM UTC
• Location: UFC Apex, Las Vegas

Game Overview

Kevin Vallejos, a 23-year-old featherweight with a 15-1 record, faces Danny Silva, a 28-year-old with a 10-1 record. Vallejos is favored with odds around -425 to -440, while Silva is the underdog at +330. Vallejos is shorter (5'7") but slightly younger, with a good defensive rate, while Silva is taller (5'11") and lands more significant strikes per minute but absorbs more as well.

Key Factors to Consider

• Vallejos has a higher win count and demonstrated a better defensive fight style, absorbing fewer strikes per minute (5.70 vs 7.96). Silva lands more strikes per minute (7.36) but is less defensively sound. Vallejos' recent form shows strong consistency and a higher finishing rate.
• No known prior matchups between the two fighters, making direct H2H data unavailable.
• No reported injuries to either fighter going into the bout, both appear fully prepared.
• Fight takes place at UFC Apex in Las Vegas, a standard environment with no altitude or extreme conditions favoring either fighter.
• Vallejos enters as a young rising contender aiming to cement his status, likely increasing motivation. Silva, with a slightly older age and fewer fights, is motivated to upset the favorite but may face pressure against the favored Vallejos.

Odds and Predictions

Category	Odds	Prediction	Confidence
Moneyline	Kevin Vallejos -425, Danny Silva +330	Kevin Vallejos	★★★★☆ 78%
Spread	Kevin Vallejos -3.5 (-225), Danny Silva +3.5 (165)	Kevin Vallejos -3.5	★★★★☆ 70%
Over/under	Over 2.5 (-110), Under 2.5 (-120)	Under 2.5 rounds	★★★☆☆ 65%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market	EV Pick
Moneyline	Kevin Vallejos -9%
Spread	N/A
Over/Under	Under 2.5 10%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 2.5 at 10% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 12% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Kevin Vallejos to win by decision

Predicted Score: Kevin Vallejos wins by unanimous decision

3 Pick Daily Parlay

Game	Pick	Odds (American)	Confidence
Rodolfo Vieira vs. Tresean Gore Prediction	Rodolfo Vieira Win	-198	★★★★☆ 78% (78%)
Kevin Vallejos vs. Danny Silva Prediction	Kevin Vallejos Win	-425	★★★★☆ 78% (78%)
Rinya Nakamura vs. Nathan Fletcher Prediction	Rinya Nakamura Win	-425	★★★★☆ 78% (78%)

Parlay Odds Calculation

Combined American Odds: +130

Wager: $20 — Potential Payout: $45.93

Match Analysis: Kevin Vallejos vs Seung-Woo Choi – Prediction

Match Details

• Date: March 15, 2025
• Time: 11:15 PM UTC
• Location: UFC Apex in Las Vegas

Game Overview

Kevin Vallejos and Seung-Woo Choi face off at UFC Vegas 104. Vallejos, with a record of 14-1-0, is favored over Choi, who has a record of 11-7-0.

Key Factors to Consider

• Kevin Vallejos has a higher significant strike rate and better striking accuracy than Seung-Woo Choi. Vallejos lands 6.85 significant strikes per minute with a 51% accuracy, while Choi lands 3.51 strikes per minute with 39% accuracy.
• There is no previous head-to-head matchup between Kevin Vallejos and Seung-Woo Choi.
• No reported injuries for either fighter.
• The fight takes place at the UFC Apex in Las Vegas, which may not provide a significant home advantage for either fighter.
• Both fighters are highly motivated, with Vallejos looking to extend his winning streak and Choi seeking to bounce back from a recent loss.

Odds and Predictions

Category	Odds	Prediction	Confidence
Moneyline	Kevin Vallejos: -550, Seung-Woo Choi: 410	Kevin Vallejos	★★★★☆ 80%
Spread	Kevin Vallejos: -3.5 -320, Seung-Woo Choi: 3.5 225	Kevin Vallejos	★★★☆☆ 60%
Over_under	Over: 1.5 -140, Under: 1.5 110	Over 1.5	★★★★☆ 70%

Predicted Outcome

Kevin Vallejos is likely to win due to his superior striking statistics and recent performance.

Predicted Score: Kevin Vallejos wins via TKO in Round 2.