Match Analysis: Kevin Holland vs Mike Malott – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-10-19
- Time: 1:15 AM UTC
- Location: UFC Event Venue (Vancouver)
Game Overview
Kevin Holland and Mike Malott face off in a fairly balanced matchup with even moneyline odds, reflecting a nearly 50-50 chance of victory between the two fighters. The bout is expected to be competitive with a striking vs grappling contrast.
Key Factors to Consider
- Kevin Holland has shown inconsistent recent form with solid striking but some vulnerabilities in grappling defense, while Mike Malott has performed well in recent fights, notably strong in submissions and consistent pressure.
- No previous recorded matchups between Holland and Malott, so no direct H2H data to influence the prediction.
- No reported injuries for either fighter leading into the bout, both are expected to be at full health.
- Fight scheduled in Vancouver which may slightly favor Holland due to closer regional fan support and environment familiarity.
- Holland is looking to rebound after mixed results to remain relevant in UFC rankings; Malott aims to solidify his place with a signature win, possibly adding extra pressure and focus to his performance.
Odds and Predictions
| Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | Kevin Holland: -110, Mike Malott: -110 | Mike Malott | ★★★☆☆ 58% |
| Spread | Kevin Holland +3.5: -155, Mike Malott -3.5: 115 | Mike Malott -3.5 | ★★★☆☆ 54% |
| Over/under | Over 2.5 rounds: 140, Under 2.5 rounds: -180 | Over 2.5 rounds | ★★★☆☆ 52% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
| Market | EV Pick |
|---|---|
| Moneyline | Mike Malott 11% |
| Spread | N/A |
| Over/Under | Over 2.5 27% |
🔥 Best Value Pick: Over 2.5 at 27% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 19.4% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Moneyline win for Mike Malott
Predicted Score: Mike Malott wins by decision after 3 rounds