Match Analysis: Su Mudaerji vs Kevin Borjas – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-08-23
- Time: 10:45 AM UTC
- Location: Unknown
Game Overview
Su Mudaerji, a seasoned UFC fighter with striking precision and reach advantage, faces Kevin Borjas who is making his UFC debut. Mudaerji's experience in the octagon and technical style gives him a significant edge, but Borjas' unpredictability and potential motivation as a debutant make this intriguing.
Key Factors to Consider
- Su Mudaerji has consistently demonstrated superior striking and fight IQ in recent UFC bouts, while Kevin Borjas lacks UFC experience, which may impact his composure and fight management.
- No prior head-to-head matchups between Su Mudaerji and Kevin Borjas as this is Borjas’ UFC debut.
- No reported injuries for either fighter, suggesting both are fully fit ahead of the bout.
- Fight venue is neutral with no apparent external influences such as home crowd advantage; weather and travel impacts are minimal.
- Borjas is highly motivated making his UFC debut and may push aggressively, while Mudaerji is motivated to maintain his UFC standing and capitalize on the favorable matchup.
Odds and Predictions
| Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | Su Mudaerji -166, Kevin Borjas +140 | Su Mudaerji | ★★★★☆ 78% |
| Spread | Su Mudaerji -3.5 140, Kevin Borjas +3.5 -195 | Su Mudaerji -3.5 | ★★★★☆ 70% |
| Over/under | Over 2.5 -270, Under 2.5 200 | Under 2.5 rounds | ★★★☆☆ 65% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
| Market | EV Pick |
|---|---|
| Moneyline | Su Mudaerji -1% |
| Spread | N/A |
| Over/Under | Under 2.5 80% |
🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 2.5 at 80% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 40% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Su Mudaerji to win by moneyline.
Predicted Score: Su Mudaerji wins by decision or TKO within 3 rounds