Match Analysis: Su Mudaerji vs Kevin Borjas – Prediction

Match Details

• Date: 2025-08-23
• Time: 10:45 AM UTC
• Location: Shanghai Indoor Stadium, Shanghai, China

Game Overview

The UFC Flyweight bout between Su Mudaerji and Kevin Borjas is scheduled for three rounds at UFC Fight Night: Walker vs. Zhang, held in Shanghai Indoor Stadium. Su Mudaerji, known as 'The Tibetan Eagle,' enters with a 17-7 record, and Kevin Borjas holds a 10-3 record. Both fighters have shown competitive skill sets in the flyweight division with no prior head-to-head matches.

Key Factors to Consider

• Su Mudaerji fights out of Sacramento, California with Enbo Fight Club and has a strong finish rate, mainly by KO (58.8%). Kevin Borjas' recent form is mixed with a 1-2 record in his last three fights.
• No previous head-to-head bouts between Su Mudaerji and Kevin Borjas exist, making this match-up fresh and unpredictable.
• No specific injury reports were found for either fighter leading into this bout.
• The fight takes place in Shanghai, which may favor Su Mudaerji as he is Chinese-born and may have more local support, though he trains in the U.S. Travel and acclimatization could marginally affect Borjas.
• Both fighters are competing to climb the UFC Flyweight rankings. Su Mudaerji, with a higher profile and more UFC exposure, may have a slight motivational edge to solidify his position.

Odds and Predictions

Category	Odds	Prediction	Confidence
Moneyline	Kevin Borjas: 140, Su Mudaerji: -166	Su Mudaerji	★★★★☆ 75%
Spread	Kevin Borjas: 3.5 @ -195, Su Mudaerji: -3.5 @ 140	Su Mudaerji covers the -3.5 spread	★★★★☆ 70%
Over/under	Over 2.5: -270, Under 2.5: 200	Under 2.5 rounds	★★★☆☆ 65%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market	EV Pick
Moneyline	Su Mudaerji -1%
Spread	N/A
Over/Under	Under 2.5 86%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 2.5 at 86% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 43% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Su Mudaerji is favored to win based on stronger recent performance, finishing ability, local advantage, and betting odds. Kevin Borjas remains a contender but may find it challenging to overcome Mudaerji's pressure and striking power.

Predicted Score: Su Mudaerji wins by decision or KO within 3 rounds

Match Analysis: Ronaldo Rodriguez vs Kevin Borjas – Prediction

Match Details

• Date: Saturday, March 29, 2025
• Time: 11:15 PM UTC
• Location: Arena CDMX, Mexico City, Mexico

Game Overview

A pivotal UFC Flyweight matchup between Ronaldo Rodriguez and Kevin Borjas at UFC Mexico City. Rodriguez enters with a strong grappling background and recent wins, while Borjas relies on explosive striking power.

Key Factors to Consider

• Ronaldo Rodriguez boasts a solid 17-2 record with strong grappling skills and has a recent win via unanimous decision. Kevin Borjas has a 9-3 record with impressive knockout power but is coming off a TKO loss.
• No previous head-to-head matches between the two fighters.
• No reported injuries for either fighter.
• Both fighters will benefit from the partisan crowd at Arena CDMX, but Rodriguez might have an edge due to fighting closer to home.
• Both fighters are highly motivated; Rodriguez seeks to continue his winning streak, while Borjas aims to rebound from his last loss.

Odds and Predictions

Category	Odds	Prediction	Confidence
Moneyline	-148 for Ronaldo Rodriguez and +124 for Kevin Borjas	Ronaldo Rodriguez	★★★★☆ 70%
Spread	Ronaldo Rodriguez -3.5 at +120, Kevin Borjas +3.5 at -165	Kevin Borjas +3.5	★★★☆☆ 55%
Over_under	Over 2.5 at -175 and Under 2.5 at +135	Under 2.5	★★★☆☆ 60%

Predicted Outcome

Ronaldo Rodriguez is likely to win by submission due to his superior grappling and control over the fight's pace.

Predicted Score: Rodriguez wins via submission in the second round.