Match Analysis: Ketlen Vieira vs Norma Dumont – Prediction

Match Details

• Date: 2025-11-01
• Time: 8:00 PM UTC
• Location: UFC Apex, Las Vegas

Game Overview

Ketlen Vieira faces Norma Dumont in a pivotal women's bantamweight matchup at UFC Vegas 110. Both fighters are ranked contenders with strong records and contrasting styles. Vieira is known for her grappling and ground control, while Dumont excels in striking volume and defense. The fight is expected to be close, with betting markets reflecting a slight edge to Dumont.

Key Factors to Consider

• Vieira averages 2.84 significant strikes per minute with 41% accuracy and allows 3.72 per minute. Dumont lands 3.86 per minute at 50% accuracy and allows only 2.16 per minute. Dumont has superior striking stats and defense, but Vieira has a clear edge in takedowns and ground control.
• No prior H2H matchup exists between Vieira and Dumont.
• No reported injuries for either fighter.
• The fight takes place at the UFC Apex in Las Vegas, a neutral venue with no crowd advantage. Both fighters are accustomed to the environment.
• Both fighters are in the upper tier of the division and are motivated to secure a win for a potential title shot. Dumont is coming off a strong run, while Vieira seeks to rebound from recent setbacks.

Odds and Predictions

Category	Odds	Prediction	Confidence
Moneyline	home: 142, away: -170	Norma Dumont	★★★★☆ 74%
Spread	home: 3.5 -205, away: -3.5 150	Norma Dumont -3.5	★★★☆☆ 68%
Over/under	over: 2.5 -475, under: 2.5 325	Over 2.5	★★★★☆ 72%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market	EV Pick
Moneyline	Norma Dumont -11%
Spread	N/A
Over/Under	Over 2.5 -18%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Norma Dumont at -11% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 0% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Norma Dumont wins by decision or late finish due to superior striking volume, accuracy, and defensive metrics. Vieira's grappling will be a factor, but Dumont's ability to avoid damage and outwork her on the feet will be decisive.

Predicted Score: Norma Dumont wins by unanimous decision (30-27, 29-28, 29-28)

Match Analysis: Ketlen Vieira vs Macy Chiasson – Prediction

Match Details

• Date: May 31, 2025
• Time: 12:15 AM UTC
• Location: UFC Apex, Las Vegas, Nevada

Game Overview

Ketlen Vieira and Macy Chiasson will face off in a women's bantamweight bout at UFC Fight Night: Blanchfield vs. Barber. Both fighters have a strong record, with Vieira holding a 14-4-0 record and Chiasson at 11-3-0. Vieira is known for her physicality and grappling skills, while Chiasson is recognized for her high work rate and athleticism.

Key Factors to Consider

• Vieira's physicality and grappling skills are significant advantages, but Chiasson's high volume of strikes and athleticism could pose challenges.
• This is their first matchup, making it challenging to predict based on past performances against each other.
• No injuries have been reported for either fighter.
• Both fighters are known for their endurance, which could lead to a well-rounded fight.
• Both fighters are motivated to win and advance in the rankings.

Odds and Predictions

Category	Odds	Prediction	Confidence
Moneyline	Ketlen Vieira: 100, Macy Chiasson: -120	Macy Chiasson	★★★☆☆ 55%
Spread	Ketlen Vieira: 3.5 -245, Macy Chiasson: -3.5 175	Macy Chiasson	★★★☆☆ 60%
Over/under	Over: 2.5 -360, Under: 2.5 260	Over	★★★☆☆ 65%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market	EV Pick
Moneyline	Macy Chiasson 1%
Spread	N/A
Over/Under	Over 2.5 -17%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Macy Chiasson at 1% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 1% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Given Chiasson's higher strike rate and athleticism, she might have an edge in this fight.

Predicted Score: Decision (Macy Chiasson)