Match Analysis: Ketlen Vieira vs Norma Dumont – Prediction

Match Details

• Date: November 1, 2025
• Time: 8:00 PM UTC
• Location: UFC Apex in Las Vegas

Game Overview

Ketlen Vieira faces Norma Dumont in a women's bantamweight bout at UFC Vegas 110. Vieira, with a record of 15-4-0, is coming off a decision win over Macy Chiasson. Dumont, with a record of 12-2-0, is on a five-fight winning streak, including a recent victory over Irene Aldana.

Key Factors to Consider

• Norma Dumont has shown consistent performance with a five-fight winning streak, while Ketlen Vieira has been inconsistent in her recent fights.
• This is the first meeting between the two fighters.
• No reported injuries for either fighter.
• The fight is at bantamweight, Vieira's natural weight class, which could favor her.
• Dumont is highly motivated to extend her winning streak and potentially secure a title shot.

Odds and Predictions

Category	Odds	Prediction	Confidence
Moneyline	Ketlen Vieira: +145, Norma Dumont: -175	Norma Dumont to win	★★★★☆ 70%
Spread	Ketlen Vieira: +3.5 -205, Norma Dumont: -3.5 150	Norma Dumont to cover	★★★☆☆ 60%
Over/under	Over 2.5: -475, Under 2.5: 325	Under 2.5 rounds	★★★☆☆ 55%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market	EV Pick
Moneyline	Norma Dumont 10%
Spread	N/A
Over/Under	Under 2.5 134%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 2.5 at 134% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 41.2% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Norma Dumont is favored to win due to her recent form and statistical advantages in striking and defense.

Predicted Score: Decision victory for Norma Dumont

Match Analysis: Ketlen Vieira vs Macy Chiasson – Prediction

Match Details

• Date: May 31, 2025
• Time: 12:15 AM UTC
• Location: UFC Apex in Las Vegas, Nevada

Game Overview

Ketlen Vieira and Macy Chiasson are set to face off in a women's bantamweight bout at UFC Vegas 107. Vieira is renowned for her pressure and grappling skills, while Chiasson is known for her high work rate and athleticism. Both fighters have shown durability, with Vieira having been finished only once and Chiasson twice. Vieira lands fewer strikes per minute but is the bigger puncher, while Chiasson is more active, landing 3.77 strikes per minute.

Key Factors to Consider

• Ketlen Vieira is a methodical fighter with strong grappling abilities, while Macy Chiasson is busier with a higher strike rate and better lateral movement.
• There is no prior head-to-head match between the two fighters.
• No significant injuries have been reported for either fighter ahead of the bout.
• The fight is taking place at the UFC Apex in Las Vegas, which may favor neither fighter specifically.
• Both fighters are highly motivated to win, as each seeks to improve their ranking in the women's bantamweight division.

Odds and Predictions

Category	Odds	Prediction	Confidence
Moneyline	Ketlen Vieira: 100, Macy Chiasson: -120	Macy Chiasson to win	★★★☆☆ 60%
Spread	Ketlen Vieira: 3.5 -245, Macy Chiasson: -3.5 175	Macy Chiasson to cover the spread	★★★☆☆ 55%
Over/under	Over: 2.5 -360, Under: 2.5 260	Under 2.5 rounds	★★★☆☆ 58%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market	EV Pick
Moneyline	Macy Chiasson 1%
Spread	N/A
Over/Under	Under 2.5 109%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 2.5 at 109% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 41.8% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Based on the fighters' styles, Macy Chiasson's higher strike rate and better lateral movement could give her an edge, but Ketlen Vieira's grappling skills might slow Chiasson down over time.

Predicted Score: Macy Chiasson to win by decision or finish early if her athleticism allows her to evade Vieira's grappling.