Match Analysis: Oscar Duarte Jurado vs Kenneth Sims Jr – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-08-02
- Time: 3:00 AM UTC
- Location: University of Illinois, Chicago, Illinois, USA
Game Overview
This Super Lightweight bout features Oscar Duarte Jurado, with a record of 29 wins, 2 losses, and 1 draw, against Kenneth Sims Jr, who holds 22 wins and 2 losses. Duarte has demonstrated strong recent performances with 4 wins out of his last 5 fights, including multiple knockouts. Sims Jr brings solid experience but fewer knockouts. The fight is anticipated to be competitive, with Duarte favored due to recent momentum and finishing ability.
Key Factors to Consider
- Oscar Duarte Jurado has won 4 of his last 5 fights, stopping 3 opponents by knockout, showing finishing power and durability. Kenneth Sims Jr has a respectable record but lacks comparable recent knockout success. Duarte’s wins include notable victories over Miguel Madueno and Batyr Akhmedov, while his only recent loss was to elite Ryan Garcia.
- No prior head-to-head matches between Oscar Duarte Jurado and Kenneth Sims Jr have been recorded, making this their debut encounter.
- No reported injuries or fitness issues for either fighter ahead of the bout.
- The fight will take place in Chicago, Illinois, potentially a neutral venue without clear home advantage. The bout will be televised on DAZN, increasing exposure and pressure.
- Oscar Duarte Jurado is motivated to maintain his winning streak and recover momentum after his only recent loss. Kenneth Sims Jr seeks to upset the favored Duarte and improve his standing in the Super Lightweight division.
Odds and Predictions
| Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | Oscar Duarte Jurado: -150, Kenneth Sims Jr: +117 | Oscar Duarte Jurado | ★★★★☆ 75% |
| Spread | Oscar Duarte Jurado: -1.5, Kenneth Sims Jr: +1.5 | Oscar Duarte Jurado by more than 1.5 rounds | ★★★☆☆ 65% |
| Over/under | Over 10.5: -260, Under 10.5: +195 | Under 10.5 rounds | ★★★★☆ 70% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
| Market | EV Pick |
|---|---|
| Moneyline | Oscar Duarte Jurado -0% |
| Spread | N/A |
| Over/Under | Under 10.5 107% |
🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 10.5 at 107% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 54.6% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Oscar Duarte Jurado is favored to win, leveraging his recent knockout power and consistency against Kenneth Sims Jr. Expect a competitive match, with Duarte likely to secure a decision or late stoppage victory.
Predicted Score: Oscar Duarte Jurado wins by unanimous decision after 10 rounds